Tacoma Defiance vs Colorado Rapids II Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Tacoma Defiance host Colorado Rapids II at Starfire Sports on 27 July 2026 in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action, with the two sides arriving in very different moods. Tacoma are firmly mid-pack in the Pacific Division, while Colorado Rapids II are rooted to the bottom of the Frontier Division after a torrid campaign.

With Tacoma sitting 5th in the Pacific Division on 27 points from 19 matches and Colorado Rapids II 7th in the Frontier Division with just 12 points, this fixture has clear implications for the playoff picture and for the visitors’ pride. Stats suggest Tacoma Defiance vs Colorado Rapids II should again deliver goals, as recent head-to-head clashes have often turned into high-scoring encounters.

The numbers also point towards a strong home advantage at Starfire Sports, where Tacoma have been solid if inconsistent. For Colorado Rapids II, any result here would be a significant boost in what has been a season dominated by defeats and defensive frailty.

Tacoma Defiance vs Colorado Rapids II Key Stats

• Tacoma Defiance are 5th in the Pacific Division with 27 points from 19 matches, winning 9 and losing 10 with a goal difference of -3.
• The last meeting at Starfire Sports on 22 September 2025 ended Tacoma Defiance 1-4 Colorado Rapids II in MLS Next Pro.
• In 2026 MLS Next Pro statistics, Tacoma Defiance have kept 5 clean sheets, while Colorado Rapids II have managed just 2.

Tacoma Defiance vs Colorado Rapids II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 7 (divisional ranks: Tacoma 5th in Pacific Division, Colorado Rapids II 7th in Frontier Division)
• Points: 27 vs 12
• Goals For: 23 vs 17
• Goals Against: 26 vs 37
• Clean Sheets: Tacoma Defiance 5 (tournament statistics) vs Colorado Rapids II 2 (tournament statistics)

The standings underline the gulf between the sides. Across 19 matches, Tacoma Defiance have collected 27 points with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. They have been streaky — 9 wins and 10 losses with no draws — but their goal difference of -3 and five clean sheets show a team capable of competing in most fixtures.

Colorado Rapids II, by contrast, have endured a brutal season. With 3 wins and 16 losses from 19 matches, they have just 12 points and a goal difference of -20. They average only 0.9 goals scored per match and concede 2.2, highlighting both attacking limitations and defensive fragility. Even allowing for the developmental nature of MLS Next Pro, this is relegation-level form in a traditional league structure.

Tacoma Defiance vs Colorado Rapids II Key Matchups

Tacoma attacking unit vs Colorado Rapids II back line

There is no individual top-scorer data available, but team trends are clear. Tacoma’s attack averages 1.3 goals per match in 2026 MLS Next Pro, with their biggest wins being 4-1 at home and 2-4 away. They have shown they can score in bunches, particularly between the 46–60 minute window where a significant share of their goals arrive. Colorado Rapids II’s defense, conceding 41 goals in 19 games (2.2 per match), has struggled throughout, with goals conceded spread across all phases of the game. This collective matchup heavily favors Tacoma’s forwards and attacking midfielders.

Midfield control: Tacoma’s balance vs Colorado’s transition game

Tacoma’s midfield has helped them to 5 clean sheets and only 28 goals conceded, an average of 1.5 per match. They have also limited opponents to relatively modest scorelines at home, with their heaviest home defeat being 0-2. Colorado Rapids II, meanwhile, fail to score in 5 of their 19 matches and rarely win the midfield battle, reflected in their long losing streak of up to 13 consecutive defeats. The ability of Tacoma’s midfield unit to control tempo and protect the back four should be decisive against a Colorado side that relies on sporadic moments rather than sustained control.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The head-to-head history between Tacoma Defiance and Colorado Rapids II in MLS Next Pro has been entertaining and often high scoring, with momentum swinging between the two clubs over the past few years.

• 22 September 2025: Tacoma Defiance 1-4 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro)
• 21 July 2025: Colorado Rapids II 6-4 Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro)
• 25 March 2024: Tacoma Defiance 4-2 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro)
• 14 August 2023: Tacoma Defiance 1-3 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro)
• 19 June 2023: Colorado Rapids II 1-2 Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro)

Tacoma Defiance vs Colorado Rapids II Prediction

Stats suggest Tacoma Defiance should control this match, but the head-to-head record warns against complacency. Colorado Rapids II have scored at least three goals in two of the last three meetings, including a 6-4 home win and a 4-1 away win at Starfire Sports in 2025. That said, those results came when Colorado were in better overall shape than their current 2026 form.

Current season metrics are stark. Tacoma’s recent five-match sample shows 8 goals scored and 7 conceded, with a last-five form index of 60 out of 100. Colorado’s last five bring 5 goals scored and 7 conceded with a form index of 40 out of 100. Over the full 2026 campaign, Tacoma’s attack and defensive averages are stronger, and they have more clean sheets and fewer heavy defeats.

The prediction model assigns Tacoma a 45% chance of victory, the draw also at 45%, and Colorado Rapids II just 10%. With the “win or draw” angle favoring Tacoma and the double-chance advice leaning their way, the expectation is for the hosts to avoid defeat. Given Tacoma’s tendency to win or lose rather than draw, but balanced by the high draw probability in the projection, a tight home win with goals at both ends looks the most plausible outcome.

Predicted Score: Tacoma Defiance 2-1 Colorado Rapids II

Tacoma Defiance Recent Form

In divisional standings, Tacoma Defiance carry a form line of WWLLOW from their last six matches, indicating four wins, one loss and one other result in that span. Over the broader 2026 MLS Next Pro schedule, their tournament statistics show 9 wins and 10 losses from 19 matches, with 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. They have strung together winning streaks of up to two matches and endured losing runs of up to four, underlining their inconsistency but also their capacity to respond after setbacks.

Colorado Rapids II Recent Form

Colorado Rapids II’s recent divisional form reads LWLWL, reflecting a pattern of isolated wins amid frequent defeats. Across 19 matches in 2026, they have just 3 wins and 16 losses, scoring 18 and conceding 41. Their biggest losing streak stretches to 13 consecutive defeats, and they rarely manage to sustain positive momentum. While there have been occasional tight wins (1-0 at home, 1-2 away), their overall trajectory remains downward.

Tacoma Defiance Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Anchor or N. Newman or M. Shour; Defenders: D. Alvarez, C. Baker, D. Brown, C. Gaffney, S. Hawkins, A. Lopez, Mark O'Neill, C. Phoenix, R. Sailor, G. Sandnes, J. Winslow; Midfielders: K. Brito, E. Carli, J. Dale, M. Emert, X. Gnaulati, P. Kingston, S. Kitafuji, N. Petković, Daniel Robles, B. Smith; Forwards: M. Bronnik, O. De Rosario, S. Gomez, L. Gonzalez, O. Hassan, R. Jauregui, L. Lucero, Y. Tsukanome.

Tacoma Defiance have a deep, youthful squad with multiple options in every line. With three goalkeepers available and a large pool of defenders and midfielders, they can tailor their shape to the opponent, likely opting for an aggressive setup at home given Colorado’s defensive record. The presence of several attackers and attacking midfielders allows for rotation and in-game adjustments, which should help maintain intensity throughout the 90 minutes.

Colorado Rapids II Possible Starting Lineup

GK: Zackory Campagnolo or K. Starks or D. Williams; Defenders: J. Cameron, J. Chan Tack, J. De Coteau, A. Erickson, G. Gilmore, C. Harper, E. Heredia, J. Pomeroy, V. Rinaldi, K. Sawadogo, K. Thomas; Midfielders: C. Aquino, Q. Bedwell, J. De La Fuente, A. Fadal, L. Garcia, R. Garcia, Noah Strellnauer, L. Strohmeyer, N. Tchoumba, S. Wathuta; Forwards: J. Copeland, M. Diop, A. Harris, B. Jamison, D. Phillip, K. Stewart-Baynes.

Colorado Rapids II also field a very young roster, with many teenagers gaining professional experience. The defensive unit has been under heavy pressure all season, and the coaching staff may prioritize a more compact shape to limit Tacoma’s chances. In attack, they have several forwards to rotate, but with just 18 goals in 19 matches, efficiency in the final third remains a concern.

Tacoma Defiance Team News

No significant absences reported.

Colorado Rapids II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Tacoma Defiance:

• None reported.

Colorado Rapids II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Tacoma Defiance vs Colorado Rapids II

Below are three data-backed betting angles for this MLS Next Pro clash.

• Result Tip: Tacoma Defiance Double Chance (Home or Draw). With Tacoma given a 45% chance to win and the draw also at 45%, and Colorado Rapids II just 10%, the market view strongly favors the hosts avoiding defeat. Tacoma’s 9 wins from 19 and Colorado’s 16 losses from 19 further support a home-favored result.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 Total Goals. Tacoma’s matches average 2.8 goals (25 for, 28 against in 19), while Colorado’s average 3.1 (18 for, 41 against). Recent head-to-heads have been high scoring, including 6-4, 4-2 and 4-1 scorelines. That combination points towards at least two goals being a strong statistical expectation.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score – Yes. Despite Colorado’s struggles, they have scored in 14 of 19 matches and have found the net regularly against Tacoma in past meetings, including 4 and 6 goals in two 2025 clashes. Tacoma both score and concede at around 1.3–1.5 goals per game, making BTTS an appealing value angle given the attacking openness of prior encounters.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.