Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Selhurst Park hosts a high-stakes Premier League finale as Crystal Palace welcome title-chasing Arsenal on 24 May 2026. With F. Hallam appointed as referee and the London ground sure to be at full voice, this clash pits a Palace side safely in mid-table against the division’s standout performers.

Crystal Palace arrive in 15th with 45 points from 37 matches, their safety assured but their recent league form of DLDLL underlining a difficult run-in. Arsenal, by contrast, sit top of the table on 82 points, boasting 25 wins from 37 and a formidable +43 goal difference. For the visitors, this is about closing out a campaign that already guarantees a Champions League league-phase place and potentially securing the Premier League title depending on other results.

From a betting perspective, Crystal Palace vs Arsenal predictions will focus heavily on the gulf in consistency and firepower. Arsenal’s superior attacking numbers and defensive solidity make them strong favourites in most markets, but Palace’s home resilience and their physical presence up front ensure this is no formality at Selhurst Park.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Key Stats

• Crystal Palace sit 15th with 45 points and a -9 goal difference (40 scored, 49 conceded) from 37 league games.
• Arsenal have dominated recent meetings, including a 5-1 away win at Selhurst Park in the Premier League on 21 December 2024.
• Arsenal average 1.9 goals per league game this season (69 scored in 37), while conceding just 0.7 per match.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 15 vs 1
• Points: 45 vs 82
• Goals For: 40 vs 69
• Goals Against: 49 vs 26
• Clean Sheets: Crystal Palace 12 vs Arsenal 19

The season record shows a clear structural gap between the sides. Palace have taken 45 points from 37 matches, with 40 goals scored and 49 conceded, reflecting a team that has been competitive but often outgunned. Their home return — 4 wins, 9 draws and 5 defeats with 18 scored and 21 conceded — points to a side that is stubborn at Selhurst Park but struggles to put teams away.

Arsenal’s campaign has been of a different order. Top of the league with 82 points, they have won 25 of 37, drawing 7 and losing only 5. Their attack has produced 69 goals, and their defence has been elite, allowing just 26. Away from home, they have 10 wins, 5 draws and only 3 defeats, scoring 28 and conceding 15. With 19 clean sheets overall, they travel as the division’s most balanced side, and their description in the standings confirms they are firmly in the Champions League league-phase zone.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Key Matchups

J. Mateta vs V. Gyökeres

Jean-Philippe Mateta is Crystal Palace’s key attacking reference. He has 11 league goals from 31 appearances, with 25 starts and 2,209 minutes, and has converted 4 penalties from 4. His 55 shots, 31 of them on target, underline his role as the primary finisher, while 289 duels and 110 won show the physical battle he brings to centre-backs.

Viktor Gyökeres leads Arsenal’s scoring charts with 14 goals in 35 appearances, starting 26 times and logging 2,238 minutes. He has also added 1 assist and converted 3 penalties from 3. With 40 shots and 22 on target, he offers ruthless efficiency in a side that already creates plenty. His 31 fouls drawn and 35 committed illustrate a striker who relishes contact and can pin Palace’s back line deep.

L. Trossard vs M. Lacroix

Leandro Trossard is one of Arsenal’s main creative hubs. In 31 appearances (21 starts), he has contributed 6 goals and 6 assists, backed by 757 passes at 77% accuracy and 36 key passes. His 56 dribble attempts with 25 successful highlight his ability to destabilise defensive structures, particularly in tight spaces between the lines.

Maxence Lacroix is central to Palace’s defensive hopes. The defender has started all 35 of his league games, amassing 3,087 minutes. He contributes on both sides of the ball with 1 goal and 2 assists, but his defensive metrics stand out: 60 tackles, 18 blocks, 45 interceptions and 204 duels won from 333. However, his card profile — 4 yellows and 1 red — suggests that Arsenal’s quick forwards and Trossard’s movement could draw risky challenges in dangerous areas.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head history is heavily tilted towards Arsenal, who have consistently found ways to win this fixture in both league and cup competitions. The Gunners have dominated the last five clashes across all tournaments.

• 23 December 2025: Arsenal 1-1 Crystal Palace (League Cup, Arsenal won on penalties) (League Cup)
• 26 October 2025: Arsenal 1-0 Crystal Palace (Premier League)
• 23 April 2025: Arsenal 2-2 Crystal Palace (Premier League)
• 21 December 2024: Crystal Palace 1-5 Arsenal (Premier League)
• 18 December 2024: Arsenal 3-2 Crystal Palace (League Cup)

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Prediction

Analysis points to an Arsenal side that should control territory and possession, with their away numbers and recent form suggesting they can break down Palace’s three-at-the-back structures. Arsenal’s league form string of WWWWL indicates four wins in their last five, backed by a last-five profile of 7 goals scored and only 2 conceded. Palace’s DLDLL run, with 5 goals for and 13 against in their last five, raises concerns about defensive resilience against one of the league’s most efficient attacks.

Head-to-head patterns reinforce the visitors’ edge: a 5-1 win at Selhurst Park in December 2024 and a series of tight but controlled home wins for Arsenal suggest that even when the scoreline is narrow, the Gunners tend to find a way. The predictions data gives Arsenal a 45% win probability and Palace just 10%, with a 45% chance of a draw, and explicitly advises a double chance of draw or Arsenal. That points towards the visitors avoiding defeat and being more likely to edge a competitive contest.

Predicted Score: Crystal Palace 1-2 Arsenal

Crystal Palace League Form

DLDLL

Arsenal League Form

WWWWL

Crystal Palace Possible Starting Lineup

W. Benítez; N. Clyne, M. Lacroix, C. Riad, B. Sosa; W. Hughes, J. Lerma, D. Kamada, A. Wharton; J. Mateta, I. Sarr

Palace have largely favoured a back three this season, with their most used shapes being 3-4-2-1 and 3-4-3. That points to Lacroix as the defensive anchor, supported by mobile wide defenders such as N. Clyne and B. Sosa. In midfield, the presence of W. Hughes, J. Lerma and D. Kamada offers work rate and ball progression, while A. Wharton can link the lines. Up front, Mateta’s physicality and penalty threat, combined with the pace of I. Sarr, give Palace a direct route to goal and a counter-attacking outlet against Arsenal’s high line.

Arsenal Possible Starting Lineup

David Raya; B. White, W. Saliba, R. Calafiori, P. Hincapié; D. Rice, Mikel Merino, M. Ødegaard; B. Saka, V. Gyökeres, L. Trossard

Arsenal have alternated between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1, with those two systems covering all of their league matches. A back four built around W. Saliba and one of R. Calafiori or P. Hincapié provides composure and aerial dominance, while D. Rice and Mikel Merino can control central spaces. M. Ødegaard’s creativity, combined with the wide threat of B. Saka and L. Trossard and the penalty-box presence of Gyökeres, gives Arsenal multiple routes to goal and should stretch Palace’s back line horizontally and vertically.

Crystal Palace Team News

No significant absences reported.

Arsenal Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Crystal Palace:

• None reported.

Arsenal:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Arsenal to win or draw (double chance). The predictions data gives Arsenal a 45% win probability and a 45% chance of a draw, with only 10% for Palace, and explicitly advises “Double chance : draw or Arsenal”. For those seeking a straight-away win, Unibet offer around 1.71 on Arsenal, while Bet365 go 1.80 and 1xBet 1.86, reflecting strong market confidence in the visitors.
• Goals Tip: Arsenal to score over 1.5 team goals. They average 1.9 goals per league game (69 in 37), while Palace concede 1.3 on average (49 in 37) and have shipped 13 in their last five. Recent H2H at Selhurst Park includes a 5-1 away win for Arsenal on 21 December 2024, underlining their scoring potential in this fixture. Bettors can pair this angle with the away win price — for example, Arsenal at 1.80 with Bet365 — in builders or same-game multis.
• Value Tip: V. Gyökeres to score anytime. As Arsenal’s top scorer with 14 goals and 3 penalties converted, he is central to their attacking scheme. Palace’s defensive leader M. Lacroix has 1 red card and 4 yellows, indicating a willingness to defend on the edge, which can lead to set-pieces and penalties where Gyökeres is dangerous. With Arsenal widely priced between 1.71 (Unibet) and 1.86 (1xBet) for the win, Gyökeres in the goalscorer markets should offer a more generous price relative to his output.

How to Watch Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.