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Supra du Quebec vs Forge Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Supra du Quebec welcome Canadian Premier League leaders Forge to CEPSUM Stadium on 5 July 2026 in a Group Stage clash that already feels pivotal for both sides. The hosts are trying to establish themselves in the top half, while Forge are looking to tighten their grip on first place and underline their status as early title favourites.

Supra sit 6th with 11 points from 9 matches, hovering in mid-table with a negative goal difference and an inconsistent record. Forge, by contrast, have stormed out of the blocks: 28 points from 11 games, just one defeat and the best defensive numbers in the division. With the sides having met as recently as 13 May – a 1-0 Forge win at Tim Hortons Field – this is a quick-fire rematch that will attract plenty of attention from Canadian Premier League prediction and betting enthusiasts.

For Supra, this home fixture is a chance to claim a statement result against the benchmark team in the league and to prove they can trouble the elite. For Forge, it is about professionalism and control: extending their lead at the summit, maintaining their outstanding clean-sheet record, and showing why most Canadian Premier League predictions have them as the team to beat in 2026.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Key Stats

  • Supra du Quebec are 6th with 11 points from 9 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14 in the Canadian Premier League Group Stage.
  • The only previous meeting this season saw Forge beat Supra du Quebec 1-0 on 13 May 2026 at Tim Hortons Field.
  • Forge’s tournament statistics show 18 goals scored and only 6 conceded across 11 matches, with 7 clean sheets.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 6 vs 1
  • Points: 11 vs 28
  • Goals For: 13 vs 18
  • Goals Against: 14 vs 6
  • Clean Sheets: Supra du Quebec 0, Forge 7 (tournament statistics)

Across nine matches, Supra du Quebec have been competitive but fragile. Their 13 goals for and 14 against underline a side that can create chances – averaging 1.4 goals per game – but one that also concedes at 1.6 per match. A record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats keeps them in mid-table, but they need greater defensive stability to push towards the playoff positions.

Forge’s profile could hardly be more different. Top of the table with 28 points from 11 fixtures, they boast 9 wins, 1 draw and just 1 loss, with a +12 goal difference. They average 1.6 goals scored per game while conceding only 0.5, underpinned by 7 clean sheets. This blend of efficiency in attack and resilience at the back is exactly why they are widely viewed as the benchmark side in the Canadian Premier League right now.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Key Matchups

Sean Rea vs Brian Wright

Supra’s most influential attacking midfielder so far has been Sean Rea. In 9 appearances (8 starts), Rea has contributed 1 goal and 1 assist, with a strong average rating of 7.47. His creative numbers stand out: 115 passes with 10 key passes and an 81% accuracy rate, showing he is the main conduit between midfield and attack. He also has 4 shots (2 on target), underlining his dual threat as both creator and finisher.

For Forge, Brian Wright has been a key attacking outlet. Across 10 appearances, he has scored 2 goals, converting from 7 total shots (2 on target), and added 4 key passes from 34 total passes at 76% accuracy. Wright has also won a penalty and is active in duels (26 contested, 11 won). His ability to occupy defenders and link with the attacking midfielders makes him a focal point in Forge’s forward line. How well Supra can limit service into Wright – and how effectively Rea can find space between Forge’s lines – will go a long way to deciding the balance of this match.

Sean Rea vs B. Paton

A fascinating secondary battle is Rea’s creativity against Forge defender Benjamin Paton. Paton has started all 10 of his appearances, playing 360 minutes with a 7.4 rating. He offers both defensive solidity and build-up quality: 14 tackles, 3 interceptions and 35 duels contested (22 won), combined with 106 passes at 80% accuracy and 4 key passes. Offensively, he has chipped in with 1 goal and 1 assist.

Rea’s ability to drift into pockets and thread key passes (10 so far) will be tested by Paton’s reading of the game and tackling. If Paton can step out aggressively to close Rea down without being dragged out of position, Forge can stifle Supra’s main creative outlet. Conversely, if Rea can pull Paton into uncomfortable areas and exploit the space behind, Supra may find the gaps they need to break down the league leaders.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have only one recent competitive meeting on record in the current campaign, with Forge drawing first blood at home.

  • 13 May 2026: Forge 1-0 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Prediction

All the underlying numbers point towards Forge having the edge. Their recent form is outstanding: 9 wins from 11 league matches, a last-five record that includes 10 goals scored and 5 conceded, and 7 clean sheets overall. Supra, by contrast, are inconsistent, with a recent pattern of mixed results and no clean sheets in their 9 league fixtures.

The prediction model assigns Supra only a 10% chance of victory, with both the draw and a Forge win rated at 45% each. That effectively makes Forge strong favourites not to lose, and slight favourites overall when you factor in their superior form, defensive record and the fact they have already beaten Supra 1-0 this season. Expect Supra to be competitive at home and to create some chances – they average 1.2 goals scored per home match – but Forge’s structure and ability to manage games should see them take at least a point, and more likely all three.

Predicted Score: Supra du Quebec 0-1 Forge

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

LDWDL

Forge Recent Form

WWWWL

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

GK; Defenders; Midfielders: Sean Rea, David Choinière, Charles Auguste, Diyaeddine Abzi, Aboubacar Sissoko, Safwane Mlah, O. Boughanmi, Alessandro Biello; Forwards.

Without a confirmed lineup list for Supra, the likely core revolves around their statistical standouts. In midfield, Rea is the creative hub, supported by the passing quality of Choinière (113 passes, 5 key passes at 82% accuracy) and the defensive work of Auguste (10 tackles, 8 interceptions) and Sissoko. Abzi offers attacking thrust from the back with 5 shots and 88% passing accuracy, while Mlah provides energy and late runs from midfield. Biello and Boughanmi have both featured regularly and bring additional bite and distribution. Tactically, Supra are likely to set up with a compact midfield block, relying on Rea and overlapping full-backs like Abzi to create overloads on the flanks.

Forge Possible Starting Lineup

GK: D. Bertaud; Defenders: D. Krutzen, D. Nimick, R. Rama, A. Batisse; Midfielders: A. Aromatario, K. Bekker, B. Paton, Molham Babouli; Forwards: Brian Wright, T. Borges.

Forge’s squad profile and formation usage suggest a preference for a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3. Bertaud should anchor the side in goal, protected by a back line featuring the likes of Krutzen, Nimick, Rama and Batisse. In midfield, Aromatario (186 passes, 11 tackles, 12 interceptions) and Bekker can control tempo, with Paton offering both defensive solidity and forward thrust. In attack, Wright leads the line, supported by creative attackers such as Borges and Babouli. With 7 clean sheets and only 6 goals conceded, Forge’s tactical identity is built on a strong defensive platform, quick transitions and efficient finishing.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Forge Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Supra du Quebec:

  • None reported.

Forge:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Supra du Quebec vs Forge

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Back Forge in the double chance market (draw or Forge). With the prediction model giving Supra only a 10% win probability and Forge unbeaten in 10 of 11 matches, the away side are strong favourites to avoid defeat. Their 7 clean sheets and +12 goal difference further support a conservative pro-Forge stance.
  • Goals Tip: Under 2.5 total goals. Supra average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, but Forge’s matches have often been controlled, with only 6 goals conceded in 11 outings and a strong tendency towards low-scoring wins. The previous meeting finished 1-0 to Forge, and their defensive solidity suggests another tight encounter.
  • Value Tip: Brian Wright to score anytime. Wright has 2 goals from 10 appearances and also takes penalties when on the pitch (1 scored, 0 missed). Given Forge’s attacking averages (1.6 goals per match) and Wright’s central role in the forward line, he represents a logical value angle in the goalscorer markets.

How to Watch Supra du Quebec vs Forge

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

  • Broadcast rights vary by region; check local listings or the official tournament website for details.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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