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Liverpool vs Fulham Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Liverpool welcome Fulham to Anfield on 12 September 2026 in Premier League Regular Season - 4, with the two sides starting the campaign at opposite ends of the table. Liverpool sit 6th with 5 points from three matches, unbeaten so far, while Fulham arrive in serious early trouble in 19th, still pointless after three defeats.

For Liverpool, this is the kind of home fixture they simply have to control if they are to stay in touch with the early pacesetters. They have already scored six goals in three matches and look offensively sharp, but defensive lapses have kept games open. Fulham, meanwhile, have shown they can score – four goals in three – but a leaky back line conceding seven already has made every outing an uphill battle.

Recent head-to-head meetings, current form, and the betting markets all tilt strongly towards Liverpool, but Fulham’s ability to trouble them in past encounters – including several high-scoring draws and narrow defeats – suggests this could still be a lively, attacking contest rather than a procession.

Liverpool vs Fulham Key Stats

  • Liverpool are 6th with 5 points from 3 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 0 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 4.
  • Fulham are 19th with 0 points from 3 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 7.
  • In their most recent meeting at Anfield on 11 April 2026, Liverpool beat Fulham 2-0 in the Premier League.
  • Across their 2026 Premier League statistics so far, Liverpool average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
  • Fulham’s 2026 Premier League statistics show 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per match, with no clean sheets.

Liverpool vs Fulham — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 6 vs 19
  • Points: 5 vs 0
  • Goals For: 6 vs 4
  • Goals Against: 4 vs 7
  • Clean Sheets: Liverpool 1 (tournament statistics) vs Fulham 0 (tournament statistics)

The early standings underline the gap between the sides. Liverpool have taken 5 points from their opening three matches, with a goal difference of +2 (6 scored, 4 conceded). They have drawn their only home game so far (2-2) but have looked strong away, already collecting a win and another draw. That combination of attacking productivity and relative defensive stability is reflected in their unbeaten start.

Fulham, by contrast, are already in the relegation zone in 19th. Three defeats from three, with a -3 goal difference, paint a picture of a team that is competitive going forward but far too fragile at the back. They have scored four goals – all at home – but have yet to find the net on the road and have conceded in every match. With Liverpool’s attacking firepower and Anfield advantage, the pressure is firmly on Fulham to tighten up defensively while somehow carrying a threat on the break.

Liverpool vs Fulham Key Matchups

A. Isak vs Joshua King

Alexander Isak has hit the ground running for Liverpool in this Premier League campaign. In 3 appearances (all as a starter) and 244 minutes, he has scored 3 goals, making him one of the league’s standout early forwards. He has taken 7 shots with 5 on target, underlining his efficiency, and his overall rating of 7.77 highlights his all-round influence. With no yellow or red cards and only one foul committed, he offers a clean, focused presence at the top of the pitch.

For Fulham, Joshua King has been a bright spot in a difficult start. The 18-year-old midfielder has played every minute so far (3 appearances, 270 minutes), scoring 2 of Fulham’s 4 league goals. He has 6 shots (3 on target), 109 passes with 3 key passes and 83% accuracy, plus 5 tackles and 2 blocks, showing he contributes in both phases. His rating of 7.01 is impressive given Fulham’s results. The duel between Isak’s cutting edge and King’s box-to-box influence could be pivotal: if King can disrupt Liverpool’s build-up and carry Fulham forward, he may limit the supply into Isak. But if Liverpool dominate territory, Isak will get chances against a defence that has conceded 7 in 3 games.

C. Gakpo vs Fulham’s back line

Cody Gakpo has been Liverpool’s creative hub so far. In 3 appearances (251 minutes), he has 1 goal and 3 assists, making him one of the league’s top assist providers. He has produced 8 key passes from 88 total passes with 84% accuracy, and his rating of 7.7 reflects his influence between the lines. Defensively, he has also chipped in with 6 tackles and 5 interceptions, highlighting his work rate in Liverpool’s press.

Fulham’s defence, by contrast, has struggled badly: 7 goals conceded in 3 matches, no clean sheets, and an average of 2.3 goals against per game. Their “biggest losses” metrics show they have already suffered a 2-3 home defeat and a 1-0 away defeat, and their defensive index in recent matches is low. If Fulham cannot close the spaces between midfield and defence, Gakpo is likely to find pockets where he can thread passes into Isak and the wide forwards, or arrive late in the box himself. Containing him will be crucial if Fulham are to avoid another high-conceding afternoon.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The recent head-to-head record between Liverpool and Fulham has been entertaining and often high-scoring, with several tight contests at both Anfield and Craven Cottage. Liverpool have generally had the upper hand, especially at home, but Fulham have shown they can take points and score goals in this fixture.

  • 11 April 2026: Liverpool 2-0 Fulham (Premier League)
  • 4 January 2026: Fulham 2-2 Liverpool (Premier League)
  • 6 April 2025: Fulham 3-2 Liverpool (Premier League)
  • 14 December 2024: Liverpool 2-2 Fulham (Premier League)
  • 21 April 2024: Fulham 1-3 Liverpool (Premier League)

Liverpool vs Fulham Prediction

All indicators point towards Liverpool control. They are unbeaten in their opening three matches, have a stronger attack, and enjoy a formidable Anfield advantage. The comparison model heavily favours Liverpool in form, attack, defence and overall index, and the Poisson index is overwhelmingly on the home side. Fulham, by contrast, come in on a three-game losing streak, with their recent form index at the bottom end and no clean sheets.

Probability-wise, the prediction model assigns Liverpool a 45% chance of winning, with the draw also at 45% and Fulham at just 10%. That suggests a very strong “Liverpool or draw” scenario rather than a guaranteed home win, reflecting Fulham’s ability to score and Liverpool’s occasional defensive openness. Given Liverpool’s average of 2.0 goals scored per game and Fulham’s 2.3 conceded, a home win in a match with at least a couple of Liverpool goals looks the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: Liverpool 2-1 Fulham

Liverpool Recent Form

Liverpool’s recent form in the Premier League reads WDD, reflecting a solid if not spectacular start. Across 3 matches they have 1 win and 2 draws, with no defeats. They have scored 6 goals (2.0 per match on average) and conceded 4 (1.3 per match). At Anfield they have drawn their only game 2-2, while away they have taken 4 points from two fixtures. Their last-five form index is strong in attack and respectable in defence, underlining a team that is generally on top in games, even if they have yet to fully shut opponents out.

Fulham Recent Form

Fulham’s recent form is stark: LLL. Three defeats from three in the Premier League, with 4 goals scored and 7 conceded, leave them in the relegation zone. Their last-five form index is particularly poor, with a very low overall form figure and a weak defensive rating. At home they have at least found the net (4 goals in 2 matches), but away from Craven Cottage they have yet to score and have already lost once. Confidence and defensive organisation are clear concerns heading into a trip to Anfield.

Liverpool Possible Starting Lineup

With no confirmed lineup data for this specific fixture, we can only highlight key players likely to form the core of Liverpool’s side based on the current squad and early-season contributors:

Key players: Alisson Becker (Goalkeeper); V. van Dijk, M. Kerkez, R. Araújo, J. Gomez (Defenders); A. Mac Allister, R. Gravenberch, C. Gakpo, D. Szoboszlai, F. Wirtz (Midfielders); A. Isak, F. Chiesa, B. Barcola (Attackers).

Liverpool have been using a 4-2-3-1 shape consistently in 2026, and the presence of creators like C. Gakpo and D. Szoboszlai behind A. Isak gives them multiple routes to goal. The defensive unit, anchored by V. van Dijk and supported by full-backs such as M. Kerkez, has conceded four goals in three matches – not watertight, but solid enough when combined with a strong press. With no significant absences reported, Liverpool should be able to field a near full-strength side and rotate attacking options from the bench if needed.

Fulham Possible Starting Lineup

Again, without confirmed lineups, we focus on Fulham’s key personnel based on the squad list and early-season roles:

Key players: B. Leno (Goalkeeper); J. Andersen, C. Bassey, T. Castagne, A. Robinson (Defenders); S. Berge, T. Cairney, A. Iwobi, Joshua King, Oscar Bobb (Midfielders); Rodrigo Muniz, Kevin, Gonzalo García (Attackers).

Fulham have also been using a 4-2-3-1 structure in 2026. Joshua King is central to their plans from midfield, contributing goals and work rate, while experienced figures like T. Cairney and A. Iwobi can help them retain possession. At the back, J. Andersen and C. Bassey need to be far more secure than they have been so far, with B. Leno likely to be busy at Anfield. Fulham will probably look to stay compact, hit on the counter, and rely on King and their forwards to make the most of limited opportunities.

Liverpool Team News

No significant absences reported.

Fulham Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Liverpool:

  • None reported.

Fulham:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Liverpool vs Fulham

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Back Liverpool to win. The prediction model gives Liverpool a 45% chance of victory and just 10% for Fulham, with Liverpool unbeaten (WDD) and Fulham on three straight defeats. In the Match Winner market, home odds range from 1.40 to 1.48, implying an approximate probability between (1 ÷ 1.48) × 100 ≈ 67.6% and (1 ÷ 1.40) × 100 ≈ 71.4%. That aligns with Liverpool’s strong underlying stats and dominant head-to-head record at Anfield.
  • Goals Tip: Over 2.5 total goals. Liverpool matches in 2026 average 3.3 goals per game (6 for, 4 against over 3), while Fulham’s average is also 3.3 (4 for, 7 against). Recent H2H clashes have frequently been high scoring (3-2, 2-2, 3-1, 4-3). With Fulham conceding 2.3 per game and Liverpool scoring 2.0 per game, an open contest with at least three goals looks likely. Use the over/under prices from your chosen bookmaker to find the best value.
  • Value Tip: A. Isak to score anytime. Isak has 3 goals in 3 appearances, with 5 of his 7 shots on target and a strong 7.77 rating. He is clearly Liverpool’s focal point in attack, facing a Fulham defence yet to keep a clean sheet and conceding an average of 2.3 goals per match. Player goalscorer markets should offer a reasonable price on Isak to find the net again; compare across bookmakers to identify the standout value.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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