Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Pacific FC welcome runaway leaders Cavalry FC to Starlight Stadium on 13 September 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that pits bottom against top. With the hosts rooted to 8th place and Cavalry setting the pace at the summit, this fixture looks like a classic meeting of a struggling side against the division’s benchmark.

For Pacific, this is about survival and pride. They have just 10 points from 20 matches and the league’s worst goal difference, and they badly need a result to stop a difficult campaign from spiralling further. Cavalry, by contrast, arrive in superb shape: 46 points from 20 games and a dominant defensive record underline their title credentials. Recent head-to-heads and current form both tilt heavily towards the visitors, but Pacific will hope home advantage at Starlight Stadium can inspire an upset.

Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC Key Stats

• Pacific FC sit 8th with 10 points from 20 matches, having won just once and conceded 42 goals in the Canadian Premier League standings.
• Cavalry FC have dominated recent meetings, winning the last three encounters in 2026 across league and cup, including a 3-0 home win on 24 May 2026.
• Season statistics show Pacific conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game (42 in 20), while Cavalry allow just 0.6 goals per game (12 in 20) with 8 clean sheets.

Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 8 vs 1
• Points: 10 vs 46
• Goals For: 25 vs 40
• Goals Against: 42 vs 12
• Clean Sheets: Pacific FC 1 vs Cavalry FC 8

The standings paint a stark picture. Pacific FC are bottom of the Canadian Premier League table with 1 win, 7 draws and 12 defeats from 20 matches. Their goal difference of -17 comes from scoring 25 and conceding 42, and their recent form string of DDWLD, while slightly improved, still reflects a side struggling to turn games into victories.

Cavalry FC, meanwhile, are 1st with 46 points, having lost only twice all campaign (14 wins, 4 draws). They have scored 40 goals and conceded just 12, giving them a commanding +28 goal difference. Home and away splits underline their balance: 23 scored and 6 conceded at home, 17 scored and 6 conceded away. Their form of WWWWD shows they are sustaining their standards deep into the season.

Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC Key Matchups

Alejandro Díaz vs Tobias Warschewski

Pacific’s main attacking hope is Alejandro Díaz. The Mexican forward has 4 goals and 1 assist from 16 appearances, with 13 starts and 607 minutes. He has been efficient in front of goal, converting 6 shots on target from 11 attempts and scoring 2 penalties from 2. His passing is tidy too, with 149 total passes at 79% accuracy, suggesting he can link play as well as finish.

On the other side, Cavalry’s creative spearhead Tobias Warschewski has been one of the league’s standout attackers. In 19 appearances (all starts) and 885 minutes, he has 4 goals and 2 assists, backed by 24 shots (14 on target). He is also a major chance creator with 25 key passes and 238 total passes at 78% accuracy. Add 29 dribble attempts and 20 fouls drawn, and you have a forward who not only scores but constantly stretches defences. Containing Warschewski will be crucial if Pacific are to keep this competitive.

Diego Konincks vs Daan Klomp

At the back, Pacific will lean heavily on defender Diego Konincks. Across 16 appearances (15 starts) and 731 minutes, he has chipped in with 3 goals and 1 assist, plus 13 shots (6 on target). Defensively he has 7 tackles, 4 blocks and 17 interceptions, with an impressive 90% pass accuracy over 511 passes. His ability to step out and play could be vital in relieving pressure and starting counters.

For Cavalry, centre-back Daan Klomp has been outstanding. In 19 starts and 959 minutes, he has 3 goals and 1 assist, showing he is a threat on set pieces. Defensively he combines 7 tackles, 5 blocks and 10 interceptions with 586 passes at 91% accuracy, underlining his role in building from the back. His duel numbers (58 total, 34 won) and 2 yellow cards show a defender who competes aggressively but stays on the right side of discipline. The battle between Konincks and Klomp at both ends on set pieces could influence the scoreline.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides are very familiar foes, and recent history strongly favours Cavalry FC. Pacific have struggled to contain Cavalry’s attack both at home and away in the last two seasons.

• 24 May 2026: Cavalry FC 3-0 Pacific FC (Canadian Premier League)
• 9 May 2026: Pacific FC 1-3 Cavalry FC (Canadian Championship)
• 5 April 2026: Pacific FC 1-2 Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League)
• 5 October 2025: Pacific FC 3-3 Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League)
• 4 August 2025: Pacific FC 1-0 Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League)

Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC Prediction

Everything points to Cavalry FC controlling this match. Their season-long defensive numbers are elite: just 12 goals conceded in 20 games and 8 clean sheets. Offensively they average 2.0 goals per match, while Pacific concede 2.1 on average and have allowed 42 overall. The comparison metrics underline the gulf: Cavalry lead the form index 68 vs 32, attack 56 vs 44, and defence 69 vs 31.

Head-to-head trends reinforce the expectation of an away result. Cavalry have already beaten Pacific three times in 2026 (3-0, 3-1, 2-1), scoring eight goals in those games. Pacific’s recent form is marginally improved, with just one defeat in their last five (DDWLD), but they still leak goals late, with a significant share conceded between 46–90 minutes. Cavalry’s scoring profile, heavy in the 46–90 minute window, suggests they are well placed to exploit that weakness.

The prediction model assigns only a 10% chance to a Pacific win, with 45% for the draw and 45% for a Cavalry victory. With the official advice being “double chance: draw or Cavalry FC”, the smart angle is that the visitors avoid defeat, and more likely edge another win. Given Pacific’s occasional attacking threat and Cavalry’s strong but not completely watertight away record, a competitive but ultimately controlled away success looks most plausible.

Predicted Score: Pacific FC 1-2 Cavalry FC

Pacific FC Recent Form

Pacific’s recent league form reads DDWLD. That run shows some resilience, with just one defeat in five, but the lack of wins across the broader campaign remains alarming: only 1 victory in 20 matches. They average 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game, and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Late collapses are a theme, with a large share of goals conceded between 46–90 minutes.

Cavalry FC Recent Form

Cavalry’s recent league form is WWWWD, reflecting a side in near-relentless winning mode. Over the season they have 14 wins, 4 draws and just 2 losses from 20 games. They score 2.0 goals per match on average and concede only 0.6. Their last-five metrics are excellent: 10 goals scored and 4 conceded, with a strong defensive index and consistent attacking output both home and away.

Pacific FC Possible Starting Lineup

GK: E. Himaras or S. Melvin; Defenders: K. Chung, C. Greco-Taylor, D. Konincks, J. Belluz, J. Quintana; Midfielders: M. Baldisimo, L. Browning-Lagerfeldt, A. Daniels, R. Juhmi, M. Bustos; Forwards: A. Díaz, S. Hundal, R. Kratt.

Pacific have several experienced defenders in Konincks, Greco-Taylor and Belluz, plus creative midfield options like Bustos and Daniels. Díaz provides the main goal threat up front. Tactically, their season statistics point to frequent use of a back four and an attacking midfielder, but with only 1 clean sheet all campaign, the emphasis will likely be on compactness and counter-attacks rather than expansive football.

Cavalry FC Possible Starting Lineup

GK: N. Ingham; Defenders: D. Klomp, A. Didic, E. Kobza, A. Pearlman; Midfielders: H. Paton, M. Baldisimo, S. Camargo, N. Edwards; Forwards: T. Warschewski, G. Ntignee, A. Musse, C. Elva.

Cavalry’s squad profile supports a flexible 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2, as reflected in their most-used formations. At the back, Klomp and Pearlman give a strong blend of distribution and defensive solidity. In midfield, Paton brings bite and ball-winning, while Camargo and Baldisimo offer control and progression. Up front, Warschewski, Ntignee and Musse provide pace, dribbling and creativity, making Cavalry dangerous in transition and on set pieces.

Pacific FC Team News

No significant absences reported.

Cavalry FC Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Pacific FC:

• None reported.

Cavalry FC:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Pacific FC vs Cavalry FC

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles based on current stats and prediction probabilities:

• Result Tip: Back Cavalry FC in the double chance (draw or away win). With Pacific given just a 10% win probability and both draw and Cavalry win rated at 45%, the safer angle is to oppose the home victory. Cavalry’s 14 wins in 20 and dominant H2H record in 2026 support this position.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Pacific’s matches average 3.4 goals (25 scored, 42 conceded in 20), while Cavalry’s average 2.6 (40 scored, 12 conceded). Recent head-to-heads between these sides have all cleared this line comfortably (3-0, 3-1, 2-1, 3-3), making a relatively open game likely.
• Value Tip: Tobias Warschewski to score or assist. He has 4 goals and 2 assists in 19 appearances, with 14 shots on target and 25 key passes, and is central to Cavalry’s attacking play. Against a Pacific defence conceding 2.1 goals per match and struggling late in games, his combined goal involvement profile offers potential value in player-focused markets.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.