Supra du Quebec vs Forge Prediction: Key Stats and Matchups

Supra du Quebec welcome league leaders Forge to CEPSUM Stadium on 28 August 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that pits one of the division’s strugglers against its standout side. With the hosts sitting in the lower reaches of the table and Forge clear at the top, this fixture carries very different stakes for each club.

For Supra du Quebec, currently 6th, this is about survival in the playoff race and proving they can compete with the benchmark team in the league. Their defensive record and recent form suggest a difficult night, but home advantage at CEPSUM Stadium offers a chance to reset after a run of inconsistent results.

Forge arrive in Montreal in control of the Canadian Premier League, combining the best defensive record in the competition with a consistent attack. Having already beaten Supra du Quebec three times this season, Bobby Smyrniotis’ side will expect to extend their dominance, but a packed schedule and the pressure of staying top may keep this closer than the standings alone suggest.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Key Stats

• Supra du Quebec are 6th with 19 points from 18 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 33 in the Canadian Premier League.
• Forge have won all three meetings this season: 3-2, 2-1 and 1-0 against Supra du Quebec.
• Season statistics show Supra du Quebec averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Forge average 1.6 scored and only 0.7 conceded.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 6 vs 1
• Points: 19 vs 41
• Goals For: 26 vs 29
• Goals Against: 33 vs 13
• Clean Sheets: Supra du Quebec 0, Forge 9

Across 18 matches, Supra du Quebec have struggled to find consistency. Five wins, four draws and nine defeats leave them on 19 points with a negative goal difference of -7. They have scored 26 goals but conceded 33, underlining a defensive fragility that has particularly hurt them late in games, with a significant share of goals conceded in the 76–90 minute window.

Forge, by contrast, sit top of the Canadian Premier League on 41 points from 18 matches. Their record of 13 wins, two draws and just three defeats is backed by a goal difference of +16, with 29 scored and only 13 conceded. They have kept nine clean sheets in league play, highlighting a back line that allows just 0.7 goals per game on average. The gap in defensive solidity between the two sides is stark and frames the tactical battle ahead.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Key Matchups

Loïc Adrien Kwemi vs Daniel Nimick

Supra du Quebec’s main attacking threat has been forward L. Kwemi. In 15 appearances (12 starts), he has scored 4 goals, with 12 shots and 9 on target, and converted 2 penalties from 3 overall team attempts. He also contributes defensively with 10 tackles and 3 interceptions, and his 80% passing accuracy from 122 passes suggests he can link play as well as finish chances.

He will be up against Forge centre-back D. Nimick, one of the league’s standout defenders. Nimick has started all 16 of his appearances, logging 720 minutes with a strong 7.48 rating. He has chipped in with 3 goals, 4 shots (3 on target), and 2 penalties scored, but his primary value is at the back: 8 tackles, 4 blocks, 8 interceptions and 18 duels won from 26 show his dominance in defensive duels. His 89% passing accuracy from 388 passes also helps Forge build from deep. The Kwemi–Nimick duel in and around the box could decide whether Supra du Quebec can break Forge’s defensive rhythm.

Sean Rea vs Tristan Borges

In midfield, creative responsibility for Supra du Quebec often falls to S. Rea. He has 2 assists and 1 goal from 15 appearances (14 starts), with 16 shots and 5 on target. Rea’s 22 key passes and 327 total passes at 86% accuracy underline his role as the main playmaker. He also competes well in duels (22 won from 48) and draws fouls (9), helping his side progress up the pitch.

Forge’s creative heartbeat is T. Borges. In 18 appearances (16 starts), Borges has 3 assists and 1 goal, with 11 shots and 4 on target. He has produced 17 key passes from 157 total passes at 80% accuracy and adds defensive work with 13 tackles and 6 interceptions. His 10 fouls drawn and 14 committed show he is heavily involved in midfield battles. The Rea–Borges matchup will shape the tempo and territory: if Rea can find pockets between Forge’s lines, Supra du Quebec can create; if Borges dictates, Forge’s attack will likely pin the hosts back.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have already met three times in the 2026 Canadian Premier League season, with Forge taking maximum points in a series of increasingly high-scoring encounters.

• 19 August 2026: Forge 3-2 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)
• 05 July 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-2 Forge (Canadian Premier League)
• 13 May 2026: Forge 1-0 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Prediction

Stats suggest a clear structural advantage for Forge, but the prediction model still allows heavily for a stalemate. Supra du Quebec’s recent form (DLLDW in the standings, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded in their last five according to recent metrics) shows they can trouble opponents going forward, especially in the second half where a large share of their goals arrive between 61 and 90 minutes. However, their tendency to concede late and their lack of clean sheets are serious concerns against a side as efficient as Forge.

Forge’s recent run (WWLLD in the standings, with 6 goals for and 5 against in their last five) is not flawless, but their season-long defensive numbers remain elite. They concede under a goal per game, and their attack spreads goals across multiple time windows, particularly from 16–75 minutes. Head-to-head patterns this year favour Forge, who have found ways to win tight matches (1-0, 2-1) and more open contests (3-2) against Supra du Quebec.

The prediction model gives Forge a 45% chance of victory and a 45% chance of a draw, with only a 10% probability assigned to a home win. That points strongly towards “Forge or draw” on the double-chance market. Given Supra du Quebec’s ability to score and Forge’s habit of managing games rather than blowing teams away, another competitive but controlled away performance looks likely.

Predicted Score: Supra du Quebec 1-2 Forge

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s recent form line in the standings reads DLLDW, reflecting just one win in their last five league outings. Over their last five according to recent metrics, they have scored 7 goals (1.4 per match) and conceded 8 (1.6 per match). They create enough to score in most games but remain vulnerable defensively, particularly late on, with a notable share of goals conceded in the final 15 minutes.

Forge Recent Form

Forge’s standings form shows WWLLD, a slight cooling after an earlier long winning streak but still solid. Over their last five, they have scored 6 goals (1.2 per match) and conceded 5 (1 per match). While not at their absolute peak, they continue to grind out results and maintain defensive discipline, backed by nine clean sheets across the campaign.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

No detailed squad list is available for Supra du Quebec, but key figures likely to feature include attacking focal point L. Kwemi, creative midfielders S. Rea and D. Choinière, and defensive mainstays such as D. Abzi, C. Auguste, M. Chretien and Alessandro Biello. Wide forward I. Conde and midfielder S. Mlah also profile as important rotation or starting options given their goal contributions.

Tactically, Supra du Quebec have used a range of shapes this season, most often variants of 4-2-3-1 and 4-4-2. Expect a back four anchored by Chretien and Auguste, with Abzi offering width from full-back. In midfield, Biello’s passing (338 passes at 93% accuracy) can help them build through the thirds, while Rea and Mlah provide creativity and ball progression. Up front, Kwemi’s movement and finishing will be central to any upset hopes.

Forge Possible Starting Lineup

Forge’s squad depth is clear from their player list. A likely core includes goalkeeper D. Bertaud, defenders D. Nimick and M. Jevremović, full-back R. Rama, and midfielders K. Bekker, A. Aromatario and T. Borges. In attack, options such as N. Ampomah, Molham Babouli, B. Wright and L. Johnson give them multiple profiles across the front line.

Forge have primarily alternated between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1, each used four times, with a 3-4-2-1 also appearing. Their structure is built on a solid back four, a hard-working midfield where Aromatario (25 tackles, 17 interceptions) provides bite, and creative outlets like Borges and Ampomah supporting a central striker. Expect them to control possession phases, press selectively and look to exploit Supra du Quebec’s late-game defensive lapses.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Forge Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Forge:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Supra du Quebec vs Forge

Exactly 3 distinct markets are highlighted below, built around form trends, head-to-head history and prediction probabilities.

• Result Tip: Forge Double Chance (Forge or Draw). With Forge given a 45% chance to win and a 45% chance of a draw versus just 10% for a home victory, backing the visitors not to lose aligns with both season-long dominance (41 points, best defense) and a perfect H2H record this season (three wins from three).
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 Total Goals. Supra du Quebec’s matches see 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded on average, while Forge’s games average 1.6 scored and 0.7 conceded. All three head-to-head meetings in 2026 have produced at least two goals (1-0, 2-1, 3-2), and Supra du Quebec’s late-game openness suggests further scoring potential.
• Value Tip: Anytime Goalscorer – L. Kwemi (Supra du Quebec). Kwemi has 4 goals in 15 appearances with 9 shots on target and 2 penalties scored. Despite Forge’s strong defense, Supra du Quebec have scored in two of the three meetings this season and average over a goal per match; Kwemi is the most likely home player to convert that into a tangible return.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.