NorthStandCA logo

Ventura County vs The Town Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Ventura County and The Town meet again at Dignity Health Sports Park on 25 July 2026 in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action, with both sides eyeing crucial points in the Pacific Division race. The hosts come in sitting near the top of the section, while the visitors have been the more explosive attacking side so far this season.

Ventura County are currently on 32 points from 19 matches, combining a strong home record with a direct, high-scoring style. The Town, four points back on 28 from 17 games, have games in hand and a superior goal difference, underlining their potential to climb if they can tighten up defensively on the road.

This fixture has developed into one of the more intriguing clashes in MLS Next Pro, with recent meetings packed with goals and narrative swings. With both teams averaging close to or above two goals scored per game, this looks primed to be another open, attacking contest that will interest neutral fans and bettors alike.

Ventura County vs The Town Key Stats

  • Ventura County have 32 points from 19 matches, with 34 goals scored and 27 conceded in the standings.
  • The Town have scored at least three goals in each of their last four wins over Ventura County at Dignity Health Sports Park, including a 3-1 away victory on 2 May 2026.
  • In 2026 tournament statistics, Ventura County average 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while The Town average 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Ventura County vs The Town — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 2 vs 4 (Pacific Division)
  • Points: 32 vs 28
  • Goals For: 34 vs 37
  • Goals Against: 27 vs 20
  • Clean Sheets: Ventura County 5, The Town 2 (tournament statistics)

In the Pacific Division standings, Ventura County sit 2nd with 32 points from 19 matches, built on 11 wins and no draws. They have scored 34 and conceded 27, showing both attacking ambition and some defensive vulnerability. At home they have been strong, winning 6 of 10 with 21 goals scored and only 13 conceded.

The Town are 4th in the same group on 28 points from 17 matches, with 9 wins and 8 defeats. Their goal difference of +17 (37 scored, 20 conceded) is significantly better than Ventura County’s +7, reflecting a more dominant scoring profile and a tighter defence overall. However, their away record is more mixed: 4 wins and 5 losses from 9 away games, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.

Ventura County vs The Town Key Matchups

Ventura County attack vs The Town attack

Without individual scorer data, the key battle is between two high-powered forward units. Ventura County’s tournament statistics show 37 goals in 19 matches, averaging 1.9 per game, with particularly strong periods between 46–75 minutes where a significant share of their goals arrive. The Town, meanwhile, have 38 goals in 17 games, averaging 2.2 per match, and are especially dangerous late in first halves, with a large proportion of their goals coming between 31–45 minutes.

Both sides also create enough volume to push games over common goal lines: Ventura County have gone over 1.5 goals in 12 of 19 matches and over 2.5 in 5 of 19, while The Town have gone over 1.5 in 9 of 17 and over 2.5 in 8 of 17. This suggests a matchup where either attack is capable of taking control, especially if defensive concentration dips around half-time or in the final quarter of an hour.

Ventura County defence vs The Town defence

On the defensive side, Ventura County concede 1.5 goals per match (29 in 19), with a noticeable vulnerability from 46–75 minutes where a significant share of their goals against are shipped. The Town are marginally more solid overall, conceding 22 in 17 (1.3 per match), but their away record shows 16 conceded in 9 games (1.8 per match), pointing to more openness on the road.

Both teams have recorded clean sheets in this tournament — Ventura County with 5 and The Town with 2 — but the pattern of recent head-to-heads, which have regularly featured three or more goals, suggests that sustained defensive control from either side is unlikely over the full 90 minutes.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have met frequently in MLS Next Pro in recent years, with The Town enjoying notable success, especially in high-scoring encounters. Recent clashes have often been decided by fast starts from the visitors and late goals when Ventura County chase the game.

  • 2 May 2026: Ventura County 1-3 The Town (MLS Next Pro)
  • 22 September 2025: Ventura County 0-4 The Town (MLS Next Pro)
  • 16 August 2025: The Town 4-1 Ventura County (MLS Next Pro)
  • 30 June 2025: The Town 1-1 Ventura County, 4-3 pens (MLS Next Pro)
  • 29 July 2024: Ventura County 0-4 The Town (MLS Next Pro)

Ventura County vs The Town Prediction

Stats suggest a finely balanced contest despite The Town’s historical dominance in recent head-to-heads. The prediction model gives The Town a 45% chance of victory, Ventura County just 10%, and the draw also at 45%. That points strongly towards backing the visitors on a double-chance basis, but also highlights the realistic prospect of a stalemate in a high-intensity group-stage fixture.

Ventura County’s recent form is mixed but they remain potent at home, while The Town’s attacking numbers and past success at Dignity Health Sports Park make them a dangerous visitor. With both averaging over two goals scored per match in their last five games and conceding more than one per outing, another open game with chances at both ends is expected. Given the lack of a reliable scoreline from the goals projection (threshold markers rather than exact goals), a conservative call is a tight, high-energy draw with both teams scoring.

Predicted Score: Ventura County 2-2 The Town

Ventura County Recent Form

Ventura County’s recent form in the standings is streaky but positive overall. Their run of results reads WLWLOW, reflecting a side that tends to win or lose rather than draw. Across 19 matches they have 11 wins and 8 defeats, underlining both their attacking intent and some defensive inconsistency. In their last five matches in the prediction model’s sample, they have scored 11 goals (2.2 per game) and conceded 7 (1.4 per game), pointing to a side more than capable of trading blows.

The Town Recent Form

The Town’s standings form line of LLWWL shows inconsistency as well, with back-to-back defeats followed by two wins and then another loss. Overall, they have 9 wins and 8 defeats from 17 matches, with no draws. In their last five games they mirror Ventura County’s attacking output with 11 goals scored (2.2 per match) but concede slightly more at 1.6 per game. They remain dangerous going forward but can be exposed, particularly away from home.

Ventura County Possible Starting Lineup

With no confirmed lineups available, a likely Ventura County selection will be built around their known squad core: goalkeepers S. Conlon and B. Scott competing for the starting spot; defenders such as R. Dalgado, S. Hernandez, Harbor Miller, Pepe and C. Rindov; a midfield group including G. Arnold, T. Elgersma, C. Gozdieski, Tucker Lepley, I. Parente, R. Ramos, M. Tsakiris, D. Vanney, M. Vanney and A. Vilamitjana; and attackers like O. Aina, I. Luna, A. Medina, J. Placias, E. Preston, E. Rios and Maximus Steelman.

Given their attacking averages, Ventura County are likely to set up in an offensive shape with multiple forward-minded players and energetic midfielders pushing high. The depth in young attacking options such as Aina, Luna and Steelman suggests they can rotate and maintain intensity, but the lack of draws and relatively high goals-against figure indicates they may leave spaces in transition.

The Town Possible Starting Lineup

The Town have several options in goal with M. Avalos, N. Crockford, M. Gomez, C. Lambe and Francesco Montali all listed, though Crockford and Montali stand out as experienced choices. In defence, players like A. Cano, N. Dossmann, M. Floriani, J. Heisner and Jack Jasinski give solidity and height. Midfield options include Z. Bohane, G. Bracken Serra, N. Buck, N. Fernandez, D. Lorenti, E. Mendoza, Nikko Perez, R. Rajagopal and K. Spivey.

In attack, The Town can call on N. Adimabua, T. Allen, D. Baptista, R. Castro, J. Donnery, Jayden Fitzgerald Boes, Y. Kikuchi, M. Kwende, J. Spivey and S. de Flores. With 38 goals in 17 matches, they are likely to field an aggressive front line, possibly with pace in wide areas and a focal point up front. Their away defensive record suggests they may rely on outscoring opponents rather than sitting deep.

Ventura County Team News

No significant absences reported.

The Town Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Ventura County:

  • None reported.

The Town:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Ventura County vs The Town

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Back The Town on the double chance (draw or away win). The prediction model gives Ventura County only a 10% chance of victory, with The Town and the draw each at 45%. Combined with The Town’s strong recent record at Dignity Health Sports Park and superior goal difference, a double-chance angle on the visitors looks the most sensible way to side with the market favourite while protecting against a draw.
  • Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Both teams average over 2 goals scored per match in recent games, and Ventura County’s matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 12 of 19, while The Town have seen at least two goals in the majority of their fixtures. Head-to-head history at this venue has repeatedly produced three or more goals, so a conservative over 1.5 line is strongly supported by the numbers.
  • Value Tip: Both teams to score. Ventura County average 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while The Town average 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded, with their away defence notably looser. Recent meetings include scorelines like 3-1, 4-1 and 4-3 on penalties after a 1-1 draw, indicating that both attacks usually find a way through. With the model expecting a very tight result distribution and high attacking indices for both sides, BTTS offers attractive value.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

Related News