Bologna vs Inter Prediction: Preview and Betting Tips
Bologna close out their Serie A campaign with a daunting home assignment against champions-elect Inter at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on 23 May 2026. With the visitors already sitting top of the table and in the Champions League league-phase places, this clash still carries weight for both sides: Inter are chasing a statement finish, while Bologna seek a scalp that would underline a solid season.
Inter arrive in Bologna with 86 points from 37 matches and a formidable goal difference of +54, underlining why they have dominated Serie A this year. Bologna, by contrast, are eighth on 55 points from the same number of games, comfortably in the top half but short of European contention. For those looking at Bologna vs Inter prediction angles, the gap in attacking power – 86 league goals for Inter against Bologna’s 46 – is the most striking differential.
The fixture also appeals to fans searching for Bologna vs Inter betting tips and a detailed Bologna vs Inter preview. Recent head-to-head meetings have been surprisingly competitive, with Bologna claiming several notable wins, including in Serie A and the Super Cup. That history, combined with Inter’s heavy schedule and the last-day context, ensures this is no straightforward away banker despite the league table.
Bologna vs Inter Key Stats
- Bologna sit 8th in Serie A with 55 points from 37 games, scoring 46 and conceding 43.
- Inter beat Bologna 3-1 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Serie A on 4 January 2026.
- Inter average 2.3 goals scored per league game this season, while conceding just 0.9.
Bologna vs Inter — Tale of the Tape
- Position: 8 vs 1
- Points: 55 vs 86
- Goals For: 46 vs 86
- Goals Against: 43 vs 32
- Clean Sheets: Bologna 12 vs Inter 18
The season record shows a clear structural gap between these sides. Bologna’s 46 goals from 37 matches (1.2 per game) reflect a capable but not explosive attack, while 43 conceded (1.2 per game) underline a defence that is competitive but vulnerable. Their home record is mixed: six wins, three draws and nine defeats at Dall’Ara, with only 16 goals scored and 20 conceded.
Inter, by contrast, have been relentless. They have 27 wins from 37 league fixtures, with 86 goals scored (2.3 per match) and only 32 conceded (0.9 per game). Away from home they have 13 wins, two draws and just three losses, scoring 36 and conceding 16. With 18 clean sheets overall, their defensive platform is as impressive as their forward output. Bologna’s strong season still leaves them some distance behind an Inter side that has set the standard across Italy.
Bologna vs Inter Key Matchups
Riccardo Orsolini vs Lautaro Martínez
Riccardo Orsolini has been Bologna’s standout attacking threat in Serie A. The 28-year-old has 10 league goals and 1 assist from 35 appearances, starting 26 of those and logging 2,131 minutes. He has taken 66 shots with 31 on target, and his 26 key passes underline his dual role as scorer and creator. Orsolini is also a major dribbling outlet, attempting 67 dribbles and succeeding 32 times, while winning 126 of 235 duels. Four penalties scored (albeit with two missed) make him Bologna’s likely spot-kick taker.
Opposite him, Lautaro Martínez has carried Inter’s attack. In 29 appearances (26 starts, 2,124 minutes), the Argentine has 17 goals and 6 assists, supported by 69 shots and 39 on target. He contributes heavily in build-up with 583 passes and 37 key passes, and his work rate is reflected in 246 duels contested and 24 tackles. This matchup pits Bologna’s primary goal threat against Serie A’s most prolific centre-forward; if Orsolini can trouble Inter’s back line, Bologna have a puncher’s chance, but Lautaro’s efficiency makes him the likeliest decisive figure.
Federico Dimarco vs N. Cambiaghi
Federico Dimarco is Inter’s leading creator in the league with 16 assists and 6 goals from 34 appearances, playing 2,650 minutes. His delivery is elite: 1,416 passes with 94 key passes and an 83% accuracy rate. Defensively, he is no passenger, contributing 50 tackles and 30 interceptions, and he has attempted 14 dribbles, completing half. Dimarco’s ability to dictate from wide areas and set pieces is central to Inter’s attacking structure.
For Bologna, N. Cambiaghi has been a dynamic presence when available, with 3 goals and 4 assists in 28 appearances (17 starts, 1,530 minutes). He has 16 shots (6 on target), 18 key passes and an 83% pass accuracy from 397 passes, indicating efficient use of the ball. His 71 fouls drawn and 220 duels (121 won) show how often he engages defenders and wins territory. However, with Cambiaghi listed as a missing fixture due to a muscle injury, Bologna may be deprived of one of their most disruptive attacking pieces, tilting this flank battle even further in Dimarco’s favour.
Head-to-Head: Last Meetings
Recent meetings between Bologna and Inter have been far more balanced than the league table suggests, with both sides trading wins in Serie A, the Super Cup and Coppa Italia. Across their last five clashes in all competitions, Bologna have three wins, Inter have one, and there has been one draw.
- 4 January 2026: Inter 3-1 Bologna (Serie A)
- 19 December 2025: Bologna 1-1 Inter (Super Cup – Bologna won 3-2 on penalties)
- 20 April 2025: Bologna 1-0 Inter (Serie A)
- 15 January 2025: Inter 2-2 Bologna (Serie A)
- 9 March 2024: Bologna 0-1 Inter (Serie A)
Bologna vs Inter Prediction
Analysis points to Inter as favourites, but not overwhelming ones. The comparison metrics rate Inter at 63.5% overall to Bologna’s 36.5%, with clear superiority in attack (73% vs 27%) and defence (67% vs 33%). Inter’s last five league games show 11 goals scored and only 3 conceded, while Bologna’s last five return 4 scored and 6 conceded. Inter also own 18 clean sheets this campaign to Bologna’s 12.
However, the head-to-head record at Dall’Ara has been tricky for Inter, with Bologna winning 1-0 there on 20 April 2025 and also knocking Inter out of the Coppa Italia in Milan in December 2023. The prediction percentages give Bologna just 10% chance of victory, with 45% for a draw and 45% for an Inter win. Given Inter’s superior xG-style attacking averages (2.3 goals per game vs Bologna’s 1.2) and defensive record, the most plausible scenario is a controlled away performance where Inter create the clearer chances while Bologna struggle to break them down consistently.
Predicted Score: Bologna 0-2 Inter
Bologna League Form
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Inter League Form
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Bologna Possible Starting Lineup
Ł. Skorupski; L. De Silvestri, J. Lucumí, Juan Miranda, C. Lykogiannis; R. Freuler, N. Moro; L. Ferguson, F. Bernardeschi, R. Orsolini; T. Dallinga.
Bologna’s squad profile and season-long tactical trends suggest a back four is most likely, with 4-2-3-1 used in 27 league matches. Łukasz Skorupski is the senior option in goal. At the back, experienced full-backs like Lorenzo De Silvestri and Juan Miranda can flank central options such as Jhon Lucumí and Charalampos Lykogiannis. In midfield, Remo Freuler and Nikola Moro provide structure, while Lewis Ferguson offers box-to-box energy. Further forward, Federico Bernardeschi and Orsolini supply creativity and goals from wide areas, with a central striker like Thijs Dallinga leading the line. Injuries to defensive options such as M. Vitík and the absence of Cambiaghi reduce rotation possibilities, particularly in defence and attack.
Inter Possible Starting Lineup
Y. Sommer; F. Acerbi, A. Bastoni, S. de Vrij; D. Dumfries, N. Barella, H. Çalhanoğlu, Carlos Augusto, F. Dimarco; Lautaro Martínez, M. Thuram.
Inter have lined up in a 3-5-2 for all 37 league matches, and there is little reason to expect change. Yann Sommer is the established goalkeeper. The back three is likely built around Francesco Acerbi, Alessandro Bastoni and Stefan de Vrij. Out wide, Denzel Dumfries and Federico Dimarco provide width and crossing, with Carlos Augusto also an option in the wing-back or midfield roles. In central midfield, Nicolò Barella and Hakan Çalhanoğlu orchestrate play, combining high passing volumes and chance creation. Up front, the partnership of Lautaro Martínez and Marcus Thuram – with 30 league goals between them (17 for Lautaro, 13 for Thuram) and 12 combined assists – is the key attacking weapon.
Bologna Team News
Bologna have several defensive and attacking absences to manage. K. Bonifazi is unavailable due to being listed as inactive, while N. Cambiaghi misses out with a muscle injury. Defender N. Casale is sidelined by a calf injury, and M. Vitik is out with an ankle problem. These issues reduce depth in central defence and in the wide attacking positions.
Inter Team News
No significant absences reported.
Injuries & Suspensions
Bologna:
- K. Bonifazi — Reason: Inactive
- N. Cambiaghi — Reason: Muscle Injury
- N. Casale — Reason: Calf Injury
- M. Vitik — Reason: Ankle Injury
Inter:
- None reported.
Betting Tips: Bologna vs Inter
Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:
- Result Tip: Back Inter to win. Inter are rated 63.5% in the overall comparison versus Bologna’s 36.5%, with a huge edge in attack and defence and 27 league wins already. The prediction percentages give Inter a 45% chance of victory versus just 10% for Bologna. For the away win, odds around 2.15–2.30 are available, with Bet365 and 10Bet offering 2.20, Betfair 2.30 and Pinnacle 2.26.
- Goals Tip: Inter to score at least 2 goals looks attractive. They average 2.3 goals per match and have hit 86 in 37 games, while Bologna concede 1.2 per match. Recent head-to-heads include Inter scoring three in the 3-1 win on 4 January 2026 and regularly creating high volumes of chances. While specific goal-line odds are not listed, the strong attacking metrics make an Inter team-goals angle a logical extension of the match-winner market.
- Value Tip: Lautaro Martínez to score anytime is a value-driven angle. With 17 goals and 6 assists in 29 appearances, plus 69 shots and 39 on target, Lautaro is Inter’s primary finisher and penalty-area focal point. Inter’s away dominance (36 goals scored on the road) and Bologna’s absences in defence (notably N. Casale and M. Vitik) further enhance his prospects. Bettors can pair this player-focus view with the away win prices from bookmakers such as Unibet (2.10 for Inter), BetVictor (2.15) or 1xBet (2.28) to build same-game strategies.
How to Watch Bologna vs Inter
Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:
- Spain: Movistar LaLiga
- UK: Premier Sports
- Australia: beIN Sports
- India: FanCode
- MENA: beIN Sports
- South America: ESPN / Disney+
- Africa: SuperSport
Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.






