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FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Prediction: Preview and Betting Tips

FC Tulsa welcome Monterey Bay to ONEOK Field in USL Championship Group Stage action on 18 June 2026, with both sides needing points for very different reasons. The hosts are currently in the promotion playoff picture, while the visitors are trying to stop a difficult campaign from slipping further away.

Playing at ONEOK Field, FC Tulsa arrive in decent shape in the standings. They sit 7th in their conference group with 16 points from 11 matches, holding a goal difference of 0 after scoring and conceding 14. That places them inside the “Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)” zone, so consolidating their position is the immediate priority.

Monterey Bay, by contrast, are 12th with 11 points from 12 games and a goal difference of -7 (13 scored, 20 conceded). They have struggled badly away from home and face a venue where they have already lost in past meetings. With FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay predictions heavily tilted toward the hosts and the head-to-head record one-sided, this looks like a key test of whether Monterey Bay can turn their season around.

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Key Stats

  • FC Tulsa are 7th with 16 points from 11 games, sitting in the USL Championship playoff positions with a 4-4-3 record and a 14-14 goal tally.
  • FC Tulsa have dominated the recent head-to-head, winning 5 of the last 7 meetings in the USL Championship, with Monterey Bay yet to win in that run.
  • FC Tulsa average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, while keeping 3 clean sheets; Monterey Bay average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded, with 2 clean sheets.

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 7 vs 12
  • Points: 16 vs 11
  • Goals For: 14 vs 13
  • Goals Against: 14 vs 20
  • Clean Sheets: FC Tulsa 3; Monterey Bay 2

The season record shows FC Tulsa as the more balanced side. They have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 11 fixtures, with their goals for and against perfectly level. That stability, coupled with a home record of 2 wins, 2 draws and just 1 loss (6 scored, 4 conceded), underpins their current playoff status.

Monterey Bay’s numbers are far more concerning. With 3 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 12 matches, they have conceded 20 goals and sit outside the promotion places. Their away form is particularly poor: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats on the road, with only 4 goals scored and 12 conceded. Against a Tulsa side that tends to be hard to break down at ONEOK Field, that away weakness is a major red flag.

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Key Matchups

Midfield battle and ball progression

Without individual scoring or assist data, the central contest is best framed around team profiles. FC Tulsa’s attacking metrics are stronger, with 14 goals from 11 games at an average of 1.3 per match, and a recent biggest away win of 1-4 highlighting their capacity to exploit space. Monterey Bay, by contrast, are less potent overall at 1.1 goals per game and far less effective away, averaging just 0.8 goals on their travels. Tulsa’s midfield unit, featuring players such as Bruno Lapa, R. Cabral and K. ElMedkhar, will look to control tempo and feed a front line that has already produced a 3-goal home ceiling this season.

Defensive resilience vs away fragility

Defensively, FC Tulsa have kept 3 clean sheets and concede an average of 0.8 goals per game at home, suggesting a relatively solid back line led by defenders like A. Cissoko, G. Robinson and L. Stauffer. Monterey Bay have managed 2 clean sheets overall but leak 2.4 goals per game away from home. With their heaviest away defeat being 4-1 and Tulsa’s biggest home win 2-0, the hosts’ defence-versus-visitors’ away back line is a key matchup that could decide whether this becomes a controlled home win or a more open contest.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The head-to-head record is heavily tilted toward FC Tulsa, who have consistently found ways to get results both home and away. Across the most recent clashes in the USL Championship, Tulsa have been unbeaten, winning the majority of those fixtures and rarely conceding more than once.

  • 3 May 2026: Monterey Bay 1-2 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)
  • 7 August 2025: Monterey Bay 2-3 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)
  • 17 July 2025: FC Tulsa 2-1 Monterey Bay (USL Championship)
  • 27 October 2024: FC Tulsa 2-1 Monterey Bay (USL Championship)
  • 14 July 2024: Monterey Bay 0-0 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Prediction

Analysis points to FC Tulsa having clear edges in form, head-to-head history and home advantage. Their league form string of LDWWW indicates three wins in their last three outings, while Monterey Bay’s WWWLL shows that a recent surge has been followed by back-to-back defeats. Tulsa’s defensive record at home, combined with Monterey Bay’s struggles on the road, suggests the hosts are well placed to control territory and limit chances.

The prediction metrics strongly favour FC Tulsa, assigning them 45% to win and 45% for the draw, with Monterey Bay given only a 10% chance. The advice leans toward a “double chance: FC Tulsa or draw”, reflecting confidence that the home side will at least avoid defeat. With both teams’ goal averages hovering around the 1–1.5 mark and Tulsa’s goals and goals against balanced, a tight, relatively low-scoring game is more likely than a shootout.

Predicted Score: FC Tulsa 1-1 Monterey Bay

FC Tulsa League Form

LDWWW

Monterey Bay League Form

WWWLL

FC Tulsa Possible Starting Lineup

T. Henry; L. Stauffer, G. Robinson, A. Cissoko, O. Damm; Bruno Lapa, R. Cabral, K. ElMedkhar, Jeorgio Kocevski; L. Dorsey, N. Pierre.

FC Tulsa have options across the pitch, with three goalkeepers available and a deep defensive group including L. Batista, A. Clarke and Ian. In midfield, creative and hard-working profiles such as Bruno Lapa, R. Cabral and K. ElMedkhar give the coach flexibility to switch between a more possession-based approach and direct transitions. In attack, L. Dorsey and N. Pierre offer mobility and depth, while the presence of multiple midfielders capable of playing advanced roles suggests a likely 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 shape at ONEOK Field.

Monterey Bay Possible Starting Lineup

F. Delgado; L. Malešević, N. Gordon, J. Garcia, S. Ritchie; S. Lletget, A. Rebollar, R. Nakamura; R. Bidois, W. Leggett, G. Lomtadze.

Monterey Bay’s squad blends youth and experience, particularly in defence where players like L. Malešević, N. Gordon and J. Garcia form the core of the back line. In midfield, the presence of S. Lletget and A. Rebollar provides control and creativity, while attacking options such as R. Bidois, W. Leggett and G. Lomtadze give them multiple goal threats. However, given their away record, they may lean towards a more conservative setup, looking to stay compact and hit FC Tulsa on the break.

FC Tulsa Team News

No significant absences reported.

Monterey Bay Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

FC Tulsa:

  • None reported.

Monterey Bay:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Back FC Tulsa in the double chance market (FC Tulsa or draw). With a 45% home win probability and 45% draw probability against just 10% for Monterey Bay, plus Tulsa’s strong head-to-head record and solid home form, the hosts avoiding defeat looks a high-percentage play, even without explicit prices listed.
  • Goals Tip: Under 2.5 total goals. FC Tulsa average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, while Monterey Bay average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded, and the prediction guidance indicates goals “under 2.5” for both sides. Several recent H2H meetings have been tight (including 0-0 and multiple 2-1 scorelines), supporting a lower-scoring angle.
  • Value Tip: Both teams to score – Yes. Despite Tulsa’s cleaner defensive record, Monterey Bay have scored 10 goals in their last five matches according to recent form metrics, while Tulsa’s last-five attacking index is at 100%. With both sides showing attacking intent in their most recent runs and H2H clashes often producing goals at both ends, BTTS could offer value where prices are generous.

How to Watch FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

  • Spain: Movistar LaLiga
  • UK: Premier Sports
  • Australia: beIN Sports
  • India: FanCode
  • MENA: beIN Sports
  • South America: ESPN / Disney+
  • Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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