North Texas vs Los Angeles FC II Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

North Texas welcome Los Angeles FC II to Choctaw Stadium on 26 July 2026 in an intriguing MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash that could have real implications in both the Frontier and Pacific Division battles. With both sides firmly in the playoff conversation, this fixture sets up as a key measuring stick for two attack-minded development teams.

North Texas arrive fifth in the Frontier Division with 25 points from 17 matches, boasting a positive goal difference and one of the more entertaining profiles in the conference. Los Angeles FC II, meanwhile, sit third in the Pacific Division and seventh in the Eastern Conference table with 29 points from 18 games, currently in a promotion play-off spot. With only four points separating them and no draws on either side’s league record so far, this has all the ingredients of a decisive, high-stakes encounter.

Recent MLS Next Pro meetings between these sides have been wide open and often high scoring, and with both teams averaging 1.7 goals per game this season, bettors and neutrals alike will be watching closely for another goal-heavy contest.

North Texas vs Los Angeles FC II Key Stats

• North Texas have taken 25 points from 17 matches (8 wins, 0 draws, 9 losses) with 27 goals scored and 21 conceded in the standings.
• Across the last five head-to-head meetings in MLS Next Pro, the home side on the day has failed to win four times, with North Texas taking several notable away victories.
• Season statistics show North Texas matches averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, while Los Angeles FC II average 1.7 scored and 1.9 conceded.

North Texas vs Los Angeles FC II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 3 (divisional ranks: North Texas in Frontier Division, Los Angeles FC II in Pacific Division)
• Points: 25 vs 29
• Goals For: 27 vs 28 (standings “all” totals)
• Goals Against: 21 vs 30 (standings “all” totals)
• Clean Sheets: North Texas 3, Los Angeles FC II 1 (season statistics)

From a standings perspective, Los Angeles FC II have the slight edge in points with 29 from 18 games, but their goal difference is negative (-2) due to 30 goals conceded. North Texas trail by four points with 25 from 17 matches, yet their +6 goal difference underlines a more balanced profile between attack and defence.

In the Eastern Conference context, Los Angeles FC II are seventh with 29 points and currently in a promotion play-off position, while North Texas sit 11th with the same 25-point tally they hold in the Frontier Division. Both teams have yet to draw a league game this season, suggesting that one way or another, this fixture is likely to produce a decisive result rather than a stalemate.

North Texas vs Los Angeles FC II Key Matchups

North Texas attack vs Los Angeles FC II defence

Without individual scorer data, the primary battle to watch is structural: North Texas’ aggressive front line against a leaky Los Angeles FC II back line. North Texas average 1.7 goals per match overall, rising to 2.7 at home, and have only failed to score six times in 17 games. They have also produced a biggest home win of 5-1 and an away 1-4, underlining their capacity to rack up goals when they click.

Los Angeles FC II concede 1.9 goals per game on average, with their away defence particularly vulnerable at 2.8 goals against per match and 22 conceded in just eight away fixtures. Their heaviest away defeats include a 4-1 scoreline, and they have only kept one clean sheet all season. If North Texas can bring their home scoring form to Choctaw Stadium, they are well placed to exploit this weakness.

Los Angeles FC II late-game threat vs North Texas late-game resilience

Los Angeles FC II have a clear pattern of scoring late: a significant share of their goals come from the 61–75 and 76–90 minute windows, and they are also dangerous deep into added time, with a notable proportion of goals between 106–120 minutes across competitions. That late push has underpinned their biggest away win of 2-3 and a four-match winning streak at one point this season.

North Texas, however, concede relatively evenly throughout matches, with a slight tendency to allow more goals in the final 15 minutes of normal time. Their goals-against distribution shows a noticeable share in the 76–90 window. This sets up a key psychological and tactical duel: if North Texas are leading late, can they manage the game and avoid the lapses that a high-energy LAFC II side is primed to punish?

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have built up a lively recent rivalry in MLS Next Pro, with several high-scoring encounters and dramatic swings in momentum. All five of their last meetings have come in this competition.

• 5 October 2025: Los Angeles FC II 2-4 North Texas (MLS Next Pro)
• 25 August 2025: North Texas 0-4 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro)
• 3 June 2024: Los Angeles FC II 0-4 North Texas (MLS Next Pro)
• 3 July 2023: North Texas 2-2 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro, North Texas won 8-7 on penalties)
• 27 March 2023: Los Angeles FC II 0-1 North Texas (MLS Next Pro)

North Texas vs Los Angeles FC II Prediction

Stats suggest a finely balanced contest with a slight tilt towards the hosts. The prediction model gives North Texas a 45% chance of victory, with a 45% chance of a draw and only a 10% probability for an away win. That aligns with the underlying numbers: North Texas are stronger at home, have a better goal difference, and a more solid defensive record, while Los Angeles FC II’s away form (2 wins and 6 losses, 11 scored and 20 conceded) is a clear concern.

Head-to-head trends are mixed: North Texas have produced big wins away at Titan Stadium, but LAFC II responded with a 0-4 statement victory at Choctaw Stadium in August 2025. Given North Texas’ current home scoring rate and LAFC II’s porous away defence, the most likely match flow sees the hosts on the front foot, creating more chances and forcing LAFC II to chase the game. However, the visitors’ late scoring profile and penalty threat (12 scored from 16 this season) mean they are capable of clawing back into the contest if it becomes stretched.

Predicted Score: North Texas 2-1 Los Angeles FC II

North Texas Recent Form

North Texas’ recent form in MLS Next Pro is inconsistent but dangerous: their standings form string of WLWLOL over the last six matches reflects a team alternating between strong wins and disappointing defeats. They have shown they can put together winning streaks of up to three games, but also suffer short losing runs. At home, four wins and two losses from six underline their status as a high-variance but potent side at Choctaw Stadium.

Los Angeles FC II Recent Form

Los Angeles FC II come in with a standings form of LLOLOWW across their latest sequence, indicating a side that has recently turned a corner after a difficult spell. Their broader season pattern shows a four-game winning streak followed by a series of defeats, capturing the volatility of a young squad. While excellent at home (7 wins, 3 losses), their away form remains a major red flag with just two wins and six defeats from eight outings.

North Texas Possible Starting Lineup

With no confirmed lineups from previous fixtures provided, any XI must be inferred from the available squad list rather than exact roles. Key options include:

Goalkeepers: E. Dymora; B. Thompson; A. Jordan; N. Montoya
Defenders: Alvaro Augusto; J. Biggar; D. Easterly; J. Gibson; Leandro; Z. Molomo; Enzo Newman; Slade Starnes; Joshua Torquato; L. Vejrostek; C. Wygant
Midfielders: F. Aroyameh; I. Charles; D. García; N. James; I. Kaakoush; M. Luccin; T. Ospina; Umberto Pela; C. Swann
Forwards: D. Baran; J. Contreras; B. Flowers; D. Kimbrough; Ricky Louis; E. Nys; C. Salazar; S. Sedeh; Nicholas Simmonds

North Texas have a deep, youthful squad with multiple attacking options, particularly in wide and central forward roles. The presence of several defenders and midfielders in the 17–21 age range suggests a high-energy, pressing style, likely in a flexible 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1. With no reported injuries, the coaching staff should have the freedom to rotate and tailor their selection to exploit LAFC II’s away defensive frailties.

Los Angeles FC II Possible Starting Lineup

Similarly, Los Angeles FC II’s probable lineup can only be sketched from the squad list:

Goalkeepers: Cabral Carter; T. Hasal; J. Romero; E. Scally
Defenders: T. Babineau; C. Diaz; É. Díaz; L. Goodman; S. Minor-Kaplan; Kenny Nielsen; E. Ponciano; J. Santiago; G. Whitchurch
Midfielders: M. Evans; D. Guerra; L. Lambert; B. Moyado; Jude Terry; Lisandro Torres; E. Villeda; G. Zambrano
Forwards: M. Aiyenero; C. Kosakoff; J. Machuca; N. Mardaresco; Tommy Mihalic; Sebastian Nava; D. Resich; E. Rodriguez

LAFC II’s roster is similarly youthful, with a blend of experienced names like Tommy Mihalic and a core of teenagers across midfield and attack. Their season stats – strong home results, weaker away – hint at a team that prefers to play on the front foot but can be exposed in transition. Expect a formation that accommodates multiple forwards, perhaps a 4-3-3, with an emphasis on pressing and quick counters, especially in the latter stages.

North Texas Team News

No significant absences reported.

Los Angeles FC II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

North Texas:

• None reported.

Los Angeles FC II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: North Texas vs Los Angeles FC II

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: North Texas draw no bet / North Texas or draw on the double chance market looks attractive. The prediction model gives the hosts a 45% win probability and the draw another 45%, with only 10% for an away win. Combined with North Texas’ strong home scoring rate and LAFC II’s poor away record (2 wins, 6 losses, 22 goals conceded), siding with the home team while covering the draw appears prudent.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 goals is a logical angle. Both teams average 1.7 goals scored per match, while North Texas concede 1.4 and LAFC II 1.9. Recent head-to-head games have produced scorelines of 4-2, 0-4, 0-4 and 2-2, underlining a trend of open, attacking football when these sides meet.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score (BTTS) has value potential. North Texas have failed to score in only six of 17 matches, while LAFC II have failed to score just four times in 18. LAFC II’s away defence concedes heavily but they still average 1.5 goals scored per away game, suggesting they can contribute to the scoreline even in defeat.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.