NorthStandCA logo

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

This UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round second leg in Celje sets up a finely poised tie after an entertaining 3-3 draw in Albania on 22 July 2026. Celje return home to Celje city knowing that a win on the night will be enough to progress, but they must tighten up defensively after conceding three times away.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë arrive with early-season momentum in this Champions League qualifying campaign. They are unbeaten across three matches in the competition so far, scoring freely but also leaving the door open at the back. With no away-goals rule in modern UEFA competition, this is effectively a one-off shootout for a place in the next qualifying round.

Stats suggest a high-scoring, finely balanced contest between an attack-minded Egnatia side and a Celje team that showed resilience to fight back in the first leg. Bettors and fans looking for Champions League qualifying predictions will have this clash firmly on their radar given the 3-3 thriller in Rrogozhine.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Key Stats

  • Celje have played 1 Champions League qualifier so far this season, drawing 3-3 away and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game.
  • The only previous meeting between the sides, on 22 July 2026 in Rrogozhine, finished Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-3 Celje in the Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round.
  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë have scored 10 goals in 3 Champions League qualifiers this season (average 3.3 per match), but have yet to keep a clean sheet, conceding 5.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: Not available vs Not available
  • Points: Not available vs Not available
  • Goals For: Not available vs Not available
  • Goals Against: Not available vs Not available
  • Clean Sheets: Celje 0; Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 (tournament statistics so far)

Formal group or league standings are not yet in play at this qualifying stage, but early-round statistics provide a clear picture of how each team approaches these ties. Celje have only one Champions League qualifier on record this season, the 3-3 away draw, which underlines both their attacking threat and defensive vulnerability.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë, by contrast, have a slightly larger sample of three matches in this Champions League campaign. They have recorded 1 win and 2 draws, scoring 9 times at home and once away. Their biggest win so far is a 6-1 home victory, showing they can overwhelm opponents when they get on top. However, with 5 goals conceded in those 3 games and no clean sheets for either side, the numbers point strongly towards another open, attacking encounter in Celje.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Key Matchups

Celje attack vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë defence

Celje’s attacking unit has already shown it can trouble Egnatia, putting three goals past them away from home. Across their single Champions League qualifier so far, they average 3.0 goals for per match, with their scoring spread across the 31–45, 46–60 and 61–75 minute windows. That suggests Celje are capable of sustained pressure rather than relying on a single burst.

Egnatia’s defence, meanwhile, concedes an average of 1.7 goals per game in this campaign, with goals allowed in multiple time bands including early (0–15), just before half-time (31–45), and around the hour mark (46–60). They have also picked up a red card in the 46–60 minute range across their matches, underlining a tendency towards high-intensity, sometimes risky defending. Celje’s ability to exploit those moments of defensive instability could be decisive.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë attack vs Celje defence

Egnatia’s frontline has been one of the standout features of this qualifying round. They have scored 10 goals in 3 matches, including a 6-1 home win and 3 goals against Celje in the first leg. Their goals are well distributed across the match, with a significant share coming in the final quarter-hour of normal time (76–90), where they have been particularly dangerous.

Celje’s defence, by contrast, has conceded 3 goals in their only qualifier so far, with a notable pattern: a significant share of goals conceded arrived in the opening 15 minutes, around the hour mark, and late in the game (76–90). With no clean sheets yet and an average of 3.0 goals conceded per match, Celje will need to improve their concentration at the start and end of each half to contain Egnatia’s multi-phase attacking threat.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These clubs have only just crossed paths in European competition, but their first encounter already hinted at a compelling rivalry. The opening leg in Albania was a rollercoaster that leaves everything to play for in Celje.

  • 22 July 2026: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-3 Celje (UEFA Champions League)

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction

All available indicators point to another high-tempo, goal-rich match. Egnatia Rrogozhinë arrive with better overall recent form in this Champions League campaign: across three games they have 1 win and 2 draws, with a strong attacking profile and an unbeaten record. Celje, by contrast, have only the single 3-3 draw on their ledger, which shows promise but offers less evidence of consistency.

The prediction model gives Egnatia a 45% chance of victory and the draw also at 45%, leaving Celje as clear outsiders at just 10%. That aligns with Egnatia’s stronger attacking numbers and slightly superior comparison indices in form and attack. However, the high draw probability underlines how finely balanced this second leg could be, especially with Celje at home and having already proven they can score multiple goals against this opponent.

Given the combination of Egnatia’s scoring power and Celje’s home advantage, a tight, high-scoring draw looks a realistic outcome, with Egnatia marginally favoured to edge qualification either in normal time or beyond.

Predicted Score: Celje 2-2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Celje Recent Form

Celje’s Champions League qualifying form is limited to a single match so far, the 3-3 draw away to Egnatia Rrogozhinë. That result highlights both their resilience and their defensive frailty: they managed to score three times on the road but also conceded three, with goals allowed early, mid and late in the match. Their overall tournament record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats, with no clean sheets and no games in which they have failed to score.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Recent Form

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s recent Champions League qualifying form reads as unbeaten across three fixtures, with a sequence that includes a big 6-1 home win, another positive home result, and the 3-3 draw against Celje. Their record in this campaign is 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 10 goals scored and 5 conceded. They have shown the ability to score in every match and to respond when under pressure, but their failure to keep a clean sheet so far leaves the door open for opponents.

Celje Possible Starting Lineup

GK: Ž. Frelih, L. Kolar, Žan-Luk Leban, S. Sluga; Defenders: Ł. Bejger, David Castro, L. Koútris, P. Širvys, A. Tutyškinas, G. Vodeb, N. Vukasović, D. Vukliševič, I. Ćalušić; Midfielders: M. Zabukovnik, Papa Mustapha Daniel, Stijan Gobec, D. Hrka, F. Jevšenak, M. Kvesić, T. Letonja, R. Požeg, J. Pranjić, S. Sešlar, M. Avdyli, Y. Dukuly, M. Ivanšek, V. Tusha; Forwards: A. Kotnik, A. Kucys, M. Poplatnik, D. Suhovrsnik.

Celje have used a 4-4-2 shape in their only Champions League qualifier so far, and their squad list suggests they can replicate that structure at home. With multiple goalkeepers and a deep pool of defenders and midfielders, they have options to tweak the balance between attack and solidity. The presence of several attackers such as A. Kotnik and M. Poplatnik gives the coach flexibility to field a front two capable of exploiting Egnatia’s high line, while the midfield depth should help manage the game’s tempo better than in the chaotic first leg.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Possible Starting Lineup

GK: D. Afful, M. Dajsinani, B. Puja, L. Tandilashvili; Defenders: N. Ajetovikj, Z. Əliyev, E. Bitri, A. Fangaj, Guillem Jaime, E. Ndreca, A. Poci, G. Smajli, E. Sota, A. Xhemajli; Midfielders: Andrey Yago, A. Aleksi, I. Diabaté, Fernando Medeiros, M. Januzi, Jefferson, A. Kryeziu, K. Selmani, A. Albanese, I. Gruda, K. Loukili; Forwards: D. Adjessa, S. Bakayoko, D. Duro, J. Montenegro, Afonso Rodrigues.

Egnatia have alternated between 3-5-2 and 5-3-2 formations across their three Champions League qualifiers, indicating tactical flexibility. Their squad list shows a strong core of defenders suited to a back three or back five, and a mix of creative and industrious midfielders who can support a front two. With attackers such as S. Bakayoko, J. Montenegro and Afonso Rodrigues available, Egnatia are well equipped to continue their aggressive, multi-pronged attacking style while still having enough defensive numbers to try to contain Celje’s counters.

Celje Team News

No significant absences reported.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Celje:

  • None reported.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Double chance Egnatia Rrogozhinë or Draw. With Egnatia given a 45% chance to win and the draw also at 45%, compared to just 10% for Celje, the numbers strongly favour the visitors avoiding defeat. Their unbeaten record (1 win, 2 draws) and superior attacking stats across three qualifiers back this conservative result angle.
  • Goals Tip: Over 2.5 total goals. The first leg finished 3-3, Celje average 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded in their only qualifier, and Egnatia’s matches average 3.3 goals for and 1.7 against. Both teams have seen all their Champions League qualifiers go over 2.5 goals, and neither has kept a clean sheet, which strongly supports a high-goals selection.
  • Value Tip: Both Teams to Score. Celje have scored and conceded in their sole qualifier, while Egnatia have scored in all three of theirs and also conceded in every game. The attacking depth in both squads and the defensive numbers (0 clean sheets each) suggest BTTS has a strong chance of landing and could offer value if priced reasonably by bookmakers.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

Related News