Torino vs Juventus Prediction: Match Preview and Betting Tips

The Derby della Mole closes out the Serie A campaign at Stadio Olimpico di Torino, with Torino hosting Juventus in Round 38. The match kicks off on 24 May 2026 in Turin, where pride, local supremacy and very different end-of-season narratives are on the line.

Torino arrive in mid-table security but with a negative goal difference and an inconsistent run-in. Sitting on 44 points from 37 matches, they have been solid enough at home yet too leaky overall to trouble the European places. For them, this derby is about finishing strongly, spoiling Juventus’ evening and sending a message ahead of next year.

Juventus, by contrast, travel across the city firmly in the European zone. Sixth place with 68 points and a “Promotion - Europa League (League phase)” tag already attached underlines a season of recovery and renewed stability. They boast a far superior goal difference and defensive record and will want to underline that gap again in the derby, even if the title race is beyond them. For bettors and fans alike, this Torino vs Juventus prediction hinges on whether the underdog can disrupt a more efficient, well-balanced visiting side.

Torino vs Juventus Key Stats

• Torino sit 12th with 44 points from 37 games, scoring 42 and conceding 61 in Serie A.
• The last five league derbies have produced two Juventus wins and three draws, including a 0-0 at Allianz Stadium on 8 November 2025 and a 1-1 in Turin on 11 January 2025.
• Juventus average 1.6 goals scored and just 0.9 conceded per league match this season, compared to Torino’s 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Torino vs Juventus — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 12 vs 6
• Points: 44 vs 68
• Goals For: 42 vs 59
• Goals Against: 61 vs 32
• Clean Sheets: 12 vs 16

The season record shows a clear structural gap between the two clubs. Torino’s 12th place with 44 points reflects a side that can compete on their day but lacks consistency. Their 42 goals scored are modest, but the bigger concern is the 61 conceded, giving them a -19 goal difference. That defensive fragility is a key factor when assessing any Torino vs Juventus prediction.

Juventus, in sixth with 68 points and a +27 goal difference, have combined a solid attack (59 goals) with one of the division’s stingiest defences (32 conceded). Their status in the Europa League phase is already secured, yet their underlying numbers — more wins, fewer defeats and almost half the goals conceded compared to Torino — point to a team that should control large stretches of this derby, even away from home.

Torino vs Juventus Key Matchups

G. Simeone vs K. Yıldız

Torino’s main attacking reference is Giovanni Pablo Simeone. He has 11 league goals from 31 appearances, with 26 starts and 2,161 minutes. He has fired 58 shots, 28 on target, and drawn 39 fouls, underlining his ability to occupy centre-backs and earn set-pieces. Despite not scoring from the spot this term, his movement and work rate remain central to Torino’s threat in the box.

Facing him on the other side of the pitch — and often driving Juventus’ attacking transitions — is Kenan Yıldız, one of Serie A’s standout young attackers. Yıldız has 10 goals and 6 assists in 36 appearances (33 starts), with 2,838 minutes played. He has taken 64 shots, 40 on target, and produced 76 key passes from 1,223 total passes at 84% accuracy. Add 149 dribble attempts with 78 successes and 56 fouls drawn, and you have a player who can decide the derby through both goals and creativity.

W. McKennie vs M. Locatelli

In midfield, Weston McKennie’s box-to-box profile is crucial for Juventus. Across 35 appearances (31 starts) and 2,751 minutes, he has contributed 5 goals and 5 assists. His 1,163 passes with 47 key passes and 39 tackles show how he links play while offering defensive intensity. His 5 yellow cards also hint at his willingness to break up opposition moves, something Torino’s midfield will have to navigate.

Behind and around him, Manuel Locatelli provides control and bite. With 35 starts and 2,915 minutes, he has 1 goal and 2 assists but stands out for 2,720 passes at 88% accuracy and 46 key passes. Defensively, his 99 tackles, 23 blocks, 38 interceptions and 54 fouls committed underline his role as Juventus’ midfield anchor. His 9 yellow cards make discipline a watch point, but his presence is a major reason Juventus concede just 0.9 goals per game.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent derbies have generally tilted Juventus’ way, but Torino have made the fixture more competitive, with several draws in the last few years. All of the following results are from Serie A.

• 8 November 2025: Juventus 0-0 Torino (Serie A)
• 11 January 2025: Torino 1-1 Juventus (Serie A)
• 9 November 2024: Juventus 2-0 Torino (Serie A)
• 13 April 2024: Torino 0-0 Juventus (Serie A)
• 7 October 2023: Juventus 2-0 Torino (Serie A)

Torino vs Juventus Prediction

Evidence from their campaigns points to a tight but controlled away performance. Juventus have the stronger form profile, a better defensive unit and more match-winners in advanced areas. Their last five league outings show a defensive average of just 0.6 goals conceded per game, and across the season they have kept 16 clean sheets, compared with Torino’s 12.

Torino’s recent league form is patchy, and their season-long concession rate of 1.6 goals per match is a concern against the likes of Yıldız and McKennie making late runs. However, the recent derby trend — three draws in the last five league meetings — and the predictions percentages of 45% draw and 45% away win suggest a cautious, low-scoring contest rather than a rout. With the prediction model favouring “Win or draw” for Juventus and a double-chance angle, a narrow away success feels the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: Torino 0-1 Juventus

Torino League Form

LWLDD

Juventus League Form

LWDDW

Torino Possible Starting Lineup

F. Israel; C. Biraghi, Saúl Coco, G. Maripán, N. Nkounkou; M. Pedersen, A. Tamèze, I. Ilić, C. Casadei; G. Simeone, D. Zapata.

Torino have frequently used three and five-man defensive structures this season, often leaning on a 3-5-2 base. With options like C. Biraghi, Saúl Coco and G. Maripán in defence and a mix of physical and technical midfielders such as A. Tamèze, I. Ilić and C. Casadei, they can crowd central areas to limit Juventus’ passing lanes. Up front, pairing G. Simeone with a powerful forward like D. Zapata gives them aerial presence and a counter-attacking outlet, vital against a side that tends to control territory.

Juventus Possible Starting Lineup

M. Di Gregorio; Bremer, F. Gatti, A. Cambiaso; E. Holm, M. Locatelli, W. McKennie, F. Kostić; K. Yıldız; D. Vlahović, J. David.

Juventus have alternated between back-three and back-four systems but have most often lined up in a 3-4-2-1. With Bremer and F. Gatti providing physicality at the back and M. Locatelli anchoring midfield, they can build patiently before releasing wide players like E. Holm and F. Kostić. In attack, K. Yıldız operates between the lines, feeding strikers such as D. Vlahović or J. David. The depth of attacking options — including L. Openda, A. Milik and E. Zhegrova — allows them to change the game state from the bench if needed.

Torino Team News

Torino have at least one confirmed absentee ahead of the derby, which slightly reduces their attacking depth but does not drastically alter their core structure.

Juventus Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Torino:

• Zannetos Savva — Reason: Jumpers knee

Juventus:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Torino vs Juventus

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Juventus in the Match Winner market. With a 45% away win probability and Juventus clearly superior in points, goal difference and defensive metrics, the away side are worthy favourites. Odds for an away win are around 1.38–1.45 with major bookmakers (for example, 1.38 at Unibet, 1.40 at William Hill and Betfair, 1.41 at Pinnacle, 1.45 at 1xBet).
• Goals Tip: Back under 2.5 goals. Torino average just 1.1 goals scored per game and have struggled to break down Juventus in recent derbies, with three of the last five league meetings finishing 0-0 or 1-1. Juventus concede only 0.9 per match. While specific under/over odds are not listed, combining this with the tight H2H record makes a low-scoring game a logical angle.
• Value Tip: Consider a Juventus win to nil. Juventus have 16 clean sheets this season and a dominant defensive core led by M. Locatelli and Bremer, while Torino’s attack is heavily reliant on G. Simeone. With bookmakers pricing the basic away win at around 1.40, derivative markets like win to nil should offer a higher price and could be attractive given Torino’s 11 failed-to-score outings.

How to Watch Torino vs Juventus

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.