Spain Favored Over Argentina in 2026 World Cup Final

The 2026 World Cup is producing unforgettable moments. Lionel Messi's Argentina overcame a 1-0 deficit to defeat England 2-1 on Wednesday, earning a spot in Sunday's final against Spain. Goals came quickly for Argentina, stunning English fans and denying England their first World Cup win since 1966.

Oddsmakers have placed Messi's team as underdogs once more. England was only a slight favorite against Argentina, but Spain holds a stronger edge heading into the final. At BetMGM, Spain opened as a -175 favorite, while Argentina sits at +125. The prediction platform Kalshi shows Spain with a 58% chance to win compared to Argentina’s 42%.

Spain secured their final berth with a 2-0 victory over France on Tuesday. A first-half penalty by Mikel Oyarzabal and a second-half goal from Pedro Porro sealed the win. France seemed off their game compared to earlier rounds.

The final kicks off at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday at the New York/New Jersey Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.