Hellas Verona vs AS Roma: Final Match Preview

On a warm Sunday evening at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi in Verona on 24 May 2026, two clubs arrive with utterly different emotions but a shared obligation to finish strongly. Hellas Verona, trapped in the relegation zone, face one last chance to show defiance in front of their own fans. AS Roma, secure in the upper reaches of Serie A, travel north knowing that a place in the Champions League is already described as theirs, but pride, rhythm and individual milestones remain on the line.

Season Context

For Hellas Verona, the table tells a grim story. Nineteenth place with 21 points and a goal difference of -34 underlines a campaign of constant struggle (25 goals scored, 59 conceded in 37 matches). Just three wins against 12 draws and 22 defeats leave them locked in the “Relegation - Serie B” zone, with survival already beyond reach and only dignity and future auditions to play for.

AS Roma arrive in Verona from a very different vantage point. Fourth place with 70 points and a positive goal difference of +26 reflects a powerful campaign (57 goals scored, 31 conceded in 37 games). With 22 wins, four draws and 11 losses, they sit clearly in the “Promotion - Champions League (League phase)” bracket, and this finale is about consolidating a strong year and sharpening their edge for European nights to come.

Form & Momentum

Hellas Verona’s recent form string reads “DLDDL”, a sequence that encapsulates a side unable to turn resistance into victories (only three wins from 37). Scoring at a rate of roughly 0.7 goals per game (25 in 37) while conceding around 1.6 (59 in 37) leaves them constantly chasing matches, and that imbalance has defined their slide into the bottom two.

AS Roma, by contrast, carry the swagger of a team finishing fast. Their form line “WWWWD” shows a surge of consistency, with four straight wins followed by a draw. Across the full campaign they average about 1.5 goals scored per match (57 in 37) and concede only about 0.8 (31 in 37), a profile that justifies their top-four position and makes them a daunting visitor on the final day.

Head-to-Head Patterns

The recent history between these sides has been rich in narrative swings. In the most recent meeting, AS Roma beat Hellas Verona 2-0 at Stadio Olimpico (Serie A, season 2025, September 2025), underlining their control on home soil. Earlier in the same calendar year, AS Roma again edged a tight contest 1-0 at Stadio Olimpico (Serie A, season 2024, April 2025), another narrow but telling home success.

Verona, however, have shown they can bite back at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi. In November 2024 they defeated AS Roma 3-2 in a thriller in Verona (Serie A, season 2024, November 2024), a reminder that this fixture at this venue can open up and tilt towards the hosts if Roma lose defensive discipline.

Tactical Preview

Hellas Verona are expected to lean once more on their back-three structures, having most often lined up in a 3-5-2 (25 times) but also using 3-5-1-1 and 3-4-2-1 on four occasions each. The numbers suggest a reactive, containment-first approach: just 25 goals across 37 league games, with nearly half of those outings ending without scoring (19 matches failed to score). The wing-backs and wide centre-backs are crucial to their resistance, with players like M. Frese, a defender who has combined 79 tackles with 28 interceptions and 10 blocks, symbolising their defensive workload.

In midfield, R. Gagliardini brings steel and volume, with 73 tackles, 54 interceptions and 10 yellow cards illustrating his role as a disruptor at the base of the team. J. Akpa Akpro adds further bite and energy (39 tackles, 20 interceptions), while G. Orban up front offers a more chaotic threat: seven league goals and two assists, plus a red card, paint the picture of a direct attacker who can unsettle defences but sometimes crosses the disciplinary line. Verona’s task will be to compress space, lean on that combative midfield, and hope that Orban or another forward can snatch something in transition.

AS Roma, by contrast, have built their season on a modern back-three platform, most commonly a 3-4-2-1 (29 appearances), with occasional shifts to 3-4-1-2 and 3-5-2. Their structure supports both solidity and attacking variety: 57 goals scored and only 31 conceded in 37 matches, plus 17 clean sheets, show a side that controls games in and out of possession. The defensive line is anchored by figures such as G. Mancini and Hermoso, both defenders with strong passing volumes (1,599 and 1,337 passes respectively) and significant defensive contributions; G. Mancini’s nine yellow cards underline his willingness to step into duels (183 duels won).

In midfield, Wesley has been a dynamic presence, combining 53 tackles and 23 interceptions with five goals and one red card, a reminder of his aggressive edge. Out wide, Z. Çelik contributes both defensively (62 tackles, 21 interceptions) and in build-up with 1,309 passes at 85% accuracy. Higher up, the creative and scoring burden is shared. D. Malen, listed as an attacker, leads Roma’s scoring in Serie A with 13 goals and three successful penalties from three attempts, supported by two assists and 29 shots on target. Around him, M. Soulé has been a key creative hub, also as an attacker, with five assists, six goals and 45 key passes, offering the final ball and dribbling threat (92 dribble attempts, 34 successful).

Roma’s recent “last five” metrics reinforce the sense of superiority: their last-five form index sits at 87%, with attacking and defensive indices of 100% and 75% respectively, compared to Verona’s 20% form, 17% attack and 67% defence. That suggests Roma are entering this contest with both confidence and efficiency, while Verona are clinging to defensive respectability but struggling badly to create.

One notable absentee for the visitors is E. Bove, listed as “Missing Fixture” for this very match due to heart problems, trimming Roma’s midfield options but not fundamentally altering their core structure.

Statistical Snapshot

• Competition: Serie A, season 2025 — 24 May 2026.
• Venue: Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona.
• Prediction: null — Winner : AS Roma.
• Win Probabilities: Home 10% / Draw 45% / Away 45%.
• Model: Hellas Verona 31.0% — AS Roma 69.0%.

Betting Verdict

The predictive models and bookmakers are aligned in making AS Roma clear favourites, with away odds clustered roughly around 1.30–1.35 and home prices stretching close to 11.00. Roma’s strong overall record (70 points, 57 scored, 31 conceded) and red-hot recent form (“WWWWD”) combine with a favourable recent head-to-head pattern, including 2-0 and 1-0 wins in Rome in April and September 2025, to support the “Winner : AS Roma” advice. Verona’s inability to turn effort into victories (“DLDDL”, just 25 goals in 37 games) makes an upset look unlikely, even at a venue where they did win 3-2 in November 2024. Backing AS Roma to win is the logical play, with any interest in Verona best confined to long-shot prices only.