Inter Miami II vs New York City II Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Inter Miami II welcome New York City II to Chase Stadium for an MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash that already feels pivotal for both sides. The hosts are rooted near the bottom of their section after a torrid start, while the visitors are trying to stay in touch with the frontrunners in the Eastern Conference.

Chase Stadium has not been a happy hunting ground for Inter Miami II this campaign, and they come into this fixture with just 4 points from 11 matches and a heavy negative goal difference. New York City II, by contrast, have 15 points from the same number of games and are positioned in mid-pack in both their division and conference, leaving this as an opportunity to bank three points against struggling opposition.

Stats suggest a clear gap in current performance levels between these MLS Next Pro reserve sides. Inter Miami II are desperate to halt a damaging losing streak, while New York City II will see this as a chance to improve a poor away record and consolidate their place in the Eastern Conference mix.

Inter Miami II vs New York City II Key Stats

• Inter Miami II have taken just 4 points from 11 league matches, with 12 goals scored and 32 conceded.
• Inter Miami II beat New York City II 4-2 at Chase Stadium on 4 May 2025 in MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 10.
• Inter Miami II are conceding an average of 3.1 goals per match this campaign, while New York City II are scoring 1.5 per game.

Inter Miami II vs New York City II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 8 (Central Division) / 16 (Eastern Conference) vs 6 (Northeast Division) / 12 (Eastern Conference)
• Points: 4 vs 15
• Goals For: 12 vs 15
• Goals Against: 32 vs 19
• Clean Sheets: Inter Miami II 0 vs New York City II 1

The season record shows Inter Miami II in deep trouble. They have lost 10 of their 11 league games, with a goal difference of -20 and a league form line of LLLLL. Both in the Central Division and across the Eastern Conference, they sit at the foot of their respective tables with 4 points and just a single win. Conceding 32 times in 11 matches underlines a defensive structure that has been far too open.

New York City II are far from perfect but look significantly more competitive. With 15 points from 11 fixtures, they occupy 6th in the Northeast Division and 12th in the Eastern Conference. Their goal difference of -4 (15 scored, 19 conceded) reflects a team that can hurt opponents but still gives chances away. A league form of LWWLW suggests inconsistency, yet it is a clear step up from Inter Miami II’s prolonged slump.

Inter Miami II vs New York City II Key Matchups

Attacking Units vs Fragile Defences

Without individual scorer or assist data, the contest is best framed as a clash between collective attacks and vulnerable back lines. Inter Miami II average 1.2 goals per game across the season but ship 3.1, including 3.0 per match at home. New York City II score 1.5 per game and concede 1.8. If the visitors maintain their recent attacking output — 11 goals in their last five league fixtures at 2.2 per game — they should regularly test a home defence that has already allowed 34 goals in all league play.

Inter Miami II’s Discipline vs New York City II’s Late-Game Pressure

Discipline and late-game management could be decisive. Inter Miami II have collected a high volume of yellow cards between minutes 46-90 and have seen both of their red cards shown in the 76-90 minute window. New York City II, meanwhile, pick up a large share of their yellow cards in the final quarter-hour and also have a red card in the 76-90 range. With New York City II scoring heavily between minutes 61-75 and 76-90, a fragile and often ill-disciplined Inter Miami II side may struggle to cope with late pressure.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The recent head-to-head record points to an entertaining, high-scoring fixture. Both sides have claimed notable wins, and goals have rarely been in short supply. Across the most recent clashes, New York City II have generally edged the series, but Inter Miami II have shown they can strike at Chase Stadium.

• 4 May 2025: Inter Miami II 4-2 New York City II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 10)
• 8 June 2024: New York City II 3-0 Inter Miami II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 17)
• 17 March 2024: Inter Miami II 3-2 New York City II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 2)
• 24 September 2023: Inter Miami II 2-3 New York City II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 37)
• 11 August 2023: New York City II 5-0 Inter Miami II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 29)

Inter Miami II vs New York City II Prediction

Analysis points to New York City II holding a clear edge. Their overall performance level is stronger, their recent form more encouraging, and their attack more productive. Inter Miami II’s league form of LLLLL and a defensive average of 3.1 goals conceded per game are red flags, particularly against a side whose last five matches feature 11 goals scored.

The prediction model leans firmly towards the visitors with a 50% away win probability and 50% draw probability, leaving Inter Miami II at 0%. With New York City II favoured on a “win or draw” basis and the expectation of at least two goals in the match, the most likely scenario is the visitors controlling large spells, exploiting the hosts’ defensive frailties and coming away with at least a point — and more likely all three.

Predicted Score: Inter Miami II 1-3 New York City II

Inter Miami II League Form

LLLLL

New York City II League Form

LWWLW

Inter Miami II Possible Starting Lineup

Goalkeepers: L. Barker, M. Marin; Defenders: N. Almeida, M. Armando, S. Basabe, K. Davilma, N. Dearmin, G. Florentino, L. Garcia, T. Hall, S. Morrison, L. Padilla, M. Perez, A. Ristano, D. Sumalla, T. Vorenkamp, R. White; Midfielders: J. Convers, A. Flores, S. Gormley, D. Lagos, J. Ortela, P. Plambeck, A. Querales, M. Rodriguez, M. Stoka, I. Urkidi, M. de Paula; Forwards: Z. Cadet, D. Matos, D. Rey, M. Saja, M. Vieux, I. Zeltzer-Zubida.

With no confirmed lineup data, Inter Miami II are likely to draw from a youthful squad featuring multiple teenage defenders and attackers. The lack of clean sheets (0 in the league) and the high goals-against numbers suggest that, whatever the exact shape, the back line has struggled for cohesion. Expect a setup designed to protect a vulnerable defence, perhaps sacrificing attacking numbers in an attempt to stem the flow of goals conceded.

New York City II Possible Starting Lineup

Goalkeepers: B. Klein, M. Learned, D. McDermott, T. Romero; Defenders: K. Acito, A. Baiera, A. Campos, Nico Cavallo, J. Lopez, E. Martin, Maxwell Murray, D. Randazzo, K. Smith; Midfielders: Jacob Arroyave, M. Carrizo, D. Duque, C. Flax, D. Kerr, P. Molinari, Musu, K. Pierre, J. Ponce, Arnau Rabassa, J. Shore, J. Suchecki, L. Sunjic, U. Zeitz, G. de Souza; Forwards: C. Danquah, L. De Pinho, A. Farnos, H. Hvatum, M. Jones, S. Reid, E. Samb.

New York City II have a deeper and more balanced squad on paper, with multiple options in every line. Their single clean sheet in league play indicates they are not watertight defensively, but their capacity to rotate in defence and midfield, plus a varied forward line, supports a proactive, front-foot approach. Given their away struggles (one win and four defeats on the road), they may still be slightly cautious, but the quality and depth should allow them to control possession and create consistent chances.

Inter Miami II Team News

No significant absences reported.

New York City II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Inter Miami II:

• None reported.

New York City II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Inter Miami II vs New York City II

[Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:]

• Result Tip: Back New York City II in the double chance (away win or draw). Inter Miami II have lost 10 of 11 league games and hold a 0% win probability in the prediction model, while New York City II are rated at 50% for an away win and 50% for the draw.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. The advice leans towards “+1.5 goals”, with Inter Miami II conceding 3.1 per game and New York City II scoring 1.5. Recent head-to-head meetings have regularly produced three or more goals.
• Value Tip: New York City II to score at least two goals. Their last five matches feature 11 goals (2.2 per game), and they face a defence that has allowed 34 goals in league play. The attacking-versus-defensive trend offers potential value on visitor team-goal markets.

How to Watch Inter Miami II vs New York City II

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.