Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Chicago Fire II welcome New York RB II to SeatGeek Stadium on 12 July 2026 in an MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash that has real implications across both the Central and Northeast divisions. The hosts are chasing consistency in front of their own fans, while the visitors arrive as one of the Eastern Conference’s pacesetters.

Chicago Fire II sit on 24 points from 16 matches, with a perfectly balanced goal difference and no draws so far. Every outing has been boom or bust, which makes this fixture particularly intriguing for betting angles and prediction models. New York RB II, meanwhile, have 32 points from 17 games and boast one of the strongest attacks in the competition, underlining why they are firmly in the MLS Next Pro play-off picture.

With a rich recent head-to-head history packed with goals and drama, this matchup profiles as one of the standout MLS Next Pro fixtures on the card, offering plenty for punters and analysts to dig into — from form trends and defensive records to high-scoring H2H patterns.

Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II Key Stats

• Chicago Fire II have 24 points from 16 matches with 24 goals scored and 24 conceded in the current MLS Next Pro standings.
• The last meeting, on 26 October 2025 at MSU Soccer Park, finished New York RB II 5-3 Chicago Fire II after extra time in the Quarter-finals.
• New York RB II’s 2026 MLS Next Pro statistics show 40 goals scored in 17 games (2.4 per match), with 10 wins and no draws.

Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 2
• Points: 24 vs 32
• Goals For: 24 vs 39
• Goals Against: 24 vs 24
• Clean Sheets: Chicago Fire II 3 (tournament statistics) vs New York RB II 3 (tournament statistics)

In the Central Division, Chicago Fire II are 5th with 24 points from 16 games, having won 8 and lost 8. Their goal difference of 0 (24 scored, 24 conceded) underlines how finely balanced their season has been. At SeatGeek Stadium they are strong: 5 wins and 2 defeats from 7 home matches, with 14 goals scored and only 9 conceded.

New York RB II, 2nd in the Northeast Division and 3rd in the Eastern Conference overall, have 32 points from 17 games and a +15 goal difference (39 scored, 24 conceded). They have 10 wins and 7 losses, with no draws. At home they are dominant (6 wins from 9), but away they are more volatile: 4 wins and 4 defeats from 8, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Overall, the visitors carry the more potent attack, while Chicago’s home record keeps this contest closer than the raw table might suggest.

Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II Key Matchups

Chicago Fire II attack vs New York RB II defence

Chicago Fire II average 1.7 goals per game across 16 fixtures in their 2026 statistics, with 27 goals scored and 27 conceded overall. At home, they are more productive, hitting 2.1 goals per match (15 in 7). New York RB II’s defensive record is relatively solid, allowing 27 goals in 17 games (1.6 per match), and just 12 at home but 15 away. For Chicago, the key battle will be turning that strong home scoring rate into chances against a back line that has conceded fewer than two goals per game on average and has kept 3 clean sheets in the tournament. The numbers suggest Chicago will create, but they may need clinical finishing to keep pace with a high-powered Red Bulls attack.

New York RB II forwards vs Chicago Fire II back line

New York RB II’s attack is one of the most dangerous in MLS Next Pro this season: 40 goals in 17 matches (2.4 per game), with a remarkable 3.1 goals per game at home and 1.5 away. Their minute-by-minute distribution shows a strong late-game threat, with a significant share of goals arriving between 61–90 minutes. Chicago Fire II concede 1.7 goals per match overall in 2026, with their defensive vulnerability particularly visible in the 46–60 and 76–120 minute windows. That combination points to a matchup where New York’s relentless, late-surging attack can exploit Chicago’s tendency to ship goals after the break, especially if the hosts are forced to open up.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These two sides have built one of MLS Next Pro’s most entertaining rivalries in recent seasons, with goals flowing almost every time they meet. Recent clashes have included high-scoring thrillers and knockout drama.

• 26 October 2025: New York RB II 5-3 Chicago Fire II (MLS Next Pro, Quarter-finals – after extra time)
• 24 August 2025: New York RB II 1-0 Chicago Fire II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 31)
• 27 July 2025: Chicago Fire II 9-2 New York RB II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 26)
• 06 April 2025: New York RB II 3-2 Chicago Fire II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 5)
• 13 September 2024: Chicago Fire II 2-1 New York RB II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 36)

Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II Prediction

Stats suggest a wide-open contest with a strong lean towards New York RB II avoiding defeat. The prediction model gives Chicago Fire II only a 10% chance of winning, with the draw and an away victory each rated at 45%. That aligns with the standings picture: New York RB II are higher in both division and conference, have scored 39 league goals, and come off a generally stronger recent run despite some inconsistency.

Chicago’s home strength and the H2H history — including a 9-2 demolition at SeatGeek Stadium in July 2025 — mean the hosts cannot be discounted. Their 5 home wins in 7 and average of 2.1 goals per home game indicate they will likely find the net. However, New York RB II’s superior attacking metrics (2.4 goals per game overall) and their tendency to finish games strongly tilt the balance towards the visitors in a high-scoring scenario. Expect Chicago to compete, but the safer angle is New York RB II on a double chance, with goals at both ends.

Predicted Score: Chicago Fire II 1-2 New York RB II

Chicago Fire II Recent Form

Chicago Fire II’s recent form in the standings is mixed, with a run that includes both winning and losing streaks. They have 8 wins and 8 defeats from 16 matches, underlining their all-or-nothing profile. At home, however, their form is much stronger: 5 victories in 7, with just 2 losses and a positive goal difference. Across their last five matches in all competitions referenced by the prediction data, they have scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) but conceded 11 (2.2 per game), reflecting an entertaining but defensively fragile spell.

New York RB II Recent Form

New York RB II’s form line shows a side capable of stringing together impressive winning runs. They have 10 wins and 7 defeats from 17 games, with no draws, and a notable winning streak of 5 at one point in their 2026 campaign. Over their last five fixtures in the prediction sample, they have scored 13 goals (2.6 per game) and conceded 9 (1.8 per game), again highlighting a proactive, attack-first approach. Away from home they are less dominant than at MSU Soccer Park but still dangerous, with 4 wins and 4 losses from 8 away matches.

Chicago Fire II Possible Starting Lineup

GK: P. Los or Bryan Dowd; Defenders: J. Reynolds, Oluwaseun Oyegunle, D. Konincks, M. Kanyane; Midfielders: H. Osorio, Samuel Williams, C. Cassano, Dylan Borso; Forwards: O. Glasgow, Jason Shokalook.

Chicago Fire II have a youthful squad with several teenagers and early-20s players across the pitch. In goal, P. Los and Bryan Dowd provide options, while defenders such as J. Reynolds and Oluwaseun Oyegunle bring physicality and athleticism. The midfield could revolve around H. Osorio and C. Cassano, supported by creative and box-to-box profiles like Samuel Williams and Dylan Borso. Up front, O. Glasgow and Jason Shokalook are likely to carry the main attacking threat. The data does not provide formations, but the personnel suggests a flexible, high-energy setup designed to press and transition quickly.

New York RB II Possible Starting Lineup

GK: A. Causey; Defenders: J. Bazán, J. Mina, Londono, Shunya Sakai; Midfielders: N. Benedetti, A. Jarvis, M. Morigi, P. Sokoloff; Forwards: D. Gjengaar, Roald Mitchell.

New York RB II’s squad list shows depth across all lines, with multiple goalkeepers and a large pool of young defenders and midfielders. A. Causey is a leading candidate in goal. At the back, players like J. Bazán, J. Mina, Londono and Shunya Sakai offer a blend of youth and defensive versatility. In midfield, N. Benedetti, A. Jarvis and M. Morigi can provide energy and ball progression, while P. Sokoloff adds further balance. Up front, attackers such as D. Gjengaar and Roald Mitchell headline a forward unit that has powered New York to 40 goals this season. Expect an aggressive, front-foot shape that looks to exploit wide areas and late surges into the box.

Chicago Fire II Team News

No significant absences reported.

New York RB II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Chicago Fire II:

• None reported.

New York RB II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Chicago Fire II vs New York RB II

Below are three betting angles based on current statistics and prediction probabilities. No pre-match odds are available in the data, so stakes and prices should be checked with your preferred bookmaker.

• Result Tip: Double chance – Draw or New York RB II. With New York RB II given a 45% chance to win and the draw also at 45%, against just 10% for a Chicago victory, backing the visitors on the double chance covers the two most likely outcomes according to the probabilities and aligns with their stronger league position and attacking record.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Both teams average well over 1.5 goals per game in matches involving them (Chicago games feature 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded on average; New York games 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded). The H2H history is stacked with high-scoring encounters, including 5-3, 9-2 and 3-2 scorelines, making a goals-based angle logical even without specific odds.
• Value Tip: Both teams to score. Chicago Fire II are strong at home (14 goals in 7 matches), while New York RB II have scored 11 in 8 away fixtures and 40 overall this season. Given the attacking profiles and historical H2H goal-fests, a BTTS play has strong statistical backing and could offer attractive value once markets are posted.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.