Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Atlético Ottawa welcome Supra du Quebec to TD Place Stadium on 20 September 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that could prove pivotal at both ends of the table. The hosts are firmly in the upper half, sitting 3rd, while the visitors arrive in Ottawa in 7th and fighting to claw their way back into the playoff conversation.

Across the league campaign, Atlético Ottawa have been stronger overall, particularly at home, but Supra du Quebec have already shown they can trouble them, especially in cup play. With multiple high-scoring meetings between these sides in 2026, this fixture shapes up as one of the more intriguing attacking matchups on the CPL calendar.

With Ottawa chasing consolidation in the top three and Supra trying to close a 12-point gap, the stakes are clear: the home side are targeting three points to keep pressure on the teams above, while the visitors badly need a statement result to avoid being cut adrift.

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats

• Atlético Ottawa are 3rd with 34 points from 22 matches, winning 7 of 11 at home and losing just once in Ottawa.
• The sides have already met four times in 2026 across league and cup at Ottawa or Quebec venues, with Atlético Ottawa winning three of the five most recent H2H clashes.
• Season statistics show Atlético Ottawa with 4 clean sheets in the league, while Supra du Quebec have managed just 1 clean sheet across 21 matches.

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 3 vs 7
• Points: 34 vs 22
• Goals For: 34 vs 29
• Goals Against: 37 vs 38
• Clean Sheets: 4 vs 1

In the league standings, Atlético Ottawa hold a clear edge. They have collected 34 points from 22 matches with a 10-4-8 record and a goal difference of -3. Despite the negative goal difference, their home record is excellent: 7 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 defeat at TD Place Stadium, scoring 21 and conceding 13.

Supra du Quebec, by contrast, sit 7th on 22 points from 21 games (6 wins, 4 draws, 11 defeats) with a goal difference of -9. They have been competitive away from home, with 3 wins and 2 draws in 10 road matches, but they concede heavily (21 goals against away). Both teams average around 1.5 goals scored per game and concede between 1.7 and 1.8, underlining why their previous meetings have often turned into open, attacking contests.

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups

B. Tabla vs L. Kwemi

Ballou Jean-Yves Tabla is a central attacking figure for Atlético Ottawa. Across 22 league appearances (21 starts), he has scored 5 goals and provided 1 assist. His efficiency is solid: 19 shots with 13 on target, and he is heavily involved in buildup play with 278 passes at an 85% accuracy rate and 9 key passes. Tabla also brings dribbling threat (26 attempts, 12 successful) and draws plenty of fouls (25), making him a constant nuisance between the lines.

For Supra du Quebec, Loïc Adrien Kwemi carries a similar attacking burden. In 19 appearances (15 starts), he has also scored 5 goals, adding 2 penalties converted from 2 attempts. He has 22 shots with 11 on target and 210 passes at 81% accuracy, plus 13 key passes, showing he can both finish and create. His 52 dribble attempts with 24 successes highlight his ability to beat defenders one-on-one, though he commits more fouls (16) than he draws (5), reflecting his combative style.

This duel between two five-goal forwards could decide the game: Tabla’s link play and movement against Kwemi’s direct running and penalty-box presence.

N. Fleuriau Chateau vs D. Choinière

Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau offers Atlético Ottawa a dynamic attacking option. In just 9 appearances (7 starts) and 368 minutes, he has 3 goals and 2 assists, an impressive output for his playing time. He has taken 14 shots (6 on target) and contributed 3 key passes. His dual presence in both top scorers and top assists lists underlines his all-round attacking impact.

On the other side, David Choinière is a key creative midfielder for Supra du Quebec. In 20 appearances (16 starts), he has delivered 4 assists, with 305 passes at 86% accuracy and 19 key passes — one of the league’s more productive playmakers. He also contributes defensively with 9 tackles and 5 interceptions, and draws 10 fouls while committing 7.

Fleuriau Chateau’s goal threat and secondary creativity will test a Supra back line that struggles for clean sheets, while Choinière’s ability to unlock defences with precise passing could be crucial if Supra look to exploit Ottawa’s tendency to concede.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These teams have become very familiar foes in 2026, meeting in both the Canadian Premier League and Canadian Championship. Recent clashes have been high scoring and often finely balanced.

• 16 August 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-2 Atlético Ottawa (Canadian Premier League)
• 11 August 2026: Atlético Ottawa 3-3 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Championship)
• 8 July 2026: Supra du Quebec 3-1 Atlético Ottawa (Canadian Championship)
• 9 June 2026: Atlético Ottawa 5-3 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)
• 19 April 2026: Supra du Quebec 0-1 Atlético Ottawa (Canadian Premier League)

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Stats suggest a finely balanced contest with a slight edge to the home side. Atlético Ottawa’s home form is strong, and they have already beaten Supra du Quebec twice in league play this year (5-3 at home and 2-1 away). Their attack tends to grow into games, with a significant share of goals coming after the hour mark, while Supra are vulnerable late, conceding a large proportion of their goals between 76 and 90 minutes.

However, Supra du Quebec have shown they can score freely against Ottawa, netting 3 goals in each of their last three meetings across competitions. Ottawa concede an average of 1.7 goals per match, and Supra 1.8, so another open encounter is likely. The prediction model gives Atlético Ottawa a 45% chance of victory, a 45% chance of a draw, and just a 10% chance of a Supra win, underlining the home side’s status as clear favourite with strong draw protection.

Predicted Score: Atlético Ottawa 2-1 Supra du Quebec

Atlético Ottawa Recent Form

In the league, Atlético Ottawa’s recent form line is mixed but competitive. Over their last run of matches, they have alternated wins and losses, reflecting a side that can beat anyone on their day but is not immune to defensive lapses. Overall, 10 wins from 22 and only one home defeat underline a solid, if slightly inconsistent, campaign.

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s recent form has been more erratic. With 6 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats in 21 league games, they have struggled to string together positive results. Their form pattern includes frequent losses punctuated by occasional wins and draws, and they have just 1 clean sheet all season, highlighting persistent defensive issues despite some bright attacking performances.

Atlético Ottawa Possible Starting Lineup

GK: T. Crampton or C. Kalongo; Defenders: J. Dunn-Johnson, Sergei Kozlovskiy, W. Timóteo, Rony Mbomio; Midfielders: M. Aparicio, G. Antinoro, D. Gutiérrez, K. Habibullah; Forwards: B. Tabla, N. Fleuriau Chateau, E. García.

Atlético Ottawa have a deep squad, particularly in midfield and attack. Manuel Aparicio anchors the midfield with high passing volume and aggression, while Gabriel Antinoro offers ball-carrying and pressing from central areas. In attack, the combination of Tabla, Fleuriau Chateau and García provides goals, assists and dribbling threat. Ottawa have used multiple formations (3-4-3, 4-4-2, 4-2-3-1), so expect tactical flexibility, but the core attacking pieces are likely to start if available.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

With no detailed squad list provided, the likely key names for Supra du Quebec are: Defenders: D. Abzi, C. Auguste, M. Chretien; Midfielders: D. Choinière, S. Rea, A. Sissoko, Alessandro Biello; Forwards: L. Kwemi, I. Conde.

Supra du Quebec have favoured a 4-2-3-1 shape this season, and that system suits their personnel. The back line leans heavily on Abzi and Chretien, both aggressive defenders who also contribute on the ball. In midfield, Choinière and Rea are the creative hubs, combining for 7 assists and 52 key passes between them. Up front, Kwemi is the main goal threat, supported by Conde’s secondary scoring and link play.

Atlético Ottawa Team News

No significant absences reported.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Atlético Ottawa:

• None reported.

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Atlético Ottawa in the double chance (home win or draw). The prediction model assigns 45% to a home win and 45% to a draw, with only 10% for an away victory. Ottawa’s strong home record (7 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss) and better clean-sheet numbers make them the safer side to side with in the main result market.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 goals. Both teams average around 1.5 goals scored per match and concede around 1.7–1.8. Recent H2H results have produced scorelines of 5-3, 3-3, 3-1 and 2-1, all comfortably over 2.5. Ottawa’s league under/over profile also shows a good number of matches with at least one goal for each side, and both defences are far from watertight.
• Value Tip: Anytime goalscorer – B. Tabla. With 5 goals and 1 assist in 22 appearances, 13 shots on target from 19 attempts, and a key role in Ottawa’s attack (plus penalty involvement with 1 scored from 1 taken), Tabla offers a strong combination of volume and efficiency. Given Supra’s record of 38 goals conceded and only 1 clean sheet, odds on Tabla to score at any time could offer value.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.