Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Hellas Verona welcome AS Roma to the Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi in Verona on 24 May 2026 for the final round of the Serie A campaign. It is a meeting between a side locked in the relegation places and a Champions League qualifier, and the gulf between the two is underlined by the league table and the pre-match odds.

Verona sit 19th with 21 points from 37 matches, firmly in the Serie B relegation zone after a season of struggle at both ends of the pitch. Roma, by contrast, arrive in fourth place on 70 points, already in the Champions League league-phase positions and looking to finish strongly after a powerful run-in. For those seeking a Hellas Verona vs Roma prediction or betting tips on this Serie A clash, the numbers are heavily weighted towards the visitors.

With Roma priced as very short favourites across major bookmakers and Verona’s form line reading “DLDDL”, this looks, on paper, like a classic end-of-season mismatch. Yet the Bentegodi has seen Verona bloody Roma’s nose before, and recent head-to-heads suggest this fixture is rarely straightforward.

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Key Stats

• Hellas Verona are 19th with 21 points from 37 games, scoring 25 and conceding 59, while Roma are 4th with 70 points, 57 scored and 31 conceded.
• In their last five Serie A meetings at all venues listed, Roma have won three and Verona two, with the most recent clash on 28 September 2025 ending AS Roma 2-0 Hellas Verona.
• Across this league campaign, Verona average 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, while Roma average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded, underlining a clear attacking and defensive edge for the visitors.

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 19 vs 4
• Points: 21 vs 70
• Goals For: 25 vs 57
• Goals Against: 59 vs 31
• Clean Sheets: 6 vs 17

The league table paints a stark picture. Verona have managed just 3 wins from 37 matches, with 25 goals scored and 59 conceded, giving them a goal difference of -34. Their struggles are consistent home and away, with only 1 win at the Bentegodi and an attack that averages 0.7 goals per match. The description attached to their ranking is clear: they are in the “Relegation - Serie B” zone.

Roma, meanwhile, have built a strong platform for Champions League football. Sitting fourth with 70 points, they have 22 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats, backed by 57 goals scored and only 31 conceded. Their defensive record is especially impressive at home but remains solid overall, reflected in 17 clean sheets across the campaign. With 13 home wins and 9 away victories, this is a side that has found ways to win in all conditions, and they arrive in Verona with momentum firmly on their side.

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Key Matchups

G. Orban vs D. Malen

From Verona’s perspective, Gift Emmanuel Orban is one of the few genuine attacking bright spots. The forward has 7 goals and 2 assists in 28 appearances, with 61 shots and 28 on target, showing he is not shy about pulling the trigger. His ability to generate chances, including 20 key passes, will be vital if Verona are to trouble a well-drilled Roma back line.

For Roma, Donyell Malen has been a lethal presence in attack. In just 17 appearances, all as a starter, he has 13 goals and 2 assists, converting 29 shots on target from 46 attempts. That output – better than a goal every other game – is backed by solid link play, with 205 completed passes and 7 key passes. If Malen gets the kind of service he has enjoyed recently, Verona’s fragile defence could be in for a long evening.

R. Gagliardini vs M. Soulé

In midfield, Roberto Gagliardini’s role for Verona will be to disrupt Roma’s rhythm. Across 29 appearances, he has contributed 1 goal but his primary value lies in work rate and defensive output: 73 tackles, 13 blocks and 54 interceptions, plus 169 duels won from 285. However, his 10 yellow cards and 45 fouls committed highlight a tendency to play on the edge, something Roma’s technicians can exploit.

Matías Soulé offers Roma creativity and end product between the lines. In 32 appearances, with 27 starts, he has 6 goals and 5 assists, supported by 45 key passes and 953 completed passes at an 84% accuracy rate. Soulé’s dribbling threat – 92 attempts with 34 successful – combined with his ability to draw fouls (40 won) could drag Verona’s midfield out of shape and put further pressure on Gagliardini and company.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings between these sides have been competitive, with both teams enjoying home successes. Roma have generally had the upper hand, particularly at the Stadio Olimpico, but Verona have claimed notable wins at the Bentegodi.

• 28 September 2025: AS Roma 2-0 Hellas Verona (Serie A)
• 19 April 2025: AS Roma 1-0 Hellas Verona (Serie A)
• 3 November 2024: Hellas Verona 3-2 AS Roma (Serie A)
• 20 January 2024: AS Roma 2-1 Hellas Verona (Serie A)
• 26 August 2023: Hellas Verona 2-1 AS Roma (Serie A)

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Prediction

All indicators point towards Roma controlling this match. Verona’s league form is poor, their attack averages less than a goal per game, and they have failed to score in 19 of 37 fixtures. Roma, by contrast, come into this with a last-five record showing 12 goals scored and just 3 conceded, and an attacking rating of 100% in that recent sample.

The prediction metrics give Roma a 45% win probability against just 10% for Verona, with a 45% chance of a draw. Roma’s superior xG-style attacking and defensive numbers, plus 17 clean sheets this season, suggest they should be able to manage the game and limit Verona’s threat. The hosts will fight, and their history of upsetting Roma at the Bentegodi means this may not be a walkover, but the visitors’ quality and form should tell over 90 minutes.

Predicted Score: Hellas Verona 0-1 AS Roma

Hellas Verona League Form

DLDDL

AS Roma League Form

WWWWD

Hellas Verona Possible Starting Lineup

L. Montipò; M. Frese, V. Nelsson, A. Bella-Kotchap; Pol Lirola, R. Gagliardini, J. Akpa Akpro, S. Serdar, D. Bradarić; G. Orban, D. Mosquera.

Verona have typically favoured a back three with wing-backs, as reflected by their frequent use of 3-5-2 and similar shapes. Defenders like M. Frese and V. Nelsson are likely to anchor the back line, while R. Gagliardini and J. Akpa Akpro provide steel in midfield. Up front, G. Orban’s goal threat and D. Mosquera’s movement offer their best chance of unsettling Roma, but they will need significant support from wide areas and set pieces.

AS Roma Possible Starting Lineup

M. Svilar; G. Mancini, Hermoso, E. Ndicka; Z. Çelik, B. Cristante, Wesley, Angeliño; M. Soulé, P. Dybala; D. Malen.

Roma’s most-used structure has been a 3-4-2-1, and this projected XI reflects that. A back three of Mancini, Hermoso and Ndicka offers aerial strength and ball-playing ability, while Z. Çelik and Angeliño provide width from wing-back. In midfield, B. Cristante and Wesley bring balance and physicality, with Soulé and Dybala operating between the lines behind Malen, whose 13-goal haul makes him the focal point of the attack.

Hellas Verona Team News

No significant absences reported.

AS Roma Team News

Roma will be without E. Bove, who is ruled out due to heart problems.

Injuries & Suspensions

Hellas Verona:

• None reported.

AS Roma:

• E. Bove — Reason: heart problems

Betting Tips: Hellas Verona vs AS Roma

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back AS Roma to win. Roma are given a 45% win probability against just 10% for Verona, with far superior form and underlying numbers. Several bookmakers price the away win very short, with odds such as 1.29 (10Bet, BetVictor, SBO), 1.30 (William Hill, Bet365, Unibet), 1.31 (Pinnacle) and up to 1.35 (1xBet), reflecting strong confidence in an away victory.
• Goals Tip: Back a low-scoring game (Roma win with under 3.5 goals via appropriate markets where available). Verona average only 0.7 goals for and 1.6 against per match, and Roma concede just 0.8 on average. Recent head-to-heads in Rome have been tight, and the prediction leans towards a narrow 1-0 away success. While exact under/over odds are not listed here, the strong defensive records and Verona’s frequent failures to score support a goals-leaning-under angle, combined with the short away price around 1.29–1.33.
• Value Tip: Consider a Roma win boosted via goalscorer or handicap-related markets built around D. Malen’s form. Malen has 13 goals in 17 league appearances and is central to Roma’s attack, while Verona’s defence has shipped 59 goals and kept only 6 clean sheets all season. With the straight away win priced between 1.29 (10Bet, BetVictor) and 1.35 (1xBet), adding Malen involvement or a small handicap could offer better value for bettors willing to accept higher risk.

How to Watch Hellas Verona vs AS Roma

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.