New York City II vs FC Cincinnati II Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

New York City II welcome FC Cincinnati II to Belson Stadium for an MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash that already feels important in the shaping of the Northeast Division. With both sides sitting in the bottom half of their divisional standings, this fixture offers a chance to reset momentum and climb towards the Eastern Conference pack.

New York City II come into this game with 12 points from 9 matches, sitting 6th in the Northeast Division and 12th in the Eastern Conference. Their record of 4 wins and 5 defeats, with 11 goals scored and 16 conceded, underlines a volatile but competitive start. FC Cincinnati II trail slightly with 9 points from 10 matches, ranked 7th in the Northeast Division and 13th in the Eastern Conference after 3 wins and 7 losses, scoring 12 and conceding 19.

With home advantage at Belson Stadium and stronger recent form, New York City II will be seen as favourites to take something from this encounter, but FC Cincinnati II’s scoring threat and the history between these sides mean this is far from a foregone conclusion.

New York City II vs FC Cincinnati II Key Stats

• New York City II have 12 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 5 losses) with an 11-16 goal record in league play.
• FC Cincinnati II beat New York City II 1-0 at NKU Soccer Stadium on 13 April 2026 in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action.
• New York City II matches in 2026 average 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game, while FC Cincinnati II average 1.2 scored and 1.9 conceded.

New York City II vs FC Cincinnati II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 6 vs 7 (Northeast Division)
• Points: 12 vs 9
• Goals For: 11 vs 12
• Goals Against: 16 vs 19
• Clean Sheets: New York City II 0, FC Cincinnati II 2

In the Northeast Division, New York City II hold a narrow edge in the table, three points clear of FC Cincinnati II despite having played one game fewer (9 to 10). New York City II’s goal difference of -5 (11 scored, 16 conceded) is slightly better than Cincinnati’s -7 (12 scored, 19 conceded), pointing to marginally greater defensive stability despite both sides conceding at a similar rate.

Home and away splits sharpen the contrast. New York City II have been strong at Belson Stadium with 3 wins from 4 home matches, while FC Cincinnati II have lost all 5 of their away fixtures, scoring just 2 and conceding 12. That stark away record is a key contextual factor, particularly against a New York City II side that, despite inconsistency, has shown it can impose itself on home turf.

New York City II vs FC Cincinnati II Key Matchups

New York City II attack vs FC Cincinnati II defence

New York City II average 1.3 goals per match this season, with a balanced output of 6 home and 6 away goals. They tend to build pressure as games wear on, with significant scoring clusters between minutes 46-75. Up against them is a FC Cincinnati II defence that concedes 1.9 goals per match overall and 2.4 per game away from home, with particular vulnerability just before half-time and in the early second half. This dynamic suggests New York City II’s forward line, featuring options like C. Danquah, L. De Pinho and M. Jones, should find opportunities if they sustain attacks through those key phases.

FC Cincinnati II late-game threat vs New York City II resilience

FC Cincinnati II’s attack averages 1.2 goals per match, but that headline figure hides a strong late-game profile: they score most frequently between minutes 46-90, with a notable spike from 76-90. New York City II concede 1.9 goals per match and are most exposed between minutes 61-75, where they have shipped the highest share of their goals. If Cincinnati II can keep the game close into the final half-hour, their attacking unit – including forwards such as Stefan Chirila, C. Holmes and M. Vazquez – has the potential to exploit New York City II’s tendency to fade defensively in that window.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These two sides have developed a rich recent history in MLS Next Pro, often playing high-scoring and closely fought matches. New York City II and FC Cincinnati II have traded home wins and penalty shoot-out victories across league meetings since 2022.

• 13 April 2026: FC Cincinnati II 1-0 New York City II (MLS Next Pro Group Stage)
• 6 July 2025: FC Cincinnati II 2-2 New York City II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 22; FC Cincinnati II won 5-4 on penalties)
• 9 April 2025: New York City II 2-2 FC Cincinnati II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 6; FC Cincinnati II won 5-3 on penalties)
• 30 September 2024: New York City II 3-1 FC Cincinnati II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 40)
• 7 July 2024: FC Cincinnati II 1-1 New York City II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 23; New York City II won 4-3 on penalties)

New York City II vs FC Cincinnati II Prediction

Recent form and underlying numbers point slightly towards New York City II. Their league form string of “WLWLW” indicates a win-loss pattern but with three victories in their last five, while FC Cincinnati II’s “LLWWL” shows two wins punctuated by three defeats. The comparison metrics lean towards the hosts in form, attack and defence, and crucially, New York City II have been strong at home while Cincinnati II have struggled badly on the road.

Head-to-head, however, is more nuanced. FC Cincinnati II have taken the most recent meeting 1-0 and have twice edged New York City II on penalties after 2-2 draws. Yet New York City II have also produced emphatic wins in this matchup, particularly at Belson Stadium. With the win-or-draw projection favouring New York City II or a stalemate and the goal expectation sitting under 2.5 for both sides, this shapes up as a tight contest where the hosts’ home edge and Cincinnati’s away frailties should tell.

Predicted Score: New York City II 1-0 FC Cincinnati II

New York City II League Form

WLWLW

FC Cincinnati II League Form

LLWWL

New York City II Possible Starting Lineup

B. Klein; Nico Cavallo, E. Martin, Maxwell Murray, K. Smith; C. Flax, D. Kerr, Musu, K. Pierre; C. Danquah, M. Jones.

New York City II have a deep squad with multiple goalkeeping options led by B. Klein and T. Romero, and a young but sizeable defensive group including Nico Cavallo, E. Martin and Maxwell Murray. In midfield, players such as C. Flax, D. Kerr, Musu and K. Pierre provide energy and versatility, while the attacking unit features pace and movement from C. Danquah, M. Jones and E. Samb. With no confirmed absences, the coach can rotate across the lines, but given their strong home record, a proactive, attack-minded shape at Belson Stadium is likely.

FC Cincinnati II Possible Starting Lineup

Fabian Mrozek; M. Miazga, S. Lachekar, D. Hurtado, Felix Samson; Y. Ramos, M. Sullivan, N. Gray; Stefan Chirila, C. Holmes, M. Vazquez.

FC Cincinnati II’s squad blends experienced figures like M. Miazga with a host of teenagers across the back line and midfield. Goalkeepers such as Fabian Mrozek and B. Dowd give solidity at the back, while defenders including S. Lachekar and Felix Samson are supported by a busy midfield group featuring Y. Ramos, M. Sullivan and N. Gray. In attack, options like Stefan Chirila, C. Holmes, G. Marioni and M. Vazquez offer variety. The challenge for Cincinnati II will be translating their decent home attacking numbers into a more convincing away performance, likely with a slightly more cautious setup to protect a defence that has conceded heavily on the road.

New York City II Team News

No significant absences reported.

FC Cincinnati II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

New York City II:

• None reported.

FC Cincinnati II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: New York City II vs FC Cincinnati II

[Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:]

• Result Tip: Back New York City II in the double chance (home or draw). The projection gives New York City II and the draw a combined 90% edge (45% home, 45% draw) against just 10% for an away win, and Cincinnati II have lost all five away matches this season. [No odds data available for this market.]
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 total goals. Both teams’ goal projections are set below 2.5, and while their season-long defensive records are leaky, the most recent meeting finished 1-0 to FC Cincinnati II, suggesting a tighter, more controlled contest is plausible. [No odds data available for this market.]
• Value Tip: New York City II to win by exactly one goal. New York City II’s home strength versus Cincinnati II’s poor away record, combined with the high draw probability, points towards a narrow home success such as 1-0. This angle offers a more aggressive position aligned with the predicted scoreline. [No odds data available for this market.]

How to Watch New York City II vs FC Cincinnati II

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.