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Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Ventura County and Los Angeles FC II meet at Dignity Health Sports Park on 19 July 2026 in an MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash that could have major implications in the Pacific Division race. Both sides are locked on 29 points, and with playoff seeding on the line, this fixture has the feel of a statement game rather than a routine mid-season meeting.

Ventura County come in as one of the more volatile sides in the division: 10 wins, 8 defeats and no draws from 18 matches underline a high-risk, high-reward approach. Los Angeles FC II, with 9 wins and 8 losses from 17, show a similar profile but with a slightly tighter defensive record at home and more fragility away. With recent encounters between these two consistently producing goals and drama, this match shapes up as one of the standout MLS Next Pro fixtures of the weekend.

From a betting and analytical perspective, this is a classic clash of a strong home side against a dangerous but inconsistent visitor. Stats suggest Ventura County’s attacking edge and home advantage are balanced by LAFC II’s historical dominance in the head-to-head, creating a finely poised contest that should attract plenty of interest from fans and bettors alike.

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Key Stats

  • Ventura County sit 2nd in the Pacific Division with 29 points from 18 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 27.
  • The last meeting on 17 May 2026 saw Los Angeles FC II beat Ventura County 3-2 in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action at Titan Stadium.
  • Across their 2026 MLS Next Pro campaign, Ventura County average 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, with 4 clean sheets.

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 2 vs 3
  • Points: 29 vs 29
  • Goals For: 32 vs 28
  • Goals Against: 27 vs 28
  • Clean Sheets: Ventura County 4; Los Angeles FC II 1 (season statistics)

In the Pacific Division standings, Ventura County hold 2nd place with 29 points and a +5 goal difference (32 scored, 27 conceded) from 18 matches. They have been prolific in attack, averaging 1.9 goals per game, and their willingness to commit bodies forward is reflected in the complete absence of draws: 10 wins and 8 losses.

Los Angeles FC II are 3rd in the Pacific Division, also on 29 points but with a neutral goal difference (28 scored, 28 conceded) from 17 matches. Their home record is strong (7 wins from 10), but away from home they have struggled, losing 5 of 7 and conceding 18 goals on their travels. The standings context suggests Ventura County are slightly more balanced overall, while LAFC II’s away form is a clear concern heading into this trip to Dignity Health Sports Park.

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Key Matchups

Ventura County attack vs Los Angeles FC II away defense

Ventura County’s attacking unit has been one of the most productive in MLS Next Pro this season. Over 18 matches, they have scored 35 goals in all league fixtures (including both home and away), with an average of 2.1 goals per game at home and 1.8 away. They are particularly dangerous after the interval: a significant share of their goals have come in the 46–75 minute window, where they frequently turn pressure into end-product.

Los Angeles FC II’s away defense is under real scrutiny. Across 7 away fixtures, they have conceded 20 goals, an average of 2.9 per match. That vulnerability on the road contrasts sharply with their more solid home figures (1.2 goals conceded per game). Ventura County’s capacity to sustain attacks in the second half could be decisive against an LAFC II side that has repeatedly leaked goals away from home.

Late-game resilience: Ventura County game management vs LAFC II’s extra-time patterns

Both sides have shown a tendency to be involved in wild, high-scoring matches that go deep. Ventura County’s season statistics include goals scored and conceded in the 106–120 minute range, while LAFC II’s numbers show a notable proportion of both goals for and against in that same late window. Their 3-3 draw after 120 minutes in the 21 July 2025 meeting at Dignity Health Sports Park, settled by penalties in LAFC II’s favour, is a clear illustration.

This pattern suggests that if the match is tight late on, neither side is likely to shut things down. Instead, we can expect continued attacking intent and potential defensive lapses as legs tire, which again favours an over-goals angle rather than a cagey, low-scoring affair.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These two clubs have built a fierce and entertaining rivalry in MLS Next Pro, with recent meetings often high-scoring and closely contested. Home advantage has not always been decisive, and both teams have enjoyed big wins and painful defeats.

  • 17 May 2026: Los Angeles FC II 3-2 Ventura County (MLS Next Pro)
  • 21 July 2025: Ventura County 3-3 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro, LAFC II won 3-1 on penalties)
  • 10 May 2025: Ventura County 2-1 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro)
  • 15 March 2025: Los Angeles FC II 3-1 Ventura County (MLS Next Pro)
  • 12 August 2024: Ventura County 1-2 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro)

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Prediction

Everything points to another open, attacking contest. Ventura County’s recent metrics are strong: in their last five matches, they have scored 11 and conceded 8, with their form index at 60 and attacking index at 65. Los Angeles FC II’s last-five numbers are more modest, with 6 scored and 7 conceded, and a lower attacking index of 35.

Probability-wise, the match is finely balanced. The win/draw probabilities give Ventura County a 45 out of 100 chance of victory, the draw also at 45 out of 100, and Los Angeles FC II at 10 out of 100. That effectively frames the home side as slight favourites with a very live draw, while an away win is considered relatively unlikely.

Given Ventura County’s superior attacking numbers, stronger clean-sheet count (4 vs 1), and LAFC II’s poor away defensive record, the hosts should edge this if they manage the game better than in the 3-2 defeat in May. However, the head-to-head history and LAFC II’s ability to score in bunches mean it would be a surprise if either side kept a clean sheet.

Predicted Score: Ventura County 2-1 Los Angeles FC II

Ventura County Recent Form

Ventura County’s recent run in MLS Next Pro has been streaky but largely positive. Their form line of “LWLOWW” in the Pacific Division reflects a team that bounces back quickly from setbacks, with back-to-back wins coming into this fixture. Over a wider sample of 18 league matches, they have 10 wins and 8 losses, scoring 35 and conceding 29, with a strong recent attacking trend highlighted by 11 goals in their last five outings.

Los Angeles FC II Recent Form

Los Angeles FC II’s Pacific Division form string “LOLOWWL” underlines their inconsistency. They mix impressive wins with disappointing defeats, and their last-five snapshot (6 scored, 7 conceded) suggests a side that is competitive but far from watertight. Overall, with 9 wins and 8 losses from 17 matches and no draws, they share Ventura County’s boom-or-bust profile, but their away form remains a key weakness.

Ventura County Possible Starting Lineup

With no official lineup data for this specific fixture, we can only highlight key squad options rather than a definitive XI. Ventura County’s goalkeeping group features S. Conlon, J. Rhodes, B. Scott and W. Walker. In defense, options include R. Dalgado, S. Hernandez, E. Martinez, M. McLean, Harbor Miller, Pepe and C. Rindov.

Midfield depth is strong, with players such as G. Arnold, T. Elgersma, V. Garcia, C. Gozdieski, Tucker Lepley, I. Parente, B. Phan, R. Ramos, M. Tsakiris, D. Vanney, M. Vanney and A. Vilamitjana available. In attack, Ventura County can turn to O. Aina, I. Luna, A. Medina, J. Placias, E. Preston, E. Rios and Maximus Steelman.

The squad profile suggests a youthful, energetic side, particularly in midfield and attack, which aligns with their high-tempo, high-scoring style. Expect Ventura County to line up with a forward-thinking shape, using multiple attacking options to press LAFC II’s vulnerable away defense.

Los Angeles FC II Possible Starting Lineup

Los Angeles FC II also bring a deep and youthful squad. In goal, options include Cabral Carter, T. Hasal, J. Romero and E. Scally. The defensive unit features T. Babineau, C. Diaz, É. Díaz, L. Goodman, S. Minor-Kaplan, Kenny Nielsen, E. Ponciano, J. Santiago and G. Whitchurch.

Midfield choices are plentiful, with M. Evans, D. Guerra, L. Lambert, B. Moyado, Jude Terry, Lisandro Torres, E. Villeda and G. Zambrano all in contention. In attack, LAFC II can call on M. Aiyenero, C. Kosakoff, J. Machuca, N. Mardaresco, Tommy Mihalic, Sebastian Nava, D. Resich and E. Rodriguez.

Given their away defensive issues, LAFC II may look to balance their attacking talent with a more compact structure, but their historical approach against Ventura County has been bold and front-foot. Expect them to lean on pace and movement in the final third to exploit any gaps left by Ventura County’s aggressive style.

Ventura County Team News

No significant absences reported.

Los Angeles FC II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Ventura County:

  • None reported.

Los Angeles FC II:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II

Below are three data-backed betting angles for this MLS Next Pro clash:

  • Result Tip: Back Ventura County in the “Draw No Bet” or “Double Chance (Ventura County or Draw)” market. The probability model gives Ventura County a 45% chance to win and the draw also at 45%, with LAFC II at just 10%. Combined with Ventura County’s stronger attacking indices and LAFC II’s poor away record, siding with the hosts while protecting against the draw looks sensible.
  • Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Ventura County matches have seen an average of 3.5 goals per game (35 scored, 29 conceded in 18), while LAFC II’s games average 3.6 (30 scored, 32 conceded in 17). Recent head-to-heads include scorelines of 3-2, 3-3, 2-1 and 3-1, all comfortably clearing this line. The attacking profiles of both sides strongly support a goals-focused bet.
  • Value Tip: Both Teams to Score. Ventura County have failed to score in only 1 of 18 league fixtures, and LAFC II have scored 30 in 17 despite their away struggles. The head-to-head series is rich with matches where both teams find the net, and LAFC II’s ability to punish transitions suggests BTTS could offer value if priced attractively.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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