Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Dinamo Zagreb and FC Thun meet at Stadion Maksimir in Zagreb on 28 July 2026 in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. After a finely balanced first match in Switzerland, everything is on the line in Croatia with a place in the next qualifying round at stake.

The first leg at Stockhorn Arena on 21 July finished 1-1, leaving the tie perfectly poised. FC Thun struck early before Dinamo Zagreb responded late, and with no away-goal rule specified here, this return fixture effectively becomes a one-off decider in front of Dinamo’s home crowd. Both sides have identical early tournament records, making this one of the more intriguing Champions League qualifiers at this stage.

Stats suggest there is very little between the teams so far in this UEFA Champions League campaign. Each has played one match, drawn once, scored once and conceded once. With the prediction model giving an even 33% chance to each of home win, draw and away win, bettors and fans alike should expect another tight contest decided by fine margins in Zagreb.

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Key Stats

• Both teams have identical tournament records so far: 1 match played, 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats, 1 goal scored and 1 conceded.
• The only previous meeting on record between the sides ended FC Thun 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb in the first leg on 21 July 2026.
• In this UEFA Champions League campaign, neither team has kept a clean sheet yet (0 clean sheets each across 1 match).

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun — Tale of the Tape

• Position: Not available vs Not available
• Points: Not available vs Not available
• Goals For: 1 vs 1
• Goals Against: 1 vs 1
• Clean Sheets: Dinamo Zagreb 0, FC Thun 0 (tournament statistics)

Standings data by rank and points is not yet available for this qualifying phase, but the basic tournament statistics underline how evenly matched these sides have been so far. Dinamo Zagreb’s single match was an away draw, while FC Thun’s came at home, meaning this is Dinamo’s first Champions League outing at Stadion Maksimir this season.

Across their one game each, Dinamo Zagreb have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded, and FC Thun mirror that exactly. Neither side has yet failed to score, but both have also been breached once. Dinamo lined up in a 4-2-3-1 in their opening match, while FC Thun used a 4-4-2, hinting at a clash between Dinamo’s extra man in midfield and Thun’s more traditional two-striker setup. With no clear statistical edge in goals or defensive solidity, home advantage could be the key differentiator.

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Key Matchups

F. Topić (Dinamo Zagreb) vs FC Thun defensive unit

With no top scorers data available yet, the standout attacking contributor in this tie so far for Dinamo Zagreb is Fran Topić, who appears in the top assists list for the UEFA Champions League. The 21-year-old attacker has made 1 appearance, playing 10 minutes, and already registered 1 assist. In that short cameo he took 1 shot, completed 5 passes at 80% accuracy, and produced 1 key pass, underlining his ability to make an impact off the bench.

Topić also won his only recorded duel and drew 1 foul, suggesting he can trouble defenders in tight spaces. If Dinamo again use a 4-2-3-1, his creativity and directness either as a substitute or starter could be crucial against an FC Thun back line that conceded late in the first leg. Thun’s defenders will need to track his movement between the lines and be wary of his ability to create chances quickly after coming on.

Midfield battle: Dinamo’s central unit vs FC Thun’s 4-4-2 block

Without individual scoring data for FC Thun, the key tactical battle looks set to come in midfield. Dinamo Zagreb’s use of a 4-2-3-1 in their only match gives them a numerical advantage in central areas against Thun’s 4-4-2. Dinamo’s two holding midfielders plus a central playmaker can overload Thun’s central pair, potentially allowing the hosts to control possession and territory at Stadion Maksimir.

FC Thun’s 4-4-2, however, offers good defensive width and the ability to press from the front with two forwards. Their goal in the first leg came in the 16–30 minute window, while Dinamo conceded in that same early period and scored late (76–90 minutes). If Thun can again start aggressively and disrupt Dinamo’s build-up, the midfield contest will dictate whether they can create enough chances away from home to threaten an upset.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides are unfamiliar opponents in European competition, with only one recent meeting to go on. That first-leg encounter in Switzerland highlighted how evenly matched they are, with both teams having dominant spells.

• 21 July 2026: FC Thun 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb (UEFA Champions League)

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Prediction

Everything points towards another tight, cagey match in Zagreb. Both teams come into the second leg with identical tournament form — one draw each, 1-1 on aggregate, and no clean sheets. Dinamo Zagreb will look to make their home advantage count, especially with their 4-2-3-1 shape offering control in midfield and the possibility of game-changing contributions from players like Fran Topić.

FC Thun showed in the first leg that they can unsettle Dinamo, striking early and holding the lead until the final stages. Their 4-4-2 setup can be effective on the counter and in transition, particularly if they can again start strongly. However, Dinamo’s late equaliser in Switzerland hints that the Croatian side may have more depth and resilience over 90 minutes.

The prediction model rates all three outcomes — home win, draw, and away win — at 33% each, underlining how balanced this tie is. With no clear statistical favourite and very limited sample size, the most plausible scenario is another low-scoring game decided by a single goal or even going beyond regular time. Given home advantage and slightly greater European pedigree, Dinamo Zagreb can be edged to come through, but FC Thun have every chance of forcing extra time or penalties.

Predicted Score: Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 FC Thun

Dinamo Zagreb Recent Form

In this UEFA Champions League campaign, Dinamo Zagreb have played 1 match and drawn it, scoring once and conceding once. Their goal came late in the 76–90 minute window, while they conceded in the 16–30 minute period. They have yet to keep a clean sheet but also have not failed to score, suggesting a balanced, if unspectacular, start to qualifying.

FC Thun Recent Form

FC Thun’s recent form in the Champions League mirrors Dinamo’s: 1 match played, 1 draw, 1 goal scored and 1 conceded. They struck in the 16–30 minute window and conceded late in the 76–90 minute period. Like Dinamo, they have no clean sheets but have found the net in their only outing, pointing towards another competitive, evenly matched contest in the second leg.

Dinamo Zagreb Possible Starting Lineup

GK: I. Filipović or I. Nevistić
Defenders: S. Radeljić, K. Théophile-Catherine, Raúl Torrente, B. Goda
Midfielders: J. Mišić, M. Zajc, G. Vidović, L. Kačavenda
Forwards: M. Oršić, F. Topić

Dinamo Zagreb have used a 4-2-3-1 formation in their only Champions League match so far, and a similar shape is likely again at Stadion Maksimir. Experienced defenders like K. Théophile-Catherine and S. Radeljić can provide stability at the back, while midfielders such as J. Mišić and M. Zajc offer control and passing range. In attack, creative options like M. Oršić and G. Vidović can support the striker, with Fran Topić either starting or coming off the bench to add assists and direct running in the final third. With no injuries reported, Dinamo have the flexibility to adjust their attacking mix during the game.

FC Thun Possible Starting Lineup

GK: N. Steffen
Defenders: Genís Montolio, N. Bürgy, J. Bamert, M. Bürki
Midfielders: M. Käit, J. Roth, N. Reichmuth, N. Zoukit
Forwards: B. Labeau, L. Stewart

FC Thun lined up in a 4-4-2 in the first leg and are likely to stick with that structure, which provides a solid defensive block and two forwards to press and threaten on the break. Central midfielders like M. Käit and J. Roth can be key in disrupting Dinamo’s build-up, while wide players and full-backs will need to track Dinamo’s attacking midfielders. Up front, attackers such as B. Labeau and L. Stewart can look to exploit any space behind Dinamo’s defensive line, particularly in transitions. With no absentees listed, Thun should be able to field a strong and settled XI.

Dinamo Zagreb Team News

No significant absences reported.

FC Thun Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Dinamo Zagreb:

• None reported.

FC Thun:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: With the prediction model giving 33% to each of home win, draw and away win, and both teams drawing 1-1 in the first leg, the result market looks finely balanced. Home advantage slightly favours Dinamo Zagreb, but given the even early form, a cautious approach is to consider the draw in the main 1X2 market if competitive odds are offered.
• Goals Tip: Both teams have seen under 2.5 goals in their only Champions League match so far (1-1), and their goals-for and goals-against averages sit at 1.0 per game. With a tight knockout context and no prior high-scoring meetings, backing a low-scoring contest (such as under 2.5 goals) is logically supported by the early numbers.
• Value Tip: Fran Topić has already delivered 1 assist in just 10 minutes of action, with 1 shot and 1 key pass. Markets related to player creativity or contribution — such as Topić to record a goal involvement if he starts or plays significant minutes — could offer value, especially if priced generously due to his limited overall minutes so far.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.