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Benfica vs OFI Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Benfica host OFI in Lisbon on 10 December 2026 in the UEFA Europa League League Stage, with both sides looking to consolidate their positions in the competition’s new Swiss-style format. The Portuguese giants arrive as one of the seeded clubs, while OFI are early surprise packages after a perfect start to their continental campaign.

On the league table for the League Round, Benfica are listed 4th with 0 points, while OFI sit 25th, also on 0 points. Those standings mostly reflect seeding rather than current results, but the underlying tournament statistics tell a clearer story: Benfica have already played six Europa League fixtures in 2026, scoring freely and establishing themselves as one of the most dangerous attacking units, while OFI have been flawless in a smaller two-match sample, combining efficiency in front of goal with defensive solidity.

This clash will help shape the final League Stage picture, with Benfica aiming to underline their status as contenders and OFI seeking a statement result against a European heavyweight. For fans searching for Benfica vs OFI prediction and Europa League betting tips, this matchup offers a fascinating contrast between a high-volume, high-scoring favourite and a compact, defensively perfect outsider.

Benfica vs OFI Key Stats

  • Benfica are ranked 4th in the League Round standings, with a strong recent form run of WWDWW noted at league level.
  • There are no recorded recent head-to-head meetings between Benfica and OFI in the available data.
  • In 6 Europa League fixtures in 2026, Benfica have scored 19 goals (3.2 per game) and conceded 6, while OFI have scored 5 and conceded 0 across 2 matches.

Benfica vs OFI — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 4 vs 25
  • Points: 0 vs 0
  • Goals For: 0 vs 0
  • Goals Against: 0 vs 0
  • Clean Sheets: Benfica 1 (tournament statistics), OFI 2 (tournament statistics)

While the League Round table itself is not yet populated with goals and points from group fixtures (both sides are listed with 0 goals for and against), the broader tournament statistics paint a clear hierarchy. Benfica’s six Europa League games have produced 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 19 goals scored and just 6 conceded. At home, they have been devastating, averaging 4.7 goals per match with a best result of 6-1.

OFI’s sample is smaller but impressive: 2 wins from 2, with a 3-0 home victory and a 2-0 away success, and no goals conceded. Their 3-4-3 setup has delivered balance, but they have not yet been tested by an attack of Benfica’s calibre. The comparison indices in the prediction model heavily favour Benfica overall (total index 73.0 vs 27.0), though OFI’s defensive index stands out as perfect in their limited minutes.

Benfica vs OFI Key Matchups

V. Pavlidis vs OFI Back Line

Vangelis Pavlidis has been the standout individual in this Europa League campaign. For Benfica, he has 5 goals and 1 assist in just 3 appearances, operating as a central forward and also topping the assists and yellow cards lists for the club in Europe. His combination of finishing and link-up play makes him the central reference point of Benfica’s attack.

OFI’s defensive unit has yet to concede in two Europa League matches, keeping clean sheets in both a 3-0 home win and a 2-0 away win. Their 3-4-3 formation suggests a back three likely built around experienced defenders such as Borja González, N. Marinakis, A. Poungouras and D. Nikolaou. The battle between Pavlidis’ movement and OFI’s compact back line will go a long way to determining whether the Greek side can extend their perfect defensive record.

Rafa & A. Schjelderup vs OFI Midfield Screen

Rafa has chipped in with 2 goals and 1 assist across 4 Europa League appearances, providing penetration from midfield or wide areas. Alongside him, Andreas Schjelderup has 1 goal and 1 assist in 3 games, underlining Benfica’s depth of creative options behind Pavlidis. Both also appear among the top assist providers for the club in this competition.

OFI’s midfield shield, likely involving players such as A. Bouchalakis, G. Kanellópoulos or Z. Karachalios, must cope with Benfica’s runners between the lines. With OFI yet to concede, their central block has been effective so far, but the combination of Rafa’s dribbling and Schjelderup’s timing of runs will be a far sterner test than anything they have faced in their first two matches.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

There are no recent recorded head-to-head meetings between Benfica and OFI in this competition or other listed fixtures. This will therefore be a fresh tactical encounter, with no direct historical benchmark to lean on.

    Benfica vs OFI Prediction

    The stylistic clash is clear. Benfica are an attacking juggernaut in this Europa League campaign, averaging 3.2 goals per game across 6 fixtures and scoring in every match. They spread their goals across the 90 minutes, with particularly strong phases between 31–45 and 76–90 minutes. Defensively, they have been solid rather than flawless, conceding 6 times, often in the latter stages of halves.

    OFI, by contrast, have built their early success on control and defensive perfection: 2 wins from 2, 5 goals scored, none conceded. Their last-five metrics show a 100 form index and a 100 defensive index, albeit from a small sample. The prediction model still tilts towards Benfica as the likely winner, assigning 35% to a home win, 35% to a draw and 30% to an OFI victory. That relatively compressed spread acknowledges OFI’s form but recognises Benfica’s superior attacking power and deeper European experience.

    Given Benfica’s scoring volume and OFI’s yet-untested defence at this level, the most plausible scenario is Benfica eventually breaking down the visitors, especially in the second half, while OFI may struggle to generate enough high-quality chances to outscore them. A competitive match is likely, but the home side should edge it.

    Predicted Score: Benfica 2-1 OFI

    Benfica Recent Form

    Benfica’s League Stage form line is WWDWW, indicating four wins and one draw across their recent Europa League fixtures, with no defeats in that specific run. Broader tournament statistics list a sequence of LWWDWW, underlining that after an early setback they have responded with consistent positive results, powered by a prolific attack and reliable home performances.

    OFI Recent Form

    OFI’s recent Europa League form is simply WW. In their two matches, they have been perfect: two wins, 5 goals scored and none conceded. While the sample size is small, it reflects a side arriving in Lisbon full of confidence, having combined efficient finishing with a watertight defensive structure.

    Benfica Possible Starting Lineup

    Likely key players (not a confirmed XI): GK A. Trubin; Defenders C. Lenglet, Tomás Araújo, A. Bah, S. Dahl; Midfielders João Palhinha, L. Barreiro, E. Barrenechea, H. Sudakov, Rafa; Forward V. Pavlidis, with support options such as D. Lukebakio, J. Durán and A. Schjelderup.

    Benfica have typically lined up in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-1-3-2 during this Europa League campaign, and the squad list supports similar structures. C. Lenglet and Tomás Araújo provide goal threat from the back (each with 1 goal in Europe), while A. Bah contributes width and an assist from right-back. In midfield, Palhinha and Barreiro can anchor, freeing creative players like Rafa, Sudakov and Kamiński (each with assists) to feed Pavlidis. With no listed absences and significant depth in attack, Benfica should be able to field a near full-strength side.

    OFI Possible Starting Lineup

    Likely key players (not a confirmed XI): GK N. Christogeorgos; Defenders Borja González, N. Marinakis, A. Poungouras, D. Nikolaou; Midfielders A. Bouchalakis, G. Kanellópoulos, T. Androutsos, L. Dickmann; Forwards Aitor Cantalapiedra, T. Fountas or K. Kodro.

    OFI’s Europa League statistics show a preference for a 3-4-3 shape in their two matches, suggesting a back three with wing-backs and a flexible front line. Their clean-sheet record (2 in 2 games) indicates strong organisation, with experienced defenders and midfielders shielding the back line. They will likely keep a compact block, look to break through wide forwards, and rely on clinical finishing to punish any Benfica errors.

    Benfica Team News

    No significant absences reported.

    OFI Team News

    No significant absences reported.

    Injuries & Suspensions

    Benfica:

    • None reported.

    OFI:

    • None reported.

    Betting Tips: Benfica vs OFI

    Below are three data-driven betting angles for this Europa League League Stage clash.

    • Result Tip: Benfica to win. The prediction model gives Benfica a 35% chance of victory, slightly ahead of OFI’s 30%, with the remaining 35% on the draw. Benfica’s attacking record (19 goals in 6 Europa League games) and strong home scoring average of 4.7 per match suggest they are more likely to edge a tight contest, despite OFI’s perfect start.
    • Goals Tip: Over 2.5 match goals. Benfica’s fixtures in this competition have been high scoring, with 4 of their 6 games clearing the 2.5-goal line and an average of 4.2 total goals per home match (14 scored, 2 conceded in 3 home ties). OFI have averaged 2.5 goals for per game themselves. Even allowing for their strong defence, the combination points towards a match with at least three goals.
    • Value Tip: V. Pavlidis to score anytime. Pavlidis has 5 goals in 3 Europa League appearances, plus 1 assist, and also features at the top of Benfica’s yellow-card and assist charts. With Benfica creating chances at will (19 goals in 6 games) and Pavlidis the focal point, backing him to find the net again offers strong value in player markets.

    Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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