Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Prediction: Match Preview and Betting Tips

Colorado Rapids II welcome North Texas to CIBER Field on 12 July 2026 in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action, with the two sides arriving in very different situations. The hosts are rooted near the bottom of the Frontier Division after a torrid campaign, while the visitors are pushing in the upper half of the standings and eyeing a playoff push.

Rapids II sit 7th in the Frontier Division with just 9 points from 17 matches and a goal difference of -20, reflecting a season dominated by defensive frailty and narrow margins going against them. North Texas, by contrast, are 5th in the Frontier Division on 22 points from 15 matches, with a positive goal difference and one of the more productive attacks in the conference.

This clash offers another chapter in a developing MLS Next Pro rivalry. Recent Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas meetings have often been high scoring and dramatic, with late goals and even penalty shootouts featuring heavily. With both sides showing attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, this fixture has all the ingredients for another open contest.

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Key Stats

• Colorado Rapids II have taken just 9 points from 17 matches, with only 2 wins and 15 defeats, scoring 15 and conceding 35 in the standings.
• Across their last five head-to-head meetings listed, neither side has dominated completely, with both teams winning and drawing in high-scoring encounters, including a 3-1 North Texas home win on 8 March 2026 and a 4-1 Colorado Rapids II away win on 3 August 2025.
• Season statistics show Rapids II conceding an average of 2.3 goals per match (39 against in 17), while North Texas score 1.9 per match and concede 1.5, underlining a clear defensive edge for the visitors.

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 7 vs 5 (Frontier Division)
• Points: 9 vs 22
• Goals For: 15 vs 26
• Goals Against: 35 vs 20
• Clean Sheets: Colorado Rapids II 1 vs North Texas 2 (season statistics)

The standings paint a stark picture. Colorado Rapids II have lost 15 of 17 matches, with a -20 goal difference and just 2 wins, leaving them 7th in the Frontier Division and 14th in the Eastern Conference table. Their defensive record is particularly alarming: 35 goals conceded in 17 games, over two per match, and only 15 scored.

North Texas, meanwhile, occupy 5th place in the Frontier Division and 10th in the Eastern Conference, with 22 points from 15 matches. They have won 7 and lost 8 with no draws, scoring 26 and conceding 20. Their away form is more mixed (3 wins and 6 losses from 9), but overall they show a far better balance between attack and defence than Rapids II, and their positive goal difference of +6 underlines that superiority.

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Key Matchups

Colorado Rapids II attack vs North Texas defence

Rapids II average just 0.9 goals per match overall in the season statistics, with 16 goals in 17 games and a home average of 0.9. They struggle to consistently create and finish chances, but they do spread their scoring across the 90 minutes, with a noticeable share in the 31–45 and 76–90 minute ranges. Against that, North Texas concede 1.5 goals per match (23 in 15), a significantly better figure than Rapids II’s 2.3 conceded. The visitors’ defensive numbers suggest they can absorb pressure and limit clear chances, especially compared to Colorado’s back line.

North Texas forwards vs Colorado Rapids II back line

North Texas bring a much more potent attack into this contest. They have 28 goals in 15 matches in the season statistics, averaging 1.9 per game and a strong 2.7 at home, 1.3 away. They are especially dangerous in the final 15 minutes of each half, with a significant share of goals between 31–45 and 76–90 minutes. That profile is a poor matchup for Rapids II, who concede 2.3 per game and have shown vulnerability throughout matches, particularly around half-time and the hour mark. If North Texas play with their usual intensity, they are well placed to exploit Colorado’s defensive lapses late in each half.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The recent history between Colorado Rapids II and North Texas has been lively, with goals at both ends and several matches decided by fine margins or penalties. Home advantage has not always been decisive, and both sides have enjoyed big wins in Arlington and Denver.

• 8 March 2026: North Texas 3-1 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro)
• 3 August 2025: North Texas 1-4 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro)
• 19 June 2025: Colorado Rapids II 1-1 North Texas (MLS Next Pro, North Texas won 4-2 on penalties)
• 21 April 2025: North Texas 2-3 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro)
• 2 September 2024: North Texas 2-2 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro, North Texas won 5-4 on penalties)

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Prediction

All indicators point to North Texas entering as clear favourites. The prediction model gives Colorado Rapids II only a 10% chance of victory, with the draw and an away win each rated at 45%. That reflects the huge gap in season-long consistency and defensive solidity between the sides.

Colorado’s recent numbers are grim: 2 wins and 15 losses, conceding heavily and failing to score in 5 of 17 matches in the season statistics. North Texas are not flawless, but they have 7 wins from 15 and a positive goal difference. Their last five matches show 11 goals scored and 8 conceded, suggesting they will come to Denver with attacking intent.

Given Rapids II’s leaky defence and North Texas’ ability to score in bursts, this match should tilt towards the visitors, though the high draw probability (45%) hints that a tight, possibly scrappy contest is also plausible. With the goal thresholds data unavailable for an exact model score, a conservative projection in line with the probabilities is that North Texas edge a relatively low-scoring encounter.

Predicted Score: Colorado Rapids II 1-2 North Texas

Colorado Rapids II Recent Form

Colorado Rapids II’s recent form has been extremely poor. Their overall run includes a long losing streak of 13 matches at one stage in their season statistics, with just isolated wins breaking up a sequence of defeats. They have struggled both home and away, rarely keeping clean sheets (only 1 in 17) and often conceding multiple goals. Even when they do score, they tend to be outgunned, reflecting their -20 goal difference in the standings.

North Texas Recent Form

North Texas’ recent form is mixed but far stronger than their hosts. They have experienced streaks of three consecutive wins and three consecutive losses in their season statistics, underlining a streaky profile. Over their last five matches they have scored 11 and conceded 8, showing a solid attacking rhythm with some defensive openness. Overall, 7 wins from 15 with no draws suggests a team that plays on the front foot and is prepared to take risks, which usually pays off against weaker opposition.

Colorado Rapids II Possible Starting Lineup

With no confirmed lineups available, a likely core group for Colorado Rapids II could feature:

Goalkeepers: Zackory Campagnolo; K. Starks Defenders: J. Cameron, J. De Coteau, C. Harper, I. Murphy, K. Thomas, G. Gilmore, A. Erickson Midfielders: C. Aquino, A. Fadal, L. Garcia, Noah Strellnauer, S. Wathuta, L. Strohmeyer, N. Tchoumba Forwards: J. Copeland, M. Diop, A. Harris, B. Jamison, D. Phillip, K. Stewart-Baynes

Rapids II have a very young squad, with many teenagers and early-20s players across all lines. That inexperience has shown in their defensive record and game management. Expect a flexible 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 shape, with the emphasis on giving attacking talents like Jamison, Harris or Copeland space to counter. However, without a settled back four and with frequent lapses, the key tactical challenge will be maintaining compactness against a more efficient North Texas attack.

North Texas Possible Starting Lineup

North Texas have more depth and balance across positions, and a probable core could include:

Goalkeepers: B. Thompson, E. Dymora Defenders: Alvaro Augusto, Leandro, Enzo Newman, Slade Starnes, Joshua Torquato, J. Biggar Midfielders: F. Aroyameh, I. Charles, N. James, M. Luccin, T. Ospina, Umberto Pela, C. Swann Forwards: D. Baran, J. Contreras, Ricky Louis, E. Nys, C. Salazar, S. Sedeh, Nicholas Simmonds, B. Flowers

North Texas can rotate between a back four and a more aggressive setup with advanced full-backs, supported by a midfield capable of both pressing and ball circulation. With several attacking options, they can stretch Colorado’s defence with pace and movement. Their tactical shape is likely to be a proactive 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, aiming to dominate territory and create overloads in wide areas, especially given Colorado’s poor defensive averages.

Colorado Rapids II Team News

No significant absences reported.

North Texas Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Colorado Rapids II:

• None reported.

North Texas:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back North Texas in the match result market. With the prediction model giving Rapids II just a 10% chance of victory and North Texas rated at 45% alongside a 45% draw probability, the visitors are clearly the stronger side in terms of form, goals scored, and defensive stability. Even factoring in home advantage for Colorado, North Texas’ superior goal difference (+6 vs -20) and 7 wins from 15 make them the logical pick.
• Goals Tip: Consider backing over 1.5 total goals. Rapids II matches average around 3.2 goals per game in the season statistics (16 scored, 39 conceded in 17), while North Texas matches average 3.4 (28 scored, 23 conceded in 15). Recent head-to-head clashes have regularly produced multiple goals, including 3-1, 4-1, 3-3 and 4-2 scorelines. Both the attacking strength of North Texas and the defensive fragility of Colorado point towards at least two goals.
• Value Tip: North Texas to score the first goal offers value. Colorado Rapids II concede early and often, with a significant share of goals against arriving before half-time in their season statistics, while North Texas are productive in both the first and final 15 minutes of halves. Given Colorado’s tendency to chase games and North Texas’ 28 goals in 15 matches, siding with the visitors to open the scoring aligns with both form and tactical profiles.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.