Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W Prediction: Match Preview and Tips

Chicago Red Stars W welcome San Diego Wave W to SeatGeek Stadium on 31 May 2026 in a Group Stage clash in the NWSL Women. The hosts are desperate for points at the bottom end of the table, while San Diego arrive as one of the early pacesetters and strong favourites with the bookmakers.

Chicago sit 15th with 9 points from 11 matches, having lost 8 of those games and scoring only 5 goals in the process. San Diego, by contrast, are up in 3rd place on 22 points from 12 outings and currently occupy a “Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)” position. That gap in both results and underlying numbers frames this as a classic top-versus-bottom encounter where Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W prediction markets heavily favour the visitors.

SeatGeek Stadium has seen mixed returns for Chicago, but their defensive frailty and lack of cutting edge make this a major test against a San Diego side that has travelled well. For anyone studying Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W odds or looking for NWSL Women betting tips, the question is less about the likely winner and more about how competitive the hosts can be against one of the league’s most efficient attacking units.

Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W Key Stats

• Chicago Red Stars W are 15th with 9 points from 11 games, scoring 5 and conceding 22 in the league.
• San Diego Wave W have won the last two meetings, including a 2-0 home victory on 29 March 2026 in the NWSL Women Group Stage.
• Chicago average just 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per match this season, while San Diego average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded.

Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 15 vs 3
• Points: 9 vs 22
• Goals For: 5 vs 17
• Goals Against: 22 vs 13
• Clean Sheets: Chicago Red Stars W 2; San Diego Wave W 2

The season record shows a stark contrast. Chicago Red Stars W have lost 8 of their 11 league fixtures, with a goal difference of -17 and no draws. Their attack is the weakest in the division at 5 goals, and they concede an average of 2.0 per game. San Diego Wave W, meanwhile, have 7 wins from 12, a positive goal difference of +4 and sit firmly in the play-off quarter-final zone.

Home and away splits reinforce the pattern. Chicago have taken 6 of their 9 points at SeatGeek Stadium (2 wins, 3 defeats, 4 goals for, 8 against), but their overall form line of “WLLLL” underlines how fragile they are right now. San Diego have been excellent travellers: 4 wins, 1 draw and just 1 defeat from 6 away games, scoring 10 and conceding 8. With Chicago’s defence leaking heavily and San Diego’s attack averaging 1.7 goals per away match, the visitors arrive with a clear statistical edge.

Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W Key Matchups

Chicago midfield unit vs Dudinha

Chicago lack a standout attacking star in the league’s top-scorer or top-assist charts, so their collective midfield — including players like J. Grosso, B. Pinto and Maitane López — will have to contain one of the NWSL Women’s form players: Dudinha. The San Diego attacker has 4 goals and 4 assists in 12 appearances, having started every match and logged 856 minutes. With 17 shots (9 on target) and 42 dribble attempts, 26 of which have been successful, she is the creative and scoring hub for the Wave. Chicago’s midfielders must disrupt her supply lines and deny her space between the lines, or the game could quickly tilt in San Diego’s favour.

Chicago wide defenders vs L. E. Godfrey and P. Morroni

Another key battle will be how Chicago’s full-backs and wide defenders cope with the dual threat of L. E. Godfrey and P. Morroni. Godfrey, operating from midfield, has matched Dudinha’s 4 goals and added 2 assists in 12 appearances, with 10 shots (9 on target) and 17 key passes from 216 total passes at 80% accuracy. On the flank behind her, Morroni offers both progression and bite: 480 passes at 83% accuracy, 31 tackles, 9 interceptions and 4 yellow cards in 11 appearances. Chicago’s wide players such as M. Alozie, S. Staab and Nádia Gomes must handle both the overlapping runs and the late arrivals into the box, otherwise San Diego’s left side could dominate territory and chance creation.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

This has been a competitive fixture historically, but recent meetings have tilted towards San Diego Wave W. Across the most recent clashes, San Diego have often found a way to edge tight contests or run up big scores at home, while Chicago have relied on defensive resilience in their rare wins.

• 29 March 2026: San Diego Wave W 2-0 Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women Group Stage)
• 19 October 2025: San Diego Wave W 6-1 Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women Regular Season - 25)
• 26 April 2025: Chicago Red Stars W 0-3 San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women Regular Season - 6)
• 22 September 2024: Chicago Red Stars W 1-0 San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women Regular Season - 16)
• 29 June 2024: San Diego Wave W 0-3 Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women Regular Season - 11)

Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W Prediction

Form and metrics point to a difficult evening for Chicago. Their league form of “WLLLL” and a goals record of 5 scored and 22 conceded suggest they struggle to create and are vulnerable once they fall behind. San Diego’s broader league form string “LWWWWWLLWWDL” indicates far greater consistency, particularly away from home where they have 4 wins and 1 draw from 6.

The prediction metrics rate this as a near 50-50 split between away win and draw (50% away, 50% draw, 0% home), with advice leaning strongly towards “Double chance: draw or San Diego Wave W.” Given Chicago’s very low scoring average (0.5 per game) and San Diego’s solid defensive numbers (1.1 conceded per match), the visitors should control territory and chances. Chicago’s best hope lies in keeping the game tight and exploiting set pieces, but over 90 minutes San Diego’s superior attacking quality through Dudinha and Godfrey is likely to tell.

Predicted Score: Chicago Red Stars W 0-2 San Diego Wave W

Chicago Red Stars W League Form

WLLLL

San Diego Wave W League Form

LDWWL

Chicago Red Stars W Possible Starting Lineup

K. Lund; M. Alozie, S. Staab, K. Hendrich, Nádia Gomes; J. Grosso, B. Pinto, Maitane López, B. Franklin; J. Huitema, I. Chacón.

Chicago have typically favoured back-four structures such as 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3, and the squad profile fits a similar shape here. Experienced defenders like K. Hendrich and S. Staab will be central to protecting a back line that has already conceded 22 league goals. In midfield, the technical ability of Maitane López and J. Grosso must help Chicago retain the ball and relieve pressure on the defence, while J. Huitema and I. Chacón provide the main goal threat in attack. With limited clean sheets and a high “failed to score” count (8 times in 11), the tactical emphasis is likely to be on compactness and counter-attacks.

San Diego Wave W Possible Starting Lineup

Luisa Agudelo; P. Morroni, K. McNabb, D. Árias, K. Wesley; L. E. Godfrey, K. Dali, L. Fazer; Gabi Portilho, Dudinha, A. Leon.

San Diego have alternated between 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3 this season, and their squad is built for a possession-based, front-foot approach. At the back, the combination of Morroni and McNabb offers both defensive solidity and progression, with Morroni particularly active in duels and tackles. In midfield, Godfrey’s blend of goals, assists and passing range complements the creativity and experience of players like K. Dali and L. Fazer. Up front, Dudinha is the focal point, supported by wide forwards such as Gabi Portilho and A. Leon, giving San Diego multiple scoring outlets.

Chicago Red Stars W Team News

No significant absences reported.

San Diego Wave W Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Chicago Red Stars W:

• None reported.

San Diego Wave W:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back San Diego Wave W to win. The prediction metrics give Chicago 0% chance of victory, with 50% each on away win and draw, and the advice is “Double chance: draw or San Diego Wave W.” San Diego’s away record (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and superior league form justify siding with the visitors. For the match-winner market, odds on an away win are around 1.36–1.45 across major firms (for example 1.36 with Marathonbet and Betfair, 1.40 with William Hill and Pinnacle, 1.42 with Bet365 and Unibet, 1.45 with Betano).
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals appeals. Chicago average only 0.5 goals scored per game and have failed to score in 8 of 11 league matches, while San Diego concede just 1.1 per match. Many of their under/over splits lean towards low-scoring contests. Look for an under-goals line with a conservative angle; although specific under/over odds are not listed here, this market will typically be available alongside the match-winner prices.
• Value Tip: Consider a San Diego win to nil angle, built around their defensive record and Chicago’s blunt attack. San Diego have 2 clean sheets and Chicago have failed to score in the majority of their games. With San Diego’s attacking leaders Dudinha (4 goals, 4 assists) and L. E. Godfrey (4 goals, 2 assists) in form, an away win combined with Chicago not scoring offers a higher-return alternative to the short away price. As a proxy for the strength of San Diego’s side, away win odds cluster between 1.36 and 1.45 with major bookmakers such as William Hill, Bet365, Unibet, Betfair, Pinnacle, 1xBet, Betano and 888Sport.

How to Watch Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.