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Tottenham vs Everton Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Tottenham welcome Everton to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on 12 September 2026 in a Premier League clash that already carries weight at both ends of the table. The hosts sit 18th after three rounds, with just 1 point and no goals scored, while Everton have started brightly and arrive in London 8th with 5 points and an unbeaten record.

For Tottenham, this is about kick-starting their season and easing early relegation worries. A return home to a ground where they have dominated this fixture in recent years could be exactly what they need, but the numbers underline a side struggling badly in front of goal. Everton, by contrast, have been efficient rather than spectacular, balancing a solid defence with late scoring bursts that have kept them unbeaten.

With strong historical head-to-head trends favouring Tottenham at home but current form and predictive metrics leaning towards Everton or a draw, this fixture shapes up as one of the more intriguing Premier League betting opportunities of the weekend for those looking at Tottenham vs Everton prediction angles.

Tottenham vs Everton Key Stats

  • Tottenham are 18th in the Premier League with 1 point from 3 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 5.
  • Everton have not lost in their last three Premier League meetings with Tottenham at Goodison Park, but have been beaten heavily on several recent trips to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, including 4-0 on 24 August 2024.
  • Across their 3 league matches this season, Tottenham have failed to score in all 3, while Everton have scored 5 goals in 3 games and have yet to fail to score.

Tottenham vs Everton — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 18 vs 8
  • Points: 1 vs 5
  • Goals For: 0 vs 5
  • Goals Against: 5 vs 3
  • Clean Sheets: Tottenham 1 (tournament statistics), Everton 1 (tournament statistics)

After three rounds, the table tells a stark story. Tottenham are 18th in the Premier League group with a goal difference of -5, having taken just one draw and suffering two defeats. Their all-matches record reads 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 3 games, with 0 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have played once, losing 0-2.

Everton, by contrast, are 8th in the same group with 5 points and a goal difference of +2. They have 1 win and 2 draws from 3 fixtures, scoring 5 and conceding 3. At home they have taken 4 points from 2 matches (4 goals for, 2 against), and away they have drawn their only outing 1-1. Statistically, Everton are averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.0 against per game, while Tottenham are conceding 1.7 per match and have yet to find the net.

Tottenham vs Everton Key Matchups

D. Udogie vs H. Hackney

With no top scorers data available, the focus shifts to impact players highlighted by disciplinary and creative metrics. For Tottenham, D. Udogie stands out from the cards data. The defender has made 3 appearances, playing 92 minutes, with 1 yellow card. He has been involved in 14 duels, winning 7, and contributed 1 tackle and 1 interception, plus 50 passes at 88% accuracy and 1 key pass. His aggression in duels and tendency to commit fouls (3 committed, 3 drawn) underline how important his decision-making will be against an Everton midfield that likes to circulate the ball.

Everton’s creative hub so far has been H. Hackney. The midfielder has 3 appearances and 122 minutes, with 1 assist already to his name. He has taken 2 shots, created 3 key passes, and completed 75 passes at an impressive 89% accuracy. Defensively, he has chipped in with 3 tackles, 2 blocks and 2 interceptions, while winning 6 of 14 duels. If Hackney can find space between Tottenham’s lines, especially in zones Udogie defends, Everton’s ability to control tempo and create chances will increase significantly.

B. Johnson vs Tottenham back line

On the Everton side, B. Johnson appears in both yellow and red card lists but has yet to score. The attacker/midfielder has 3 appearances and 100 minutes, with 1 yellow card. He has taken 1 shot, created 2 key passes and completed 22 passes at 77% accuracy. Crucially, he has been involved in 12 duels but won only 3, and committed 4 fouls. Up against a Tottenham defence that has conceded 5 goals in 3 games and is still settling, Johnson’s movement and willingness to press could force errors, even if his end product has not yet clicked.

For Tottenham, that puts pressure on defenders like M. Senesi, J. van Hecke and D. Udogie (all part of a back line in a 4-2-3-1 setup across 3 matches) to handle Everton’s runners without giving away cheap free-kicks or cards in dangerous areas.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

This is a long-running Premier League matchup, and recent meetings have tended to be high-scoring, with Tottenham especially dominant at home.

  • 24 May 2026: Tottenham 1-0 Everton (Premier League)
  • 26 October 2025: Everton 0-3 Tottenham (Premier League)
  • 19 January 2025: Everton 3-2 Tottenham (Premier League)
  • 24 August 2024: Tottenham 4-0 Everton (Premier League)
  • 3 February 2024: Everton 2-2 Tottenham (Premier League)

Tottenham vs Everton Prediction

Stats suggest a clash of narratives. Historically, Tottenham have enjoyed this fixture, especially at home, where recent scores of 4-0, 2-0, 5-0 and 2-1 underline their dominance. However, current form flips that script. Tottenham’s recent form line is DLL, with 0 goals scored and 5 conceded in 3 matches. Everton come in WDD, unbeaten and with 5 goals scored.

The predictive metrics rate Everton and the draw equally, with a 45% chance of an away win and 45% for a draw, leaving Tottenham with just a 10% chance of victory. That points towards a low-scoring, tight contest where Everton’s solidity and ability to score late — 60% of their goals have come in the 76–90 minute window — could be decisive. Tottenham’s failure to score in any of their three games, combined with an average of 1.7 goals conceded per match, suggests they may again struggle to break down a structured Everton side.

Predicted Score: Tottenham 0-1 Everton

Tottenham Recent Form

Tottenham’s recent form in the Premier League reads DLL. Across 3 matches they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. They have yet to score, averaging 0.0 goals for per game, and have conceded 5 goals at an average of 1.7 per match. At home, their single outing ended in a 0-2 defeat, and they have already failed to score in all three fixtures.

Everton Recent Form

Everton’s recent Premier League form is WDD. They have played 3 matches, winning 1 and drawing 2, with no defeats. Offensively they average 1.7 goals per game (5 goals in total) and concede 1.0 per match (3 goals against). They have not failed to score in any league fixture so far, and their away record shows a solid 1-1 draw in their only road game.

Tottenham Possible Starting Lineup

GK: B. Austin or M. Dúbravka; Defenders: Pedro Porro, M. Senesi, J. van Hecke, D. Udogie; Midfielders: R. Bentancur, S. Tonali, J. Maddison, X. Simons, M. Kudus; Forwards: Richarlison or D. Solanke.

Tottenham have consistently used a 4-2-3-1 formation across their 3 league matches, suggesting a back four built around M. Senesi, J. van Hecke and D. Udogie, with Pedro Porro offering width on the right. In midfield, options such as R. Bentancur, S. Tonali and J. Maddison provide technical quality, while X. Simons and M. Kudus can operate between the lines. Up front, Richarlison and D. Solanke are the natural central options. The key tactical question is whether they can convert possession into chances after failing to score in any of their first three games.

Everton Possible Starting Lineup

GK: J. Pickford; Defenders: J. Tarkowski, J. Branthwaite, V. Mykolenko, M. Keane or Elijah Xavier Campbell; Midfielders: J. Garner, K. Dewsbury-Hall, H. Hackney, J. Grealish; Forwards: T. Barry, B. Johnson.

Everton have also favoured a 4-2-3-1 structure over their 3 matches. J. Pickford anchors a defence likely built around J. Tarkowski and J. Branthwaite, with V. Mykolenko on the left. In midfield, the blend of J. Garner, K. Dewsbury-Hall and H. Hackney offers work rate and creativity, with J. Grealish an option to carry the ball and draw fouls. In the attacking line, T. Barry and B. Johnson provide movement and pressing. This shape has produced 5 goals and only 3 conceded, underlining its balance.

Tottenham Team News

No significant absences reported.

Everton Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Tottenham:

  • None reported.

Everton:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Tottenham vs Everton

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Everton or Draw (Double Chance). Predictions give Tottenham only a 10% chance of victory, with Everton and the draw each at 45%. Despite Tottenham being priced as market favourites — home odds range from 1.95 to 2.05 (implied probability roughly 48.8% to 51.3%) versus Everton’s 3.60 to 3.86 (25.9% to 27.8%) — form and underlying stats clearly favour the visitors avoiding defeat. This makes a safety-first Everton or Draw angle attractive at the available prices derived from the away and draw odds.
  • Goals Tip: Under 3.5 goals. The predictive advice explicitly points to a combination of Everton and under 3.5 goals, and Tottenham’s matches so far have all featured under 3.5, with them failing to score and conceding an average of 1.7. Everton average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded, and none of their three games has gone above 3 goals. With the under 3.5 threshold referenced in the prediction and both teams’ early-season profiles, a low- to medium-scoring contest is the statistically logical play. Use the match-winner odds range (home 1.95–2.05, draw 3.40–3.71, away 3.60–3.86) as a guide to overall market expectations when pricing goal-related bets.
  • Value Tip: Everton to score in the second half. Everton’s goals distribution shows a significant share of their 5 goals coming in the 76–90 minute window, while Tottenham concede across all periods and tend to fade, with a notable portion of goals against arriving between 61–75 minutes. With Everton never having failed to score this season and Tottenham yet to keep a clean sheet away from one match, backing Everton to find the net after the break offers potential value. Given Everton’s underdog odds in the 3.60–3.86 range, derivative markets on Everton scoring, particularly in the second half, are likely to be generously priced relative to their attacking output.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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