Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Real Monarchs welcome Portland Timbers II to Zions Bank Stadium in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action on 13 June 2026, with both sides firmly in the playoff conversation. The Utah side have been inconsistent but dangerous, while Portland Timbers II arrive as one of the division’s pace-setters and among the most efficient travellers in the competition.

The standings underline the stakes. Real Monarchs sit on 18 points from 13 matches, having won 7 and lost 6 with a goal difference of -3. Portland Timbers II, by contrast, have collected 26 points from the same number of games, winning 8 and losing 5 with a goal difference of +1. With the away side occupying a promotion play-off position and Real Monarchs chasing from mid-pack, this clash has clear implications for the upper reaches of MLS Next Pro.

Recent meetings between Real Monarchs and Portland Timbers II have often produced decisive results at Zions Bank Stadium, with the hosts generally strong in Herriman despite a heavy 0-3 defeat to Portland on 3 May 2026. Stats suggest a tight, competitive encounter with both teams capable of scoring, but the prediction metrics lean slightly towards Real Monarchs avoiding defeat on home turf.

Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II Key Stats

• Real Monarchs have taken 18 points from 13 league matches, winning 7 and losing 6 with 20 goals scored and 23 conceded.
• In their latest meeting at Zions Bank Stadium on 3 May 2026 in MLS Next Pro Group Stage, Real Monarchs lost 0-3 to Portland Timbers II.
• Real Monarchs matches average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, while Portland Timbers II average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 1
• Points: 18 vs 26
• Goals For: 20 vs 16
• Goals Against: 23 vs 15
• Clean Sheets: Real Monarchs 2; Portland Timbers II 6

The season record shows Real Monarchs as a high-variance side: 7 wins and 6 defeats with no draws, and a negative goal difference despite outscoring many rivals. They have scored 20 times in 13 league outings but conceded 23, pointing to a team that plays open games and can be exposed defensively, particularly at home where they have allowed 14 goals in 8 matches.

Portland Timbers II sit top of the standings sample with 26 points from 13 matches and a more balanced profile. They have scored 16 and conceded 15, with 8 wins and 5 losses and no draws. Their away record is especially impressive: 4 wins and just 1 defeat on the road, with 6 goals scored and 5 conceded. With a promotion play-off description attached to their position in one of the standings entries, they are firmly in the MLS Next Pro play-off picture, and this trip to Utah offers a chance to consolidate that status.

Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II Key Matchups

Colin Griffith vs Real Monarchs Back Line

With limited individual attacking data available, Colin Griffith stands out as the key named forward in this fixture. The 21-year-old Portland Timbers II attacker has made 1 appearance in MLS Next Pro this season, operating as a forward without yet registering a goal or assist. He has also avoided disciplinary trouble, with 0 yellow and 0 red cards across that outing.

Griffith’s role will be to stretch a Real Monarchs defence that has conceded 23 goals in 13 league matches and averages 1.8 goals against per game. Portland’s away attack, averaging 1.2 goals per match on the road, does not rely on volume but on efficiency. If Griffith can occupy central defenders like W. Charpie and G. Calderón from the Real Monarchs squad list, it will create space for runners from midfield and wide attackers to exploit the hosts’ tendency to concede late, particularly in the 76–90 minute window where Real Monarchs have allowed a significant share of their goals.

Portland’s Defensive Unit vs Real Monarchs’ High-Event Style

Portland Timbers II’s defensive numbers suggest resilience, especially away from home. They have conceded 18 goals in 13 matches overall (1.4 per game) and just 5 in 5 away fixtures (1.0 per game), keeping 4 clean sheets on the road and at home combined. That defensive solidity will be tested by a Real Monarchs side whose league statistics show 23 goals scored in 13 matches and an attacking average of 1.8 per game.

With Real Monarchs’ biggest home wins reaching 2-0 and their away wins stretching to 0-5, they are capable of explosive attacking performances. Portland’s back line, including defenders such as B. Alex and Charles Ondo, must manage those surges while also coping with Real Monarchs’ tendency to push numbers forward. If Portland can maintain their away clean sheet record, it will tilt the match in their favour despite the prediction leaning slightly towards the hosts avoiding defeat.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The head-to-head record between these sides in MLS Next Pro has been lively, with Real Monarchs generally having the edge despite Portland’s most recent big win. Across the last five listed meetings, Real Monarchs have recorded three wins, Portland Timbers II have two victories, and there have been no draws among those specific fixtures.

• 3 May 2026: Real Monarchs 0-3 Portland Timbers II (MLS Next Pro Group Stage)
• 4 August 2025: Portland Timbers II 1-2 Real Monarchs (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 28)
• 29 May 2025: Real Monarchs 4-1 Portland Timbers II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 15)
• 16 March 2025: Portland Timbers II 2-3 Real Monarchs (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 2)
• 30 September 2024: Real Monarchs 2-0 Portland Timbers II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 40)

Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II Prediction

Analysis points to a finely balanced contest. Real Monarchs have a volatile profile, with long winning and losing streaks and a high goals-for and goals-against average. Portland Timbers II arrive with stronger overall form (an 80% last-five form metric), a superior points tally, and a robust away record. However, the prediction metrics give Real Monarchs a 45% chance of victory, a 45% probability of a draw, and just 10% for a Portland win, with a clear advisory towards a double chance on the hosts or draw.

Given Real Monarchs’ attacking output (1.8 goals scored and conceded per game) and Portland’s more controlled away profile (1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded), this could be a tense, tactical match rather than a repeat of the recent 0-3. The advice leans towards Real Monarchs avoiding defeat, but with the goals projection set under 2.5 for both sides, a low-scoring outcome is favoured.

Predicted Score: Real Monarchs 1-1 Portland Timbers II

Real Monarchs League Form

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Portland Timbers II League Form

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Real Monarchs Possible Starting Lineup

R. Alphin (GK); W. Charpie, G. Calderón, K. Henry, D. Kropp (Defenders); G. Dillon, L. O'Gara, A. Riquelme, O. Anderson (Midfielders); Jesús Rafael Barea Barroso, Lineker Rodrigues (Forwards).

Real Monarchs have a deep squad with multiple options in every line. In goal, R. Alphin offers experience, while the defensive unit can be built around senior figures such as W. Charpie and G. Calderón, supported by younger defenders like K. Henry and D. Kropp. The midfield pool is youthful and energetic, featuring players such as G. Dillon, L. O'Gara and A. Riquelme, with creative and box-to-box profiles available. In attack, options like Jesús Rafael Barea Barroso and Lineker Rodrigues give Real Monarchs a direct threat, supported by promising forwards including C. Cowell and Z. Gozo from the wider squad. Tactically, the hosts are likely to maintain an aggressive, front-foot approach that has produced both high-scoring wins and costly defensive lapses.

Portland Timbers II Possible Starting Lineup

H. Sulte (GK); B. Alex, Charles Ondo, S. Jura, N. Lund (Defenders); C. Cruthers, V. Enriquez, Lucas Fernandez-Kim, B. VanVoorhis (Midfielders); Colin Griffith, Andrew Guerra (Forwards).

Portland Timbers II’s squad construction suggests a balanced side with strong defensive and midfield depth. Goalkeeper H. Sulte is one of several options between the posts, backed by a back four that can include experienced defenders like B. Alex and Charles Ondo. In midfield, players such as C. Cruthers, V. Enriquez and Lucas Fernandez-Kim provide a mix of energy and technical quality, while B. VanVoorhis offers youthful dynamism. Up front, Colin Griffith and Andrew Guerra headline the attacking options from the available list, supported by other forwards like B. Barjolo and N. Santos. Given their strong away record and clean sheet numbers, Portland are likely to set up compactly, looking to strike on transitions rather than engage in an end-to-end shootout.

Real Monarchs Team News

No significant absences reported.

Portland Timbers II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Real Monarchs:

• None reported.

Portland Timbers II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Real Monarchs or Draw in the Double Chance market. The prediction metrics give the hosts a 45% chance of winning and a 45% chance of a draw, with only 10% allocated to a Portland victory, and the advisory explicitly recommends “Double chance : Real Monarchs or draw”. With Real Monarchs strong at home and Portland’s away form good but not dominant, this conservative angle aligns with the underlying probabilities.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 total goals. The goals projection for both sides is set under 2.5, and while Real Monarchs’ season average is high, Portland Timbers II’s away matches are tighter, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Combined with Portland’s 6 clean sheets and the prediction leaning towards a cagey contest, under 2.5 goals is a logical play.
• Value Tip: Portland Timbers II to keep a clean sheet – No (i.e., Real Monarchs to score at least once). Real Monarchs average 1.8 goals scored per match and have produced big home wins such as 2-0, while Portland’s defensive numbers, though solid, still show 18 goals conceded in 13 games. With Colin Griffith and the Portland attack likely to encourage an open game and Real Monarchs’ attacking intent at Zions Bank Stadium, backing the home side to find the net offers potential value in the goalscorer-related markets.

How to Watch Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers II

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.