NorthStandCA logo

AC Milan vs Inter Milan: Predictions, Lineups, and Betting Tips for the Pre-Season Derby

Odds provided by bet365 and subject to change.

  • First half 1x2: Draw @ 11/8
  • Match 1x2: AC Milan @ 7/4
  • First half Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes @ 11/5

First Half Likely to be Tied

Both teams include many fringe players this early in pre-season, so defensive solidity might not be sharp. Last season, both Milan clubs conceded only 35 goals over 38 Serie A games, but squad rotation could disrupt their usual defensive structure early on.

AC Milan failed to lead at halftime in 74% of league matches last season. Inter had the lowest first-half scoring rate in Serie A, with 21% of games goalless at the break and no half-time lead in 45% of fixtures. Their pre-season friendlies reflect this trend: Inter was level at halftime against Karlsruhe and Manchester City, while Milan trailed 2-0 at halftime in their opener before a comeback.

Two of the last four derbies ended in a draw at halftime, which seems likely again in Perth.

Tip 1: First Half Result - Draw @ 11/8

Milan Could Extend Their Upper Hand

Though Inter won the Scudetto last season, AC Milan still completed the league double over them with two 1-0 victories. Inter’s last win against Milan dates back to April 2024, marking a seven-match stretch without beating their city rivals.

Amorim’s side has taken five wins in the last seven encounters. Both teams remain unbeaten in pre-season, so this could go either way. On neutral ground, backing Milan to pull off an upset feels reasonable, especially as Inter might miss key players.

Tip 2: Match Result - AC Milan @ 7/4

Goals Expected Early On

The first half may end tied, but goals are expected from both sides. Inter netted 89 goals last Serie A season, showcasing potent attack. Milan scored 53 goals, ranking sixth in the league.

In 21% of Milan’s league matches, both teams scored in the first half, placing them third in Serie A for this stat. Inter leads with 24% of matches seeing goals from both teams before halftime.

Overall, 47% of matches between these two saw both teams score during the full 90 minutes. Inter also scored or conceded within the first 15 minutes in 14 of their 38 league games, the third highest in the division.

Tip 3: First Half Both Teams to Score - Yes @ 11/5

Team Form and Match Prediction

The Derby della Madonnina will draw attention in Australia midweek as these Italian giants face off. AC Milan has started a fresh chapter under Ruben Amorim after Massimiliano Allegri was replaced following failure to qualify for the Champions League last season.

Pre-season has begun for Milan, though many regular starters are absent. Some players like Rafael Leao and Luka Modric are in Perth but unlikely to play extended minutes.

Christian Chivu’s Inter Milan is also easing its first-team players back into pre-season. The reigning Italian champions aim to defend their domestic titles and have won friendlies against Karlsruhe and Manchester City, the latter ending 1-1 before Inter won on penalties. They want a strong showing here before facing Juventus.

Predicted Score: AC Milan 3-2 Inter Milan

Predicted Goalscorers

  • AC Milan: Francesco Camarda (2), Ruben Loftus-Cheek
  • Inter Milan: Francesco Esposito, Andy Diouf

Expected Starting Lineups

  • AC Milan: Torriani, Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Athekame, Ricci, Comotto, Bartesaghi, Loftus-Cheek, Ossola, Camarda
  • Inter Milan: Martinez, Pavard, Bisseck, Bastoni, Diouf, Barella, Stankovic, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco, Esposito, Iddrissou

Related News