Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Cavalry FC welcome Supra du Quebec to ATCO Field on 26 September 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that pits the league leaders against a mid-table side still searching for consistency. With Cavalry sitting clear at the top and boasting the best attack and defence in the competition, this fixture offers another chance to underline their title credentials.

Supra du Quebec, meanwhile, arrive in Calgary knowing they have already pushed Cavalry hard this season. A 1-1 draw at CEPSUM Stadium in August showed they can live with the leaders on their day, but their overall record and goal difference highlight why they remain in the chasing pack rather than the title race. For Cavalry, it is about maintaining momentum; for Supra, it is about proving that recent improvements and their attacking threats can translate into a statement away result.

From a betting and analytical perspective, this match sits firmly in the “favourite vs dangerous underdog” category. Cavalry’s recent form, superior goal difference and strong underlying numbers make them heavy favourites, but Supra’s away scoring rate and competitive head-to-head history suggest this might be more competitive than the table alone implies.

Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats

• Cavalry FC are 1st in the Canadian Premier League with 50 points from 22 matches, scoring 42 and conceding just 13.
• In three meetings between these sides in 2026, Cavalry FC have two wins and there has been one draw, with Supra du Quebec yet to beat them.
• Across 22 league fixtures, Cavalry FC have kept 9 clean sheets in tournament statistics, while Supra du Quebec have managed just 2.

Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 1 vs 6
• Points: 50 vs 25
• Goals For: 42 vs 31
• Goals Against: 13 vs 38
• Clean Sheets: Cavalry FC 9 vs Supra du Quebec 2 (tournament statistics across 22 matches each)

The standings underline just how dominant Cavalry FC have been. With 15 wins from 22 matches and only 2 defeats, they have built a 50-point total and a formidable +29 goal difference. They are unbeaten at ATCO Field, winning 8 and drawing 3 at home, with 24 goals scored and only 7 conceded.

Supra du Quebec sit 6th with 25 points from 22 games and a -7 goal difference. Their 31 goals scored show they can threaten, particularly away from home where they average 1.8 goals per game, but 38 conceded (1.7 per match) reveal a porous defence. While Supra’s away record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses is respectable, the gulf in defensive solidity and consistency between these sides is clear.

Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups

T. Warschewski vs L. Kwemi

Tobias Warschewski has been a creative and scoring hub for Cavalry FC. In 21 appearances (all starts) and 1,065 minutes, he has contributed 4 goals and 3 assists, with 29 shots (16 on target) and 33 key passes. His 7.14 rating reflects his dual threat as both finisher and provider, and he has also converted 2 penalties. Warschewski’s ability to find pockets between the lines and deliver quality in the final third will be central to breaking down Supra’s defence.

For Supra du Quebec, Loïc Adrien Kwemi leads the line with 6 goals in 20 appearances (16 starts) over 794 minutes. He has taken 28 shots, 16 on target, and maintains a strong 7.15 rating. While he has yet to register an assist, his penalty record (2 scored) and physical profile make him a focal point in attack. If Supra are to trouble Cavalry’s miserly back line, Kwemi’s finishing and movement will be crucial, especially given Cavalry’s tendency to concede a significant share of their goals late in halves.

S. Rea vs D. Klomp

Sean Rea is Supra du Quebec’s main creative force from midfield. In 20 appearances (19 starts) and 1,016 minutes, he has produced 2 goals and 3 assists, with an impressive 37 key passes and 33 shots (12 on target). His 7.2 rating and 85% passing accuracy highlight his influence in progressing play and unlocking defences. Rea’s ability to find Kwemi and others in advanced positions will be key to Supra’s counter-attacking prospects.

At the other end, Cavalry defender Daan Klomp has been outstanding. In 21 starts and 1,139 minutes, he has chipped in with 4 goals and 1 assist, underlining his set-piece threat. Defensively, he has 10 tackles, 5 blocks and 14 interceptions, winning 44 of 78 duels and completing 693 passes at 90% accuracy. Klomp’s aerial dominance and distribution from the back will be vital in both nullifying Kwemi and initiating Cavalry’s build-up, especially against a Supra side that concedes heavily in the final quarter of matches.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These teams have already met three times in the 2026 Canadian Premier League season, with Cavalry FC generally having the upper hand but Supra du Quebec proving they can compete.

• 09 August 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-1 Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League)
• 29 July 2026: Cavalry FC 2-1 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)
• 03 May 2026: Supra du Quebec 0-1 Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League)

Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Stats suggest a match where Cavalry FC control territory and possession, while Supra du Quebec look to exploit transitions. Cavalry’s recent run is outstanding: their last-five metrics show 9 goals scored and only 3 conceded, with strong attack and defence indices. Supra’s last five are more mixed, with 6 scored and 6 conceded, reflecting their inconsistent campaign.

The prediction model gives Cavalry a 50 out of 100 chance of winning, with a 50 out of 100 chance of a draw and essentially no expectation of a Supra victory. That aligns with the league table and underlying numbers: Cavalry average 1.9 goals per game and concede just 0.6, while Supra score 1.4 and concede 1.7 on average. Head-to-head history also leans towards the hosts, with Cavalry unbeaten in three meetings this year.

Given Cavalry’s strong home form, defensive solidity and superior squad depth, they should have enough to edge a competitive encounter. Supra’s away scoring record and the fact they have found the net in all three 2026 meetings suggest they can threaten, but sustaining that over 90 minutes against the league leaders is a different task.

Predicted Score: Cavalry FC 2-1 Supra du Quebec

Cavalry FC Recent Form

Cavalry FC’s recent form in the Canadian Premier League has been excellent, with a long run dominated by wins and only isolated setbacks. They have been particularly strong defensively, rarely conceding more than once in a match, and their attack has been consistently productive both home and away. Their current league form string is built on extended winning streaks and very few draws or losses, underlining their status as the standout side in the competition.

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s recent form has been patchy. Their league results have alternated between wins and losses, with only occasional draws, reflecting a side that can raise its level on a good day but struggles to maintain consistency. Defensive lapses, especially late in games, have cost them points, even as their attacking players continue to create and convert chances at a decent rate.

Cavalry FC Possible Starting Lineup

GK: N. Ingham; Defenders: D. Klomp, A. Didic, C. Ofori, L. Laing; Midfielders: H. Paton, M. Baldisimo, S. Camargo, G. Ntignee; Forwards: T. Warschewski, A. Musse.

Cavalry FC have a deep and balanced squad. At the back, the presence of D. Klomp and A. Didic offers aerial strength and composure in possession, while full-backs like C. Ofori and L. Laing can support in wide areas. In midfield, H. Paton and M. Baldisimo provide work rate and ball circulation, with S. Camargo adding creativity. Further forward, G. Ntignee brings dribbling and direct running, and T. Warschewski operates as the main attacking reference, supported by the pace and movement of A. Musse. Tactically, Cavalry often line up in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2, allowing them to control central areas and overload wide zones.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

Key players likely to feature include defenders D. Abzi, C. Auguste and M. Chretien, midfielders S. Rea, D. Choinière, A. Sissoko and Alessandro Biello, and attackers L. Kwemi and I. Conde.

Supra du Quebec have used both 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3 shapes this season, and that flexibility should continue. At the back, D. Abzi and C. Auguste offer energy and defensive work, while M. Chretien adds composure and passing from central defence. In midfield, the combination of Alessandro Biello and A. Sissoko gives them ball-winning and distribution, with S. Rea and D. Choinière providing creativity and forward runs. Up front, Kwemi leads the line with support from the likes of Conde, giving Supra a mix of physicality and technical quality in attack.

Cavalry FC Team News

No significant absences reported.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Cavalry FC:

• None reported.

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec

Below are three betting angles based on form, head-to-head data and predictive percentages. No specific bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so these are market-type recommendations rather than price-specific picks.

• Result Tip: Back Cavalry FC in the Match Result or Double Chance market. With a 50 out of 100 implied win chance and a further 50 out of 100 on the draw, the model strongly favours Cavalry avoiding defeat. Their unbeaten home record (8 wins, 3 draws) and dominant goal difference make them a solid anchor for result-based bets.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 Total Goals. Cavalry average 1.9 goals scored per match and concede 0.6, while Supra average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded. All three 2026 meetings have seen at least one goal for Cavalry and two of them have produced two or more goals (2-1, 1-1). A line around over 1.5 goals looks statistically well supported.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Yes, as a speculative value angle. Supra du Quebec score 1.8 goals per game away from home and have found the net in all three 2026 encounters with Cavalry. With attacking threats like Kwemi and Rea against a Cavalry side that can occasionally concede late, BTTS could offer value if priced generously.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.